Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Panthers on Sunday, December 1st at the Bank of America Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Carolina matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(5-6) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (3-8)
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte NC
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay -5.5 | Carolina +5.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -257 | Carolina +209
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.5
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Week 13 NFL action brings us a classic NFC South rivalry as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers travel to Charlotte to face the Carolina Panthers. These two teams have a rich history, clashing 47 times since the 2001 realignment. Carolina holds the overall edge at 25-22, but Tampa Bay has dominated recently, winning seven of the last eight matchups.
Their most recent meeting? A wild 9-0 Bucs victory on January 7, 2024. Yes, you read that right—a defensive slugfest that left bettors scratching their heads. This time, though, the stage is set for a much different game.
Tampa Bay enters the matchup at 5-6, desperately fighting to stay in the playoff hunt, while Carolina, sitting at 3-8, is looking for any spark of momentum in a rebuilding year.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Buccaneers have a record of 3-0. The Buccaneers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 34 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With a 5-6 record, the Buccaneers sit 2nd in the NFC South and 9th in our power rankings. We give them a 44.0% chance of making the playoffs and a 31.3% chance of winning their division. Tampa Bay is 5-3 in conference games and 1-2 in the division.
They are 3-2 on the road and 2-4 at home.
The Bucs have an average scoring margin of +3.3 points per game and are 7-4 against the spread this season. They have covered in three straight games, including a 23-point win over the Giants in week 12.
Tampa Bay was a 6-point favorite in that game. Their O/U record is 7-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 13, the Buccaneers rank 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 28.1 points per game, and 7th in passing yards with 241.5 per game.
Tampa Bay is also 2nd in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 50.4% success rate. However, they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 27th in conversion percentage.
In week 12, Baker Mayfield threw for 294 yards on 24/30 passing against the Giants. Bucky Irving led the team with 88 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Mike Evans had 5 catches for 68 yards.
Tampa Bay scored 23 points in the first half, including 16 in the 2nd quarter.
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In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 169 passing yards on 22 completions in a 30-7 win over the Giants. They limited New York to 76 rushing yards on 20 attempts and didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. Tampa Bay also recorded four sacks and held the Giants to a 45.5% conversion rate on third downs.
The Buccaneers’ defense also won the battle in the trenches, producing seven more quarterback hits than the Giants and three more tackles for loss.
Their performance helped keep the Giants out of the endzone until the final minutes of the game.
Carolina Panthers
Heading into week 13, the Panthers sit at 3-8, putting them 4th in the NFC South. They have a division record of 1-2 and are 2-4 in conference play. Our projections give Carolina just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the division. They rank 29th in our NFL power rankings.
Against the spread, the Panthers are 4-7, but they have covered in three straight games.
In week 12, they lost 30-27 to the Chiefs but managed to cover as 11-point underdogs. The O/U line was 43 points, and the teams combined for 57. Carolina’s O/U record is 8-3 this season.
Carolina Panthers Stats
Heading into week 13, the Panthers rank 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17.6 points per game, which is 27th in the NFL. They are 31st in passing yards per game with 177.8, despite ranking 17th in attempts. On the ground, they average 107.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 24th, on 23.6 attempts per game.
Carolina ranks 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33.8% success rate, but they are 10th in red zone conversion percentage.
Bryce Young threw for 263 yards (21/35) and a touchdown in week 12 against the Chiefs. Chuba Hubbard rushed for 58 yards on 16 carries, while David Moore led the team with 81 receiving yards on 6 catches. Carolina scored 11 points in the 4th quarter against Kansas City, but ultimately fell short, losing 30-27.
In their 30-27 loss to the Chiefs, the Panthers’ defense allowed 165 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, including a concerning 6.3 yards per attempt. Despite recording five sacks and pressuring the quarterback effectively, they struggled to stop the run and gave up three rushing touchdowns.
Offensively, the Panthers put up 391 yards, and the defense allowed 226 passing yards to Kansas City, with the Chiefs completing 73% of their passes and converting on 61.5% of their third down attempts.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Panthers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Panthers have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Panthers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | -125 | -258 | -2 | -5.5 |
| Panthers | +105 | +210 | +2 | +5.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Carolina +5.5
Looking at the point spread lines, the Panthers are 5.5-point underdogs at home. The Bucs are laying -5.5 on the spread, with a moneyline at -257, while Carolina comes in with +209 moneyline odds.
Our projected score for this week 13 matchup between the Panthers and Buccaneers is 28-27 in favor of the Buccaneers. With this projection, we like the Panthers to cover the spread.
Tampa Bay has stumbled lately, going 1-4 straight up in their last five, Carolina has shown life against the spread in December, covering four of their last six games.
For this game, we are leaning towards taking the Panthers to cover as home underdogs. Additionally, with the O/U line sitting at 46.5 points, we have a projection of 55 combined points, making the OVER a great bet in this one.
Recent trends scream points. Tampa has hit the over in six of their last eight games and five of their last seven divisional matchups.
Meanwhile, Carolina has gone over in seven of their last nine games and four of their last five at home. With both teams struggling defensively and December trends favoring offensive fireworks, the over looks enticing for bettors.
This rivalry rarely disappoints, and with divisional pride on the line, expect a high-energy battle. Keep an eye on live odds and consider the total as this one could turn into a scoring frenzy!
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Rivalry week: 🔒 in on the Bucs pic.twitter.com/2zNiBQvxRT
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) November 27, 2024
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