Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Buccaneers vs. Bills Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills free NFL Week 8 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the Bills on Thursday, October 26th at the Highmark Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay Buffalo matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(3-3) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills (4-3)
Thursday Night Football On Amazon Prime
Date: Thursday, October 26th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
NFL Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +8.5 | Buffalo -8.5
Week 8 NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +320 | Buffalo -421
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Get ready for an exciting NFL Week 8 showdown on Amazon Prime’s Thursday Night Football. It’s the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3, 3-3 ATS) facing off against the Buffalo Bills (4-3, 3-4 ATS). The action kicks off at 8:15 ET in Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY.
Here’s a quick look at the odds: Buccaneers are at +320 on the moneyline, while the Bills stand at -421. The spread favors the Bills by 8.5 points, and the over/under is set at 42.
In recent games, Buffalo is coming off a 29-25 loss to New England, while the Buccaneers suffered back-to-back home losses to the Lions and Falcons.
In head-to-head history, these teams have clashed 12 times, with the Bills winning 4 and the Buccaneers taking 8 wins.
The Buccaneers and Bills did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Buccaneers have a record of 2-1. The Buccaneers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 50 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
So far this season, all of Tampa Bay’s games have been vs. other NFC teams and this week will be their first non-conference game of the season.
Overall their record is 3-3, putting them 2nd in the NFC-South and 7th in the NFC. On the road, they have gone 2-0 so far. The Buccaneers have a 3-3 ATS record so far. As we enter week 8, their scoring margin per game is -0.2.
Even though the Buccaneers’ did a good job moving the ball on offense, racking up 21 first-downs, they still lost the Falcons. Overall, the Buccaneers finished with 329 yards of offense. On the other side, the Falcons rushed for 156 and threw for 245 yards.
Tampa Bay also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2.5 point favorites. Baker Mayfield threw for 275 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 275.
Mayfield threw for one touchdown.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Tampa Bay’s offense generated 329 total yards against the Falcons. On third downs, the Buccaneers managed a conversion rate of 50%. Rachaad White led the team in rushing with 34 yards, while Baker Mayfield passed for 275 yards.
The Buccaneers come in with an average 17.2 points per game on offense, which has them 24th in the NFL.
In terms of yards allowed, the Buccaneers are 20th in the league while giving up 342.5 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed 17.3 points per game, placing them 6th in the NFL.
Buffalo Bills
Through seven games, the Bills have a record of 4-3. This mark has them 2nd in the AFC-East and 7th in the AFC. With a scoring margin of +11.4, the Bills’ have achieved an ATS record of 3-4 so far.
Buffalo got off to slow start in their loss to the Patriots, failing to score at all in the first-quarter. Overall, the Bills finished with 339 of offense while giving up 364 on defense.
Buffalo also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 7.5 point favorites.
Quarterback Josh Allen threw for two touchdowns and ran for 1 score. Allen completed 65% of his passes for 265 yards.
Buffalo Bills Stats
On offense, the Bills finished with 339 yards against the Patriots. On third-down situations, the Bills had a 41.7% conversion rate. Notably, James Cook led the rushing attack with 56 yards, while Josh Allen passed for 265 yards.
The Buffalo offense is currently positioned 3rd in the league, scoring an average of 28.3 points per contest.
On defense, the Bills come into the game ranked 2nd in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks. Opponents are scoring 16.9 points per game vs. them along with an average of 329.6 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bills are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bills have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bills’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. Bills Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +350 | +322 | +8.5 | +8.5 |
| Bills | -450 | -419 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +8.5
My point-spread pick for this Buccaneers vs. Bills matchup is to take the Buccaneers to cover on the road. As of now, they are 8.5-point underdogs and I expect them to cover at this number.
Tampa Bay are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Buffalo, and Buffalo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
You get the feeling this is the last chance for Baker Mayfield to make his impact on this Bucs team. Time has to be running out. Kyle Trask is waiting in the wings.
The Bills can’t score…plain and simple (in the first half). They don’t like the same team everyone was picking to win the Super Bowl this year.
For this week’s matchup, I’m selecting the over as the line of 42 is lower than all of Buffalo’s previous games.
Our projection indicates that this game will conclude with 46 points.
I’m pegging this one to sail over the 42 O/U. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
Plus, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 6 games against an opponent in the NFC South.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/BuffaloBills/status/1716869914848604532
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