Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Seahawks vs. Rams Odds
Looking for Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Seahawks taking on the Rams on Sunday, November 19th at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Seattle Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-3) Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams (3-6)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Seattle -1 | Los Angeles +1
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Seattle -115 | Los Angeles -106
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46
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It seems so long ago now, but hen the Seahawks and Rams faced off for the first time, it was Rams who clinched a 30-13 win. This was opening week, in Seattle. Seattle was the play EVERYONE was on, and Stafford proved everyone wrong, and the Hawks came out flat.
Despite leading at halftime, the Seahawks were shut out in a second half. It was honestly, a brutal 1/2 of play. Seattle struggled with penalties, injuries and a lack of execution down the stretch. At least the Seahawks won’t have to deal with Kyren Williams this week.
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Coming into the game, the Rams were the underdogs at +4.5 and picked up an ATS win.
The over/under line going into the game was 45 points, which the teams fell short of.
The Rams/Seahawks rivalry has seen 52 matchups thru the years. (including 2 postseason). The Los Angeles secured victory in 25, while Seattle won 27 games.
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Seattle Seahawks
On the road, the Seahawks have a record of 2-2 this season and are 6-3 overall. When looking at the standings, Seattle is 5th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC-West. On the road, Seattle has gone 2-2 thus far.
The Seahawks have a 4-4-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 11, their scoring margin per game is -0.1.
Even though the Seahawks failed to score in the first quarter, they rebounded and picked up the win.
Their offensive output totaled 489 yards, while they conceded 356 yards to the Commanders on defense.
Even though Seattle won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 5.5 point favorites. Quarterback Geno Smith had a big game, throwing for 369 yards on a passer rating of 103. Smith completed 66% of 47 attempts in the game.
Seattle Seahawks Stats
On offense, the Seahawks finished with 489 yards against the Commanders. On third-down situations, the Seahawks had a 28.6% conversion rate.
Notably, Kenneth Walker III led the rushing attack with 63 yards, while Geno Smith passed for 369 yards.
On the offensive front, the Seahawks are currently averaging 22.2 points per game, positioning them 13th in the NFL.
When it comes to turnovers, the Seattle defense has forced 13 takeaways, putting them 6th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 22.3 points per game and yielding 354.3 yards.
Los Angeles Rams
In their matchup against the Seahawks, the Rams aim to build on their 3-6 record. This places them 3rd in the NFC-West and 12th in the NFC. The Rams’ scoring margin for the season is currently -2.9.
This has contributed to their ATS record of 4-4-1.
The Rams were unable to overcome being held scoreless in the first quarter against the Packers and lost by a score of 20-3. Defensively, they allowed they gave up 391 yards and allowed the Packers to convert 35.7% of their 3rd downs.
On offense, the Rams finished with 187 yards went 5/14 on third down. Los Angeles’ 17 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 4 point underdogs. Brett Rypien did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 13 of 28 passes for 130 yards.
Rypien ended the game with a passer rating of 45.
Good thing Stafford is back this week!
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Versus the Packers, the Rams finished with 26 rushing attempts, and Royce Freeman led the way with 32 yards. Meanwhile, Brett Rypien had 28 pass attempts, resulting in 130 yards and a passer rating of 45. Kyren Williams can’t get back fast enough.
On offense, the Rams are at 19.8 points per game, putting them 20th in the NFL.
So far the Rams’ defense has given up an average of 340.0 yards per game and 22.7 points per contest (19th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 62.3% and have given up nine passing touchdowns.
Against the run, they are 23rd in the NFL.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Seahawks are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Rams are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Seahawks are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Rams have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Seahawks’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Rams’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Seahawks vs. Rams Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | -124 | -113 | -1.5 | -1 |
Rams | +106 | -108 | +1.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +1
Rams at home after a week off, and they’ve hopefully geared up for their second half of the year. Seattle comes in off that 29-26 win over the Commanders. Geno was in the zone with a +100 QBR. His arguably best game of the year. Which Geno shows up this week is my $1M question.
The biggest reason I’m on the Rams this week (again) is their pass rush vs. the Hawks O-Line (Mash Unit). They’re not the Rams of old up front, but they have the secondary this year to keep Lockett/Metcalf/JSN in check. Giving the big boys up front enough time to get home to Smith who while mobile, isn’t that mobile.
The break will get the Rams healthy, something they badly need. I expect Stafford to play, I expect him to have a field day with Nacua (10 catches 119yds in game 1) returning to form and an always open Kupp running over the middle. The Seahawks secondary will be busy in this one. Really busy.
I think McVey with an extra week to plan will have some wrinkles that will stump the Hawks D just giving the Rams enough wiggle room to cover. Seattle are also 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18.
Even though the Rams are 1 point home underdogs vs. the Seahawks, I like the Rams to cover the spread. Los Angeles’ defense closed out their most-recent game with a solid performance and should keep the Seahawks’ offense in check.
Seattle are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 against the Rams, and the Rams are 5-2 in their last 7 at home.
For this matchup, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has the Seahawks and Rams combining for 46 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 45, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA’s last 5 games against the Hawks. For Seattle, we’ve seen the UNDER hit in 4 of their last 6 games.
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Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
NFC West Clash!
No time like the present. pic.twitter.com/ZwUc9pf0hz
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) November 15, 2023
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