Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Seahawks vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Seahawks taking on the Bears on Thursday, December 26th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Seattle Chicago Thursday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
(8-7) Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears (4-11)
Date: Thursday, December 26th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Seattle -3.5 | Chicago +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Seattle -192 | Chicago +161
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Week 17 Thursday Night Football brings us an intriguing clash between the Seattle Seahawks (8-7) and Chicago Bears (4-11) under the lights of Soldier Field.
While the Bears have endured a brutal nine-game losing streak, Seattle is still fighting to stay in the playoff hunt after back-to-back home losses to the Packers and Vikings.
The Seahawks sit one game behind the Rams in the NFC West, making this a must-win game for their postseason aspirations.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Bears have the leg up at 2-1.
The Bears also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 38 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The history between these teams leans Seattle’s way, with the Seahawks leading the series 11-8, including two playoff matchups. The last time they met in 2021, the Bears eked out a 25-24 victory in Seattle—back when Russell Wilson and Nick Foles were under center.
Seattle Seahawks
Heading into week 17, the Seahawks are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 30-13 loss to the Packers in week 15 and a 27-24 loss to the Vikings in week 16. Seattle is now 8-7 and sits 9th in the NFC, with a 18.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 5-1 on the road this season and 3-6 at home.
Seattle ranks 19th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of -0.1 points per game. Against the spread, they are 6-8-1, with a 5-6 record as underdogs and a 1-2-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 8-7, with their games averaging 45.3 points per game.
Seattle Seahawks Stats
Heading into week 17, the Seahawks rank 21st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 22.6 points per game, which is 15th in the NFL. They are 14th in yards per game (336.4) and 23rd in 3rd-down conversion rate (36.6%). Seattle is 6th in passing attempts and 4th in passing yards per game, with 244.5. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game (91.9), with Kenneth Walker III questionable due to an ankle injury.
Geno Smith threw for 314 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, despite 2 interceptions, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 8 catches for 95 yards and a touchdown. Seattle struggled on 3rd down, converting only 2 of 10 attempts, but scored on both red zone trips in their loss to the Vikings.
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In their 27-24 loss to the Vikings, the Seahawks’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns and struggled on third downs, allowing the Vikings to convert only 25% of their third down attempts. Despite holding Minnesota to 81 yards rushing on 24 attempts, Seattle gave up 217 yards through the air and allowed a 62.9% completion rate.
Seattle’s defense did manage to sack the quarterback three times and had one interception. However, they allowed the Vikings to score 27 points with an overall yardage total of 298 yards.
Chicago Bears
With their 34-17 loss to the Lions in week 16, the Bears extended their losing streak to nine games, dropping their record to 4-11. Chicago’s last win came in week 6, when they defeated the Jaguars 35-16. Since then, they’ve suffered several close losses, including a 30-27 defeat to the Vikings in week 12 and a 20-19 loss to the Packers in week 11. The Bears are currently 4th in the NFC North and have an 0-5 record in division play.
Heading into week 17, the Bears are 22nd in our power rankings and have been eliminated from playoff contention. They are 7-7-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -3.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-9, with their games averaging 41.7 points compared to an average line of 43.2.
Chicago Bears Stats
Heading into week 17, the Bears are 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.9 points per game. They rank 31st in the NFL with 294.5 passing yards per game, despite being 11th in passing attempts. Caleb Williams has been solid, throwing for 334 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 16, with a passer rating of 107. He has not thrown an interception in his last three games.
On the ground, the Bears are 25th in the league with 103.2 rushing yards per game. Williams led the team in rushing in week 16 with 34 yards on 6 carries. Chicago ranks 30th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 31.7% success rate, and they converted only 2 of 10 attempts in week 16.
In their 34-17 loss to the Lions, the Bears’ defense allowed 475 total yards and 329 yards through the air. The Lions found success with big plays in the passing game, averaging 10.3 yards per attempt and completing three touchdown passes. Chicago struggled to get off the field, as the Lions converted on 58.3% of their third down attempts.
Chicago’s run defense allowed 146 yards on 32 attempts, giving up 4.6 yards per attempt. They managed just one sack and lost the battles in both QB hits and tackles for loss. The Bears’ defense allowed the Lions to complete 71.9% of their passes.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Seahawks are 1-3-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Seahawks are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Seahawks’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Seahawks vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks | +145 | -192 | +3.5 | -3.5 |
| Bears | -175 | +161 | -3.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Seattle -3.5
Fast forward, and it’s Geno Smith taking on rookie sensation Caleb Williams in a game loaded with betting angles.
Seattle’s road dominance (7-1 SU in their last eight away games) contrasts sharply with Chicago’s struggles at home (1-4 SU in their last five). The Bears are winless in their last eight games against NFC opponents and have covered the spread just twice in their last nine games.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Seahawks to cover as road favorites in this week 17 matchup against the Bears. The point spread has the Seahawks at -3.5, and we have them winning 24-16.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 40 points and the O/U line sitting at 43.5 points.
Expect fireworks as Seattle fights to keep its playoff hopes alive.
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Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Not your typical holiday tradition 🕷️
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) December 24, 2024
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