Free NFL Week 10 Pick: 49ers vs. Buccaneers Odds
Looking for San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the 49ers taking on the Buccaneers on Sunday, November 10th at the Raymond James Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this San Francisco Tampa Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(4-4) San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5)
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) San Francisco -6 | Tampa Bay +6
NFL Moneyline Odds: San Francisco -277 | Tampa Bay +225
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Get ready, football fans! This Week 10 matchup between the 49ers and Buccaneers has all the elements for an action-packed showdown.
San Francisco has a strong 20-6 edge in their all-time regular-season series, including last year’s 27-14 win when Purdy out-dueled Mayfield—a scene we’ll be seeing again this week.
Over the last three times playing each other, the 49ers have a record of 3-0.
The 49ers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 43 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
San Francisco 49ers
After a week 7 home loss to the Chiefs, the 49ers bounced back with a 30-24 win over the Cowboys in week 8, bringing their record to 4-4. San Francisco was favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread, with the teams combining for 54 points, going over the 47.5-point line. The 49ers have been favored in all of their games, and their ATS record stands at 4-4.
Heading into week 10, the 49ers rank 6th in our NFL power rankings and have a 40.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.0% chance of winning the NFC West. They are 3rd in the division with a 1-2 record, and they are 1-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
Heading into week 10, the 49ers rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.2, and they are 2nd in yards per game with 412.4. San Francisco has leaned on their rushing attack, ranking 7th in attempts and 4th in rushing yards per game. They are also 4th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 19th in pass attempts.
In week 8, Brock Purdy bounced back from a rough outing in week 7, throwing for 260 yards and a touchdown with a passer rating of 114. George Kittle led the team with 128 receiving yards, and Isaac Guerendo added 85 yards on the ground. The 49ers scored 21 points in the 3rd quarter against the Cowboys, converting 8 of 16 third downs and 3 of 4 red zone attempts.
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In the 49ers’ 30-24 win over the Cowboys, their defense allowed 236 passing yards on 25 completions. The 49ers’ secondary did come up with two interceptions, but they also allowed two passing touchdowns. San Francisco’s run defense was tough, allowing just 56 yards on 19 attempts (2.9 yards per attempt).
On the defensive front, the 49ers recorded two sacks and pressured the quarterback effectively, winning the QB hit differential by +6 and the tackles for loss differential by +2. They also held the Cowboys to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
With a 4-5 record, the Buccaneers are currently ranked 11th in our power rankings and have a 40.8% chance of making the playoffs. Tampa Bay has lost three straight games, including a 30-24 road loss to the Chiefs in week 9. They were able to cover the spread as 8.5-point underdogs, but the combined 54 points went over the 45.5-point line. The over has now hit in six straight Bucs games.
Before their current losing streak, the Bucs beat the Saints 51-27 in week 6, bringing their record to 4-2. They couldn’t hold onto that momentum, though, losing to the Ravens in week 7 and the Falcons in week 8. Tampa Bay is 5-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +1.8 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Heading into week 10, the Buccaneers rank 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 5th in the NFL in both points per game (28.8) and passing yards per game (250.8), while ranking 10th in rushing yards per game (127). Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 51.8% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the NFL. However, they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on just 8.8% of their trips inside the 20.
In week 9, Baker Mayfield threw for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 23 of 31 passes without an interception. Cade Otton led the team with 8 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown, while Bucky Irving rushed for 24 yards on 7 carries. Tampa Bay scored 7 points in the 4th quarter against the Chiefs after being shut out in the 1st quarter.
In their 30-24 overtime loss to the Chiefs, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed 384 total yards and 124 rushing yards on 35 attempts. The Bucs struggled on third downs, allowing the Chiefs to convert 66.7% of their chances. Despite this, they did manage to sack Patrick Mahomes four times and hit him more than the Chiefs hit Tom Brady.
Tampa Bay gave up three passing touchdowns in the game, with Mahomes completing 77.3% of his passes for 260 yards. The Buccaneers also forced more tackles for loss than the Chiefs.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The 49ers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Buccaneers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the 49ers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Buccaneers have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
- Over the 49ers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Buccaneers’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
49ers vs. Buccaneers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | -198 | -275 | -4 | -6 |
| Buccaneers | +164 | +225 | +4 | +6 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: San Francisco -6
The Buccaneers come into this one on a tough skid, dropping four of their last five games, though to quality opponents. Tampa Bay will likely miss some offensive firepower, with Chris Godwin out and Mike Evans questionable, which gives the 49ers a clear upper hand.
Coming off their bye and getting healthier, the 49ers look primed to make a statement, especially if McCaffrey returns to action.
San Francisco is 13-7 straight up in their last 20 and 5-2 in recent matchups against Tampa Bay. With a solid record against the spread on the road, they look ready to cover again here.
Our projected final score for this week 10 matchup between the 49ers and Buccaneers is 35-24 in favor of the 49ers. With the 49ers being road favorites, we like them to not only win but cover the spread.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections coming in at 59 combined points.
This is the perfect recipe for the 49ers to bring the heat, get back above .500, and keep their playoff hopes strong!
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back in @RJStadium this week 😤#WeAreTheKrewe pic.twitter.com/0rtIWXLRx1
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 6, 2024
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