Free NFL Week 10 Pick: 49ers vs. Jaguars Odds
Looking for San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars free NFL Week 10 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the 49ers taking on the Jaguars on Sunday, November 12th at the EverBank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this San Francisco Jacksonville matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(5-3) San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (6-2)
Date: Sunday, November 12th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville FL
NFL Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) San Francisco -3 | Jacksonville +3
Week 10 NFL Moneyline Odds: San Francisco -162 | Jacksonville +134
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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Over the years, these two teams, from different conferences, haven’t faced off much. There have been just six games in their history, with the Niners winning four.
The 49ers and Jaguars did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the 49ers have a record of 3-0.
The 49ers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 55 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
The most recent 49ers game in Jacksonville was in 2021 when they secured a 30-10 victory against Urban Meyer’s Jaguars. It wasn’t a memorable matchup, was it?
This week’s Purdy vs. Lawrence showdown does pique some interest, right?
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San Francisco 49ers
This season, the 49ers have achieved an overall record of 5-3, putting them 1st in the NFC-West. This includes a 0-0 record as underdogs and 5-3 when they are favored.
Thus far, the 49ers have a 4-3-1 record against the spread. It’s worth noting that they have been favored in each of their games.
The 49ers’ loss to the Bengals is one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history. The 49ers’ defense allowed 400 yards of total offense which included 134 yards on the ground and 266 through the air.
Offensively, the 49ers finished with 460 of total offense. San Francisco also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 4 point favorites. Quarterback Brock Purdy led the 49ers in both rushing and passing, with 57 yards on the ground and 365 through air.
Purdy ended the game with one passing touchdown.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
San Francisco’s offense produced a total of 460 yards against the Bengals. When it came to third downs, the 49ers had a conversion rate of 55.6%. The leading rusher for the 49ers was Purdy with 57 yards, and he also contributed 365 passing yards.
So far this season, the San Francisco offense has been averaging 27.2 points per game, ranking them 4th in the league.
When it comes to turnovers, the San Francisco defense has forced 13 takeaways, putting them 5th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 17.5 points per game and yielding 315.0 yards.
Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars head into their 5th home game of the season with a home record of 2-2 and have rattled off two straight wins as the home team. Overall, the Jaguars are 6-2 and in 1st place in the AFC-South.
When it comes to the spread, the Jaguars have a 6-2 record. Heading into week 10, their scoring margin is at +4.6 (per game).
The Jaguars’ 10-point win over the Steelers was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history.
Offensively, the Jaguars averaged 5 yards per play for a total of 377 yards. On the other end, the Steelers went 3/12 on 3rd down and finished with 261 yards. Going into the game, Jacksonville was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Trevor Lawrence threw for 292 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 292. Lawrence threw for one touchdown.
Jacksonville Jaguars Stats
Against the Steelers, the Jaguars ran the ball 30 times, with Travis Etienne Jr. as the primary rusher, accumulating 79 yards. Lawrence attempted 32 passes, amassing 292 yards and a passer rating of 100.
Offensively, the Jaguars have an average of 24.1 points per game, which positions them 10th in the NFL.
In terms of turnovers, the Jacksonville defense has 18 takeaways, which is 1st in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 19.5 points per game and 342.8 yards.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Football Betting Trends
- The 49ers are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the 49ers are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jaguars have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the 49ers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The Jaguars’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
49ers vs. Jaguars Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | -130 | -171 | -2.5 | -3 |
| Jaguars | +110 | +139 | +2.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Jacksonville +3
99% of gamblers look at this matchup at the beginning of the year and say “ain’t no way I’m taking the Jags in Week 10!”
Well? Now what are you saying?
I say, “I’m taking the Jags in Week 10!” Give me those points. All 3 of them! Wrong team favored.
San Francisco are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road, and are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. AFC teams.
The Jaguars come into this one 5-0 ATS in their last 5, and 5-0 SU in their last 5, plus they’re 7-2 SU in their last 9 at home.
After a strong performance against Pittsburgh’s passing game, Jacksonville’s pass defense should play well once again. Despite being 3-point underdogs at home, I like them to cover against San Francisco.
Not only does our model have a projected total of 38 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 45 is really high. I like San Francisco and Jacksonville to stay under the 45.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games against San Fran, and the UNDER has hit in 6 of JVille’s last 7 in November.
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San Francisco 49ers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Home Cookin’
https://twitter.com/Jaguars/status/1721957135784001640
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