Free NFL Prediction: Chargers vs Colts Odds
Looking for San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts free picks? Week 3 NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Colts on Sunday September 25th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions.
(1-1) San Diego Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-2)
Date: Sunday, September 25th
Time: 4:25 PM
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
ATS Betting Lines: Indianapolis Colts -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Chargers (Off)
NFL Betting Total: 51.5
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After losing his top receiving target from 2015 in Week 1, Philip Rivers lost one of his other favorite targets in Danny Woodhead. Both Keenan Allen and Woodhead are out for the rest of the season.
That didn’t prove to be too big of an issue in Week 2 though as the Chargers rolled over the Jaguars, 38-14.
Andrew Luck’s issues from 2015 seem to be remaining as this season gets under way. He was sacked 5 times and forced into 2 turnovers in Week 2 as the Colts lost 34-20 in Denver to fall to 0-2.
San Diego Chargers
Philip Rivers – throughout his career – has found a way to lead a dominant passing game year after year despite having a random crop of receivers.
Antonio Gates has been his favorite target – in the red zone at least – for a number of years but the Chargers have cycled through various groups of receivers.
Now with Allen done for the season and pass catching back Woodhead gone too, Rivers will have to work his magic again – incorporating a multitude of new pass catchers into the offense.
Last week, Travis Benjamin and Tyrell Williams stepped up – combining for 9 catches for 176 yards and 3 touchdowns.
The most refreshing thing for Rivers and the Chargers though is the emergence of Melvin Gordon through the first two games.
Drafted with high expectations prior to last season, Gordon struggled with patience and fumbles in 2015 and was a big disappointment. However, he is off to a great start this season which makes Rivers job in the passing game a helluva lot easier.
After averaging just 3.5 yards per carry last season along with 4 fumbles and zero touchdowns, Gordon has shined through the first 2 weeks of 2016. He has averaged 4.2 yards per carry along with 3 touchdowns and has not put the ball on the ground yet.
Gordon as well as Rivers and his group of pass catchers shouldn’t have a ton of trouble against the Colts who have been the NFL’s 3rd worst defense through 2 weeks.
After giving up 37 sacks last season, the Colts did very little to improve their protection of Luck going into this season. It has shown thus far as he has already been sacked 7 times through 2 games.
With Luck under constant pressure and a running game that has struggled, the Colts are putting themselves in difficult spots to win football games.
Relying on a below average defense is not the recipe for wins, so Luck finds himself forcing the ball into tough spots under constant pressure.
Luck had two turnovers against Denver and is completing just 59.8 percent of his passes this season.
Luck has historically been very good at home – 20-9 at home versus 15-13 on the road. However, the majority of Luck’s success in his career has come against his own division.
Luck is 17-2 in his career against the AFC South but just 18-20 against other teams. While divisional games are the most important, a sub-.500 record against other opponents will make a playoff berth difficult to come by.
The Chargers have proved to be a dynamic offense through 2 games and have been surprisingly solid on defense – excluding the second half at Kansas City where they blew a big lead.
They also have 5 sacks through 2 games which is an improvement from the 32 they totaled all of last season. If they can get pressure on Luck, they could run away with this one.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
- Chargers are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road underdog.
- Colts are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss.
- Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as the home favorite.
- Over is 8-6 in Colts last 14 games following a SU loss.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: San Diego ML
I like the Chargers to win this one on the road. The Colts managed 20 points against the Broncos last week and should surpass that total against the Chargers.
On the flip side, the Colts defense has looked bad and the Chargers offense appears to be dynamic with Gordon’s hot start.
NFL Free Score Prediction: San Diego 33 – Indianapolis 26
The total looks like a good play as well as this could become an entertaining passing duel between Rivers and Luck.
BONUS Pick: Total over 51.5
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