Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Steelers vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Commanders on Sunday, November 10th at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(6-2) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders (7-2)
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh +2.5 | Washington -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh +125 | Washington -149
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Get ready for a high-stakes clash as the Steelers take on the Commanders this Sunday at Northwest Stadium! The Steelers come in fresh off their bye, having handled the Giants 26-18 in Week 8, while the Commanders rode their own momentum with a 27-22 win over New York just last week.
Both squads are bringing plenty of heat as they face off in what promises to be a thrilling matchup, with Pittsburgh sitting at 6-2 and Washington at 7-2.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 2-1.
The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 44 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Historically, these two teams have met 79 times, with Washington edging Pittsburgh in wins (43-33) and the rivalry adding three ties to the mix.
Pittsburgh Steelers
After two straight losses, the Steelers have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 26-18 victory over the Giants in week 8. This puts Pittsburgh at 6-2, giving them a 33.4% chance of winning the AFC North and an 87.9% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 10th in our NFL power rankings.
Against the spread, the Steelers are 6-2, with an average scoring margin of +8.5 points per game. They’ve covered in three straight games, including a 22-point win over the Jets in week 7 as 2.5-point underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-4, with the over hitting in three straight games.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Heading into week 10, the Steelers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.4, and are 19th in yards per game with 328.1. Pittsburgh has leaned heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game. On the other hand, they are 27th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game.
Russell Wilson has been solid under center, posting a passer rating of 114 in week 8, with 278 yards on 20/28 passing. Najee Harris rushed for 114 yards on 19 carries, and George Pickens led the team with 74 receiving yards. The Steelers converted 46.2% of their third downs but struggled in the red zone, going 0/4.
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In their 26-18 win over the Giants, the Steelers’ defense allowed 394 yards. They struggled against the run, giving up 157 yards on just 25 attempts. However, they did a good job against the pass, allowing 237 yards and not giving up any passing touchdowns. The defense also recorded four sacks and held the Giants to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate. Additionally, they came up with one interception.
The Steelers’ defense will be looking to improve their run defense in the next game, as the Giants had some success running the ball against them. Despite this, their ability to pressure the quarterback with four sacks and their solid play on third downs were big factors in the win.
Washington Commanders
With a 7-2 record, the Commanders sit atop the NFC East and have a 90.4% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings and have won three straight games, including a 27-22 victory over the Giants in week 9. Washington covered the 4-point spread in that game and has a 7-1-1 record against the spread this season.
The Commanders have an average scoring margin of +8.2 points per game and are 5-0 against the spread as favorites. Their O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 50.2 points compared to an average line of 46.1.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 10, the Commanders are 3rd in the NFL in points per game (29.2) and yards per game (392). They rank 4th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.9% success rate, and lead the league in red zone attempts, although they are 26th in conversion percentage at 9.8%. Washington is 4th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring.
Jayden Daniels posted a passer rating of 128 in week 9, going 15/22 for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns. Brian Robinson Jr. is questionable for week 10 with a hamstring injury after rushing for 52 yards on 11 carries in week 9. Noah Brown led the team with 5 catches for 60 yards against the Giants.
In their 27-22 win over the Giants, the Washington Commanders’ defense gave up 164 rushing yards on just 31 attempts, with New York finishing with 326 yards. The Commanders allowed two passing touchdowns and the Giants converted on 54.5% of their third down attempts. Washington’s defense did manage to sack the quarterback twice and hit the quarterback more than the Giants.
The Giants completed 76.9% of their passes for 162 yards against Washington. Despite the struggles against the run, the Commanders’ defense did enough to help secure the victory.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Steelers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | -122 | +125 | -1.5 | +2.5 |
| Commanders | +102 | -149 | +1.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +2.5
Pittsburgh holds a slight edge in recent years, winning six of the last seven matchups. But with Washington’s home field advantage and a -2.5 spread favoring them, they’re not going to make it easy.
Against the spread, the Steelers have been absolute warriors lately, covering in 9 of their last 12 games and going 4-1 in their last five as underdogs.
Tomlin’s squads are notorious for coming back strong after a bye, with an 11-9 record ATS.
With Pittsburgh’s underdog status and proven resilience on the road, there’s plenty of value here for fans who like to back grit and experience.
Our pick against the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 10 matchup between the Steelers and Washington Commanders. The point spread lines have the Commanders at -2.5, and with our projected final score being 21-20 in favor of the Steelers, they are the pick to cover.
For the over/under, we have a slight lean towards the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points and the O/U line sitting at 45.5 points.
This game also marks a new chapter in the rivalry, with Russell Wilson and Jayden Daniels leading their respective teams at QB. While the stakes are high, the Steelers’ scrappy defense and solid ATS track record make this one of the most intriguing games of Week 10.
Get ready for a classic showdown in Landover—this matchup is packed with potential!
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
“Every game with a guy like that, you come out of it saying I wish we would’ve gotten it to him more”
The chemistry between @JayD__5 and @TheTerry_25 is continuing to grow 🧪
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) November 7, 2024
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