Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Steelers vs. Texans Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans free NFL Week 4 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Texans on Sunday, October 1st at the NRG Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Houston matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans (1-2)
Date: Sunday, October 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh -3 | Houston +3
Week 4 NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh -160 | Houston +132
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41
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In this week’s NFL matchup, the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1, 2-1 ATS) will face off against the Houston Texans (1-2, 1-2 ATS). Catch the game on CBS at NRG Stadium with a 1pm ET kickoff time.
The Steelers are currently the favorites with a -3 spread, and the Over/Under for the game is set at 41.5 points. For those looking to bet straight up, the Steelers are listed at -155, while the Texans are at +130.
Notably, the line has shifted by 1.5 points in favor of the Texans within just four days, likely influenced by their impressive victory against the Jags. Historically, the Texans have a 2-5 record against the Steelers.
The Steelers and Texans did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 3-0.
The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
If you’re considering placing early bets on either team, we’ve got you covered with odds and picks.
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Pittsburgh Steelers
As they face the Texans, the Steelers will be looking to improve upon their 2-1 record. This has them positioned 1st in the AFC-North and 2nd in the AFC.
This season, the Steelers find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 2-1. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -4.7.
The Steelers picked up a the win over the Raiders after heading into the fourth quarter with a 16 lead.
Defensively, the Steelers allowed 69 yards rushing and 293 passing. On offense, the Steelers put up a total of 333 yards of offense on 5 yards per play. Pittsburgh went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Kenny Pickett threw for 235 yards while completing 57% of his passes and throwing for 235. Pickett threw for two touchdowns.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
On offense, Kenny Pickett ended with 235 passing yards on a completion rate of 57%. On the ground, the Steelers ran the ball 31 times, amassing 105 yards. The team converted 6 third-downs at a rate of 40%.
The Pittsburgh offense is currently ranked 17th in the league, averaging 18.7 points per contest.
The Pittsburgh defense has recorded eight takeaways this season, which places them 2nd in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 23.3 is 14th in the league while giving up 387.0 yards per contest.
Houston Texans
In week 4, Houston is in 2nd place in the AFC-South with a 1-2 record. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 10th place.
The Texans have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 1-2. Their average scoring margin for this season is -2.3.
The Texans went into the 4th quarter leading by 14 and were able to extend that lead in their win over the Jaguars. The Jaguars racked up 404 yards of offense with 116 coming on the ground and 288 in the passing game.
On the other end, the Texans finished with 366 yards of offense. Houston went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. C.J. Stroud threw for 280 yards while completing 66% of his passes and throwing for 280.
Stroud threw for two touchdowns.
Houston Texans Stats
Against the Jaguars, the Texans ran the ball 26 times, with Devin Singletary as the top rusher, gaining 41 yards. C.J. Stroud attempted 30 passes, amassing 280 yards and a passer rating of 118.
On offense, the Texans are averaging 22 points per game, putting them 14th in the NFL.
On defense, the Texans come into the game ranked 16th in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks.
Opponents are scoring 24.3 points per game vs. them along with an average of 340.7 yards per contest.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Texans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Texans have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Texans’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Texans Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Steelers | -198 | -160 | -4.5 | -3 |
Texans | +166 | +132 | +4.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Houston +3
Houston displayed a strong defensive performance in their recent game against Jacksonville.
After closely observing the Steelers and Texans in action this season, it’s clear that the Texans’ defense has proven itself capable of standing up against Kenny Pickett.
I love how Stroud and Dell matchup against the Steelers secondary. The Steel-Curtain were torched by Adams to the tune of 172 yds rec. I’m not saying Tank is Adams, but I am saying to keep an eye on this connection for the next few years.
He’s going to emerge as a big-time playmaker in this offense.
If you’re in the mood for a bit of excitement, consider placing a wager on the Texans’ Moneyline this week.
I’m placing my bet on them to cover the spread, with the current line at +3.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Pittsburgh and Houston finishing with a combined 38 points. With the over/under line sitting at 41, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
My model has this one coming in at 39 total points.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
This was right out of a video game!
This play will continue to live rent free in our heads 😮💨 pic.twitter.com/iQcDbYDWhc
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 26, 2023
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