Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Steelers vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Browns on Sunday, November 19th at the Cleveland Browns Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh +4 | Cleveland -4
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh +161 | Cleveland -199
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37
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The first matchup between the teams saw, the Steelers win with a 26-22 score over Browns. Coming into the game, the Steelers were the underdogs at +2.5 and picked up an ATS win.
When the game started, the over/under line was 38.5 points, and both teams managed to surpass it.
Looking for the Steelers vs. Browns series record? Steelers lead 79-61-1.
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During this season, the Steelers have an overall record of 6-3, which has them 2nd in the AFC-North. Their performance includes 4-2 as underdogs and 2-1 when they are favored. The current scoring margin for the Steelers’ is -2.9, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 6-3.
In the Steelers’ 23-19 win over the Packers, the two teams were all tied at 0 at halftime. For the game, the Steelers went 4/13 on third down and allowed the Packers to convert 50% of their third downs.
The Steelers finished with 324 of total offense. Going into the game, Pittsburgh was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread. Kenny Pickett did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 14 of 23 passes for 126 yards.
Pickett ended the game with a passer rating of 75.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Offensively, Kenny Pickett totaled 126 passing yards with a completion rate of 60%. On the rushing front, the Steelers had 36 attempts, gaining 205 yards. The team converted 4 of 13 third-down attempts.
With an average of 17.3 points per contest, the Pittsburgh offense currently ranks 23rd in the league.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Steelers give up an average of 222.3 passing yards and 119.6 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Pittsburgh is currently ranked 11th in the league.
So far, they are giving up 20.2 points per game and 341.9 yards.
Taking a glance at the AFC-North standings, the Browns are 3rd with a record of 6-3. Within the AFC, Cleveland is currently in 6th place as they enter week 11.
The Browns’ have a scoring margin of +4.9 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 5-3-1.
In the Browns’ win over the Ravens, the Browns’ offense finished with 373 yards of offense compared to the Ravens’ 306. The Browns went 8/16 on 3rd down, while the Ravens converted on 50% of their 3rd down attempts.
Cleveland went into the game as the underdog (+5.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Deshaun Watson threw for 213 yards while completing 58% of his passes and throwing for 213. Watson threw for one touchdown.
Cleveland Browns Stats
In terms of offensive production, Deshaun Watson finished with 213 passing yards with a completion rate of 58%. The Browns ran the ball 36 times for 178 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 8/16.
Offensively, the Browns have an average of 23.8 points per game, which positions them 10th in the NFL.
The Cleveland defense has recorded 15 takeaways this season, which places them 4th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 18.9 is 5th in the league while giving up 242.7 yards per contest.
Team vs. Team Recap
The Steelers’ offense ranks 28th overall, 20th in rushing, 29th in passing, and 26th in scoring. On the defensive side, the Steelers are also 28th overall, 25th against the run, 27th against the pass, and 11th in scoring defense.
Meanwhile, the Browns’ offense is 17th overall, tied for 2nd in rushing, 25th in passing, and 6th in scoring. Defensively, the Browns are performing exceptionally well, ranking 1st overall, 7th against the run, 1st against the pass, and 6th in scoring defense.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Browns are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 3-5-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Browns Line Movement
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +4
Like the Browns, the Steelers have taken 4 of their last 5, and last week’s 23-19 W over the Pack was special.
Steelers are 2-1 on the road, and there’s no stage too big for them. They’ll be ready on Sunday. Even though the Steelers are 4 point road underdogs vs. the Browns, I like the Steelers to cover the spread.
Pittsburgh are 4-1 ATS in their last 5, and are 4-1 SU in their last 5, and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Browns.
Pittsburgh’s defense closed out their most-recent game with a solid performance and should keep the Browns’ offense in check.
The Browns still find a way to win outright. Even though Watson is out and Thompson-Robinson is in.
Small play on the OVER this week. The total has gone OVER in 5 of the Browns’ last 7 games against Pittsburgh.
Despite the injuries, the Browns are still a team that is in the conversation for the AFC, don’t sleep on them just yet.
Cleveland games have an average margin of -2.8 vs. their over/under lines this season. With the over/under line at 37, our prediction is that this game will go over, concluding with a combined total of 39 points.
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Rematch on the lake pic.twitter.com/mQjuj6nOuX
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) November 16, 2023
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