Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Steelers vs. Bengals Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Steelers taking on the Bengals on Sunday, December 1st at the Paycor Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Pittsburgh Cincinnati matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(8-3) Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (4-7)
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Pittsburgh +3 | Cincinnati -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh +132 | Cincinnati -158
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47.5
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The Steelers and Bengals are set to light up Week 13 in one of the NFL’s most storied rivalries, and there’s plenty of intrigue surrounding this showdown at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.
These two AFC North foes have clashed 109 times, with Pittsburgh dominating the series at 70-39, including a postseason edge.
The Steelers swept the Bengals last season and have taken three of the last four meetings, including a decisive 34-11 victory in Pittsburgh late last year. With playoff implications in the mix, this matchup has all the makings of a classic.
Pittsburgh rolls into this game with an impressive 8-3 record, thriving as both a road team and underdog, going 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games and boasting a 5-1 straight-up (SU) mark in the same span.
They’ve also owned the Bengals historically, winning 14 of the last 18 head-to-head matchups.
But over the last three times playing each other, the Steelers have a record of 2-1. The Steelers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Pittsburgh Steelers
At 8-3, the Steelers hold a 94.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 44.6% chance of winning the AFC North. They currently rank 10th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Pittsburgh is 8-3, including a 4-0 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-5, with an average of 39.8 points scored in their games.
After winning four straight, the Steelers fell to the Browns in week 12, but they remain in first place in the AFC North. In week 11, they narrowly defeated the Ravens, 18-16, and they also have recent wins over the Commanders, Giants, and Jets.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Heading into week 13, the Steelers rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.9 points per game, and 18th in yards per game with 328. Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game (135.2). On the flip side, they are 31st in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game (192.8). The Steelers rank 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.9% success rate.
Russell Wilson threw for 270 yards (21/28) and a touchdown in week 12, posting a passer rating of 116. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing with 45 yards on 11 carries, while Calvin Austin III had 3 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. The Steelers scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against the Browns after being held to 6 points through the first 3 quarters.
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In their 24-19 loss to the Browns, the Steelers’ defense gave up 219 yards through the air on 18 completions. They defended the run well, allowing just 85 yards on 27 attempts. Despite this, they struggled to generate pressure in the backfield, finishing with just one sack and losing the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -10.
Cleveland finished with a 66.7% completion percentage against Pittsburgh and converted only 10% of their third down attempts. The Steelers’ defense didn’t give up any passing touchdowns but still couldn’t do enough to secure a win.
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals enter week 13 against the Steelers looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 34-27 loss to the Chargers in week 11. This dropped their record to 4-7, leaving them 10th in our power rankings and giving them a 12.4% chance of making the playoffs. Cincinnati is 1-4 at home this season but has gone 3-3 on the road.
So far, the Bengals have a +0.1 scoring margin and are 6-5 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-3, with the over hitting in four straight games. Their matchups have averaged 53.9 points per game, while the O/U line has been 46.4.
Cincinnati Bengals Stats
Joe Burrow has been on a tear over his last three games, throwing for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 11, 428 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 10, and 251 yards and 5 touchdowns in week 9. He posted a passer rating of 98 in week 11 and has thrown just one interception in his last three games. Tee Higgins led the Bengals in receiving in week 11 with 9 catches for 148 yards, while Ja’Marr Chase had a monster 264-yard, 3-touchdown performance in week 10. Mike Gesicki had 100 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 9.
On the ground, Chase Brown rushed for 86 yards on 22 carries in week 11. He had 42 yards and a touchdown in week 10 and 120 yards on 27 carries in week 9. The Bengals rank 27th in the NFL in rushing, averaging 91.5 yards per game, and they are 27th in rushing attempts per game.
In their 34-27 loss to the Chargers, the Bengals’ defense allowed 155 rushing yards on just 25 attempts. Despite this, they held the Chargers to a 27.3% third-down conversion rate and allowed only 47.2% completions. The Bengals gave up 280 passing yards, including two passing touchdowns, and allowed the Chargers to amass 435 total yards.
Cincinnati’s defense recorded two sacks and limited the Chargers to 2-of-8 on third down. However, the Bengals also lost the tackles for loss battle, finishing with -1 compared to the Chargers.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Steelers are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Steelers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bengals have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Steelers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Bengals’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Steelers vs. Bengals Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers | +180 | +133 | +5 | +3 |
| Bengals | -218 | -158 | -5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Pittsburgh +3
Cincinnati, at 4-7, is fighting to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Joe Burrow, a master of bouncing back, is a phenomenal 18-7-1 ATS following a loss, making him a factor you can’t overlook.
However, the Bengals are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games against AFC North opponents, showing how much they’ve struggled in divisional matchups.
Pittsburgh has proven they can thrive as underdogs, while Cincinnati will lean on Burrow’s poise and ability to keep games competitive. With the stakes high and the rivalry intense, expect a hard-fought battle with plenty of opportunities for sharp bettors to find an edge.
The spread sits at Bengals -3, with a total of 47.5, offering plenty of value for bettors.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Steelers to cover as road underdogs in this week 13 matchup between the Steelers and Bengals. Right now, the point spread lines have the Steelers at +3, and we have the Bengals pulling off the upset by a score of 21-20.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points and the O/U line sitting at 47.5 points.
Week 13 just got a whole lot more exciting!
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Some Thanksgiving dishes catching strays today 👀😅 pic.twitter.com/OJm6tMIO05
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) November 28, 2024
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