Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Eagles vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Commanders on Sunday, December 22nd at the Northwest Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(12-2) Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders (9-5)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Philadelphia -3.5 | Washington +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia -176 | Washington +147
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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The NFC East takes center stage in Week 16 as the Eagles and Commanders renew one of the NFL’s most storied rivalries, clashing for the 180th time.
With Washington narrowly leading the all-time series 89-85-5, this matchup promises high stakes and fireworks as both teams vie for playoff positioning. The Eagles, sitting at 12-2, bring one of the league’s most complete rosters, while the 9-5 Commanders have surged late in the season with a gritty, never-quit attitude.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Eagles have a record of 3-0. Against the spread, each team went 1-1-1 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2.
These games averaged a combined 58 points per contest.
Philadelphia enters as 3.5-point favorites, but December hasn’t been kind to them lately—they’ve covered the spread just twice in their last 10 games during the month.
Philadelphia Eagles
With their 27-13 win over the Steelers in week 15, the Eagles extended their winning streak to 10 games, improving to 12-2 on the season. Philadelphia sits atop the NFC East and ranks 2nd in the conference. Our projections give them a 100% chance of making the playoffs and a 99.5% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 16, the Eagles are 5th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +8.7 points per game and are 9-5 against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-9, with the under hitting in their last three games.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Heading into week 16, the Eagles are 4th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in rushing attempts (36.8) and rushing yards per game (186.2). Philadelphia is 30th in passing attempts, averaging 187 passing yards per game. They rank 8th in points per game (26.4) and 6th in yards per game (373.2). On 3rd down, they convert 44.8% of the time, which ranks 7th in the NFL, and they are 25th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jalen Hurts has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 125 in week 15 after throwing for 290 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. A.J. Brown had 8 catches for 110 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers, while Saquon Barkley rushed for 65 yards on 19 carries. Philadelphia scored 10 points in the 1st quarter of week 15, an improvement from their 23rd-ranked 1st-quarter scoring average.
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In their 27-13 win over the Steelers, the Eagles’ defense allowed just 107 passing yards. They held Pittsburgh to 56 rushing yards on 17 attempts and gave up only 163 total yards. The Eagles’ defense recorded two sacks and limited the Steelers to a 30% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, they did allow one passing touchdown.
Philadelphia’s defense also forced the Steelers into negative differentials in both quarterback hits and tackles for loss. The Eagles’ secondary defended the pass well, as the Steelers completed just 63.6% of their passes.
Washington Commanders
Washington heads into week 16 with a 9-5 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC East. After three straight losses, the Commanders have bounced back with two consecutive wins, including a 42-19 victory over the Titans in week 13 and a narrow 20-19 win over the Saints in week 15. Washington was a 7.5-point favorite against New Orleans but couldn’t cover the spread. They are 8-5-1 ATS this season, with an average scoring margin of +5.8 points per game.
Our projections give the Commanders an 86.7% chance of making the playoffs, but they have just a 0.5% chance of winning the division. Washington ranks 10th in our NFL power rankings going into week 16. Their O/U record stands at 9-5, with their games averaging 50.8 points compared to an average line of 46.
Washington Commanders Stats
Heading into week 16, the Commanders rank 5th in our offensive power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.3, and 5th in yards per game with 373.9. Despite ranking 24th in passing attempts, they are 16th in passing yards per game, averaging 218.4. On the ground, they are 3rd in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, with 155.5. Washington is 6th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage and ranks 3rd in red zone attempts, though they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage.
Jayden Daniels has been efficient, completing 25 of 31 passes for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 15, posting a passer rating of 118. However, he was sacked 8 times. Terry McLaurin led the team with 7 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns. Daniels also rushed for 66 yards on 11 carries.
In their 20-19 win over the Saints, the Washington Commanders’ defense allowed just 176 passing yards on 15 completions. They held New Orleans to 46.9% completion percentage and allowed only 245 total yards. The Commanders did give up two passing touchdowns, but they also came up with one interception.
Washington’s run defense was also strong, giving up just 69 yards on 16 attempts. They recorded three sacks and held the Saints to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. Despite this, they did lose the tackles for loss differential but did win the QB hit differential.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Eagles are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Eagles vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -135 | -176 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
| Commanders | +114 | +147 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Washington +3.5
Washington thrives at home, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven in Landover, and boasts a solid 9-4 straight-up record over their last 13 games.
Momentum favors the Commanders, who are 6-2 against NFC foes, but the Eagles’ dynamic offense, led by MVP-caliber talent, remains a constant threat.
In their last meeting, Philadelphia came out on top with a 26-18 win, but Washington’s physicality and ability to protect home turf make this an enticing chess match for bettors.
Our predicted score for this week 16 matchup between the Eagles and Commanders is 23-16 in favor of Washington. With Washington coming in as 3.5-point underdogs at home, we are locking in our pick on them to cover the spread.
For this one, we are going with the UNDER as our top pick vs. the spread. The current O/U line is 45.5 points, and we have this game finishing with just 39 combined points.
With both teams looking to make postseason statements, expect a hard-fought battle worthy of its historic rivalry.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
hustle hard, play harder@NWFCU | #RaiseHail pic.twitter.com/X7ZRGOcMk7
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) December 20, 2024
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