Free Week 13 Prediction: Eagles vs. Titans NFL Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tennessee Titans Free NFL Week 13 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Titans on Sunday, December 4th, 2022 at Lincoln Financial Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia Tennessee Matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
Philadelphia Eagles (10-1) vs. Tennessee Titans (7-4)
Date: Sunday, December 4th, 2022
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: Eagles -5.5 (-110) | Titans +5.5 (-110) (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 13 Moneyline Odds: Eagles -242 | Titans +193
NFL Week 13 NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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Philly continues to raze the NFC on their way to the #1 seed. Tennessee has exceeded expectations all year long and remain firmly in the AFC playoff picture.
Minnesota remains one game behind the Eagles, but money on the table, I think most would say the Eagles are the better team. Kirk Cousins isn’t going to get many people pounding the table, but it also shows what the Eagles have been able to accomplish this year. They’re clearly the top dog and have a favorable schedule to finish the year.
Mike Vrabel is getting chatter for the coach of the year in the AFC and for good reason. Tennessee was dead set for regression, and while they won’t end up the top seed in the conference, getting a top-3 seed is still a major accomplishment. Given their makeup and Henry’s steady production, they remain a team that can’t be overlooked.
Philadelphia Eagles
Philly sits just behind the Bills and Chiefs in points scored this season following their 40 point output on the Packers. The rushing game saw its best game of the year, and actually it was the best single-game effort by any team since the 1960’s.
Hurts had been bottled up in recent weeks, failing to top 40 rushing yards. Week 12 saw his 157 rushing yards pace Eagles ball carriers en route to 363 team rushing yards. The Titans are the NFL’s #1 rush D by DVOA however.
We know the two usual suspects in the receiving corps, but Quez Watkins is silently a very respectable #3 guy. Philly is still beloved by DVOA in total offense and are well-rounded.
The Achilles heel for the Birds has been the run defense this year and that’s not particularly great facing Derrick Henry. Philly is 29th in EPA/rush allowed which throws a wrinkle into how we think this game should play out. The Eagles also have the 5th highest adjusted sack rate, meaning they should get plenty of pressure.
Tennessee Titans
I’ve sang the praises of Henry and the Titans rush game, but DVOA is convinced they’re just average (16th). They do have a favorable matchup this week, and given the state of the Titans receiving corps and the pressure they allow, it could be a strict rushing game.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine and rookie Treylon Burks will have their hands full with the Philly secondary. The likes of Darius Slay, James Bradberry and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson have put up the 2nd best pass D by DVOA. CGJ will miss this game however.
Tennessee has a positive turnover differential on the year and winning that battle in any one game is a critical factor in the outcome. Philly leads the NFL at +13, which means we could see some regression back to the mean. Tennessee has a respectable +2 mark.
There is no shortage of ways the Eagles can attack, so the Titans D will be required to play a complete game. DVOA calls the Titans a top 10 D, but have been just average vs. the pass. Spying Hurts is a must after his nuclear output and their top mark against the run instills confidence.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing Tennessee
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Titans +5.5
Tennessee has traveled well historically and this year is no different. They are 3-1 ATS as a road underdog, covering by an average of 2.8 points.
Philly has been awesome at home this year, but the Titans are no slouches.
This profiles as a playoff game and Vrabel is usually good about having his guys ready. I like taking the points here, especially with how Philly has struggled to defend the run.
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