Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Eagles vs. Patriots Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots free NFL Week 1 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Patriots on Sunday, September 10th at the Gillette Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 10th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
NFL Week 1 ATS Betting Lines: Philadelphia -4 | New England +4
Week 1 NFL Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia -195 | New England +162
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45
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The Eagles and Patriots did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
But over the last three times playing each other, the Eagles have a record of 2-1. The Eagles also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 54 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
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Philadelphia Eagles
The Philadelphia Eagles’ 2022-2023 campaign came to a close with a Super Bowl defeat, as the Eagles suffered a 38-35 loss against the Chiefs. Across the regular season, the Eagles went 14-3 record, going 7-1 on the road and 9-3 at home.
In the NFC-East, Philadelphia finished 5-2 putting them 1st in the standings.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
The Eagles finished last season ranked 3rd in yards per game on an average of 29.0 points per game (2nd). In the passing game, Philadelphia ranked 22nd in passing attempts and 9th in passing yards.
Their ground game saw the Eagles average 152.0 yards per contest (4th).
The Eagles are coming off a season in which they were 7th in points allowed. Opposing team’s finished the year with an average of 19.8 points per game vs. the Eagles defense.
Philadelphia’s run defense wrapped up the season 16th in the NFL, while opponents finished with a completion percentage of 62.9% vs. the Eagles and a passer rating of 77.9.
New England Patriots
After a season in which they finished with an overall record of only 8-9, New England is looking to take a step forward this season.
Within the AFC-East, New England secured a 3rd place finish and went 3-3 record against divisional rivals.
When playing on their home turf, the Patriots went 4-4, while they held a 4-5 record when competing on the road.
New England Patriots Stats
Last season, the Patriots offense averaged 314.6 yards per contest, placing them 25th in the NFL. For the season, they outgained their opponents 10 times and averaged 21.4 points per game (16th).
In the passing game, the Patriots were 20th in the league, while averaging 106.6 rushing yards per game (24th).
When looking at how the Patriots’ defense performed on 3rd down last season, they were 20th in the NFL with opponents converting 40.2% of their 3rd down attempts.
New England finished the season 2nd in turnovers and allowed an average of 20.4, putting them 11th in the NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Patriots have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Patriots’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Eagles vs. Patriots Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | -192 | -195 | -4 | -4 |
| Patriots | +153 | +162 | +4 | +4 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: New England +4
I find the Patriots as home underdogs to be the way to go in this one. PLUS I really like the OVER too.
Noticing a trend here? Yup. Picking home dogs in Week 1. A wise man once told me…
There are weapons all over the field in this one, and I’m expecting 48+ points.
Stevenson, Elliot, Swift, Penny, JuJu, Mac Jones, Jalen Hurts, Miles Sanders, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith. There’s too much talent on the field in this one for the defenses to be up to snuff.
I’m expecting a bunch of points from both offenses in this one, and it will likely be one of the better games we see opening week.
The Patriots bend don’t break defense will do enough in this one when it counts to get them the cover.
At the moment, the Pats odds are +4, which I see as a good value as well. The public is hammering the Eagles. We’re fading them.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Patriots rookies make their regular season debuts as the 2023 season kicks off.@MikeDussault19's #PHIvsNE 10 to watch: https://t.co/kCrqlXhQSl
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 7, 2023
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