Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Eagles vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Eagles taking on the Chiefs on Monday, November 20th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Philadelphia Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(8-1) Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs (7-2)
Date: Monday, November 20th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Philadelphia +3 | Kansas City -3
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +129 | Kansas City -157
NFL Betting Total: O/U 46
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February 12th, 2023. Who can forget that amazing Super Bowl? The 17-3 Chiefs took on the 16-4 Eagles in Super Bowl LVII and the Chiefs prevailed 38-35. Let’s hope we get just as good a game here on Monday night.
The point spread has been bouncing around the number 3 this week, occasionally dropping to Chiefs -2.5. Right now, it’s at 3 (even), but I think the Eagles might attract more bets before the game begins.
With a combined 73 points, the Eagles and Chiefs surpassed the over/under line of 51.5.
The Chiefs covered the spread in this matchup. In last year’s win, the Chiefs finished with 340 of total offense, with 158 coming in the running game and 182 through the air.
On the other side, the Eagles ended the game with 417 of offense.
The Chiefs and Eagles have faced off 10 times, counting 1 playoff showdown. In those clashes, the Chiefs came out on top in 6 games, while the Eagles secured victory in 4.
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In nine games, the Eagles have a 8-1 record. This has them situated 1st in the NFC-East and 1st in the NFC. The Eagles currently hold a 5-2-2 record against the spread. Currently, their average scoring margin is +6.3.
In the Eagles’ 28-23 win over the Cowboys, the two teams were all tied at 0 at halftime. For the game, the Eagles went 7/14 on third down and allowed the Cowboys to convert 40% of their third downs.
The Eagles finished with 292 of total offense.
Going into the game, Philadelphia was favored by 3.5 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jalen Hurts threw for two touchdowns and ran for 1 score.
Hurts completed 73% of his passes for 207 yards.
Philadelphia Eagles Stats
Offensively, the Eagles rushed the ball 33 times against the Cowboys. D’Andre Swift led the ground attack with 43 yards. Jalen Hurts made 23 passing attempts, accumulating 207 yards and achieving a passer rating of 130.
On offense, the Eagles have been one of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 5th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 28 points per game (3rd).
Looking at Philadelphia’s defense, they currently stand 15th in points allowed.
Opponents have been averaging 21.7 points per game and 323.3 yards per contest against them.
Kansas City Chiefs
Heading into week 11,Kansas City is in 1st place in the AFC-West, sitting with an overall record of 7-2. In the AFC, they find themselves in 1st place. In terms of the spread, the Chiefs hold a record of 6-3.
This has come on an average scoring margin of +7.2.
On offense, the Chiefs racked up 267 yards in their 21-14 win over the Dolphins. For the game, the Chiefs ran for 93 yards on an average of 3.9 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 292 yards of total offense with 175 yards coming through the air and 117 on the ground.
Kansas City went into the game as the underdog (+0.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Patrick Mahomes threw for 185 yards while completing 66% of his passes and throwing for 185. Mahomes threw for two touchdowns.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Offensively, the Chiefs rushed the ball 24 times against the Dolphins. Isiah Pacheco led the ground attack with 66 yards.
Patrick Mahomes made 30 passing attempts, accumulating 185 yards and achieving a passer rating of 105.
On the offensive front, the Chiefs are currently averaging 23.1 points per game, positioning them 12th in the NFL.
Looking at Kansas City’s defense, they currently stand 2nd in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 15.9 points per game and 288.2 yards per contest against them.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Eagles are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Eagles’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Eagles vs. Chiefs Line Movement
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Philadelphia +3
What a game we’ve got lined up! Philly scores an average of 28 points per game, ranking 3rd in the league, while the Chiefs are 13th with 23 points per game.
On the defensive side, the Chiefs are a force, allowing just 15.89 points per game, which is the 2nd best in the league, while the Eagles are 18th, giving up 21.67 points per game.
When it comes to making the most of their opportunities in the red zone, the Eagles are doing well, ranking 12th with a red zone efficiency of 55%, while the Chiefs are close behind at 13th with 54%. It’s going to be an exciting matchup to see how these stats translate onto the field.
Considering Kansas City’s recent struggles in the passing game against Miami, and that brutal game against the Broncos I’m not feeling overly optimistic about a sudden change. Sure KC had a bye, and a bye usually cures what ails you, but in this case I’m not 100% sure.
That’s why I’m liking Philadelphia as 3-point underdogs. Philadelphia are 11-2 SU in their last 13 on the road.
THIS one is going WAY OVER. The total has gone OVER in 5 of KC’s last 6 against Phili.
Games featuring Philadelphia this season have averaged 49.7 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 46, I’m backing the over.
Of course let’s not forget that Kansas City is undefeated when Taylor Swift attends a game to see her guy T. Kelce. Will that trend continue? Weigh in below, let us hear from you!
This will be the most electric atmosphere of any game we’ve seen this year. I can’t wait!
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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Brotherly Love (With Taylor)
The 4th meeting between the Kelce brothers? Count us in. pic.twitter.com/LHYYcI9NEi
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 17, 2023
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