Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Jets vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the 49ers on Monday, September 9th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers (0-0)
Date: Monday, September 9th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +3.5 | San Francisco -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +163 | San Francisco -195
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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Jets vs. 49ers Gameday
Get ready for a thrilling Week 1 matchup as the NFL season kicks off with the New York Jets taking on the San Francisco 49ers! This Monday night showdown at Levi’s Stadium promises to set the tone for what should be an epic season.
The Jets, with their revamped roster, are looking to make a statement, but the 49ers are favorites for a reason, laying 3.5 points at home.
The line is sitting at New York +3.5 and San Francisco -3.5, with a total set at 42.5, and there’s a strong play here for savvy bettors.
Last season, the Jets and 49ers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the 49ers have the leg up at 2-1. The 49ers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 39 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
New York Jets
The Jets went 3-6 against teams with winning records and 4-4 against teams with losing records. Their overall record for the 2023 season was 7-10, and they finished 3rd in the AFC East with a 2-4 division record. New York’s non-conference games were a bright spot, as they went 3-2. The Jets’ games had an average combined scoring of 36.6 points, and their over/under record was 7-10.
When favored, the Jets went 2-1, and as underdogs, they went 5-9. Against the spread, New York was 6-10-1, with a 4-5 mark at home and a 2-5-1 mark on the road. The Jets wrapped up the season 13th in the AFC, missing the playoffs.
New York Jets Stats
At just 15.8 points per game, the Jets’ offense was one of the worst in the league last season, ranking 29th. They were dead last in the power rankings, averaging only 268.6 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play, ranking 32nd in both categories. In the passing game, the Jets averaged 171.7 yards per game, ranking 30th, while their running game ranked 22nd in yards with 96.9 per game.
New York’s struggles were evident in their inability to sustain drives, as they ranked 28th in third-down conversion percentage. Their overall struggles on offense led to a season in which they scored more than 20 points in just four games.
Mike Williams, who played in three games for the Chargers last season, is joining the Jets’ receiving group. Garrett Wilson, coming into his 3rd season, led the Jets with 1042 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Xavier Gipson, entering his 2nd season, had 229 receiving yards on 21 catches last year. Williams averaged 10.4 fantasy points per game last year.
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Despite finishing 10th in points allowed, the Jets’ defense was one of the top units in the league last season, ranking 3rd in our defensive power rankings. They were tough against the pass, giving up just 168.3 yards per game, the best in the NFL. Overall, they allowed just 292.3 yards per game, the 2nd best figure in the league.
The Jets also excelled in pressuring the quarterback, finishing 3rd in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks. Forcing turnovers was another strength, as they had 27 takeaways, the 5th best figure in the league.
San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers’ ATS record last season was 9-10-1, and they ended the season with a 12-5 record after finishing 2nd in the Super Bowl to the Chiefs, falling 25-22. San Francisco was strong on the road, going 7-3, and they were also good at home, going 7-3. They were the favorite in all of their games and had a 5-3 record as home favorites. The 49ers excelled within their division, going 5-1 in the NFC West and finished the season with a 12-2 record against NFC opponents.
Against the spread, the 49ers were 4-1 vs. below .500 teams and 5-9-1 vs. above .500 teams. Their over/under record was 10-8-2, and their games averaged 47.3 points per game. Their games ranked 7th in the league in average combined scoring.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
San Francisco’s record against the spread was 9-10-1, and they finished the season with a 10-8-2 over/under record. The 49ers were tough as road favorites, going 6-2-1 against the spread, but they were only 3-7 at home. The 49ers’ games had a combined average of 47.3 points per game, which was 7th in the league. When favored, the 49ers went 9-10-1 against the spread.
Overall, the 49ers were 12-5 last season, and they advanced to the Super Bowl before falling to the Chiefs, 25-22. In the regular season, the 49ers were dominant within their division, going 5-1 in the NFC West. They finished the season with a 12-2 record against NFC opponents. Out of conference, they struggled a bit, going 2-4. The 49ers were favored in all of their games last season.
Brandon Aiyuk, who is heading into his 5th season, is a key part of the 49ers’ receiving group, coming off a season in which he had 1,342 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. Deebo Samuel Sr. also had seven receiving touchdowns and finished with 892 receiving yards last year. Jauan Jennings, heading into his 4th season, played in 13 games and finished with 265 receiving yards and one touchdown last year.
San Francisco’s defense was one of the best at getting to the quarterback last season, finishing 3rd in quarterback hits and 7th in sacks. They allowed just 18.8 points per game, ranking 4th in the league, and held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 77.51, which was 4th best in the NFL. The 49ers also forced 28 takeaways and had the 3rd best turnover differential in the league.
Overall, the 49ers’ defense was 11th in the NFL, and they gave up 319.7 yards per game. Against the run, they were tough, allowing just 4.1 yards per attempt (6th). In terms of their performance on the road, they allowed only 17 points per game, the 2nd best figure in the league.
New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 1-1-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. 49ers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | +207 | +162 | +6 | +3.5 |
| 49ers | -259 | -194 | -6 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: San Francisco -3.5
Looking at this matchup from a handicapping perspective, the 49ers have all the ingredients to dominate early, especially at home. San Francisco’s defense is elite, and with weapons like Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey, they’ve got the firepower to take control of this game. The Jets, while improving, are still facing questions at key positions and might struggle to keep pace.
I’m confidently picking the 49ers to cover that -3.5 spread, with a predicted final score of 26-14. Not only are they set up to control the tempo, but the 49ers’ home-field advantage should be a factor here.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards the under, with a projected combined score of 40 points. There’s a solid argument for the under, given the stout 49ers defense and some early-season offensive rust from New York.
Buckle up, folks—Week 1 NFL action is here, and this one’s a prime betting opportunity!
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New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Your 2024 Team Captains ⭐️ pic.twitter.com/4n0gJ0EVBp
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) September 5, 2024
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