Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Jets vs. Steelers Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Steelers on Sunday, October 20th at the Acrisure Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Pittsburgh Sunday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
Sunday Night Football on NBC
(2-4) New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh PA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York -1.5 | Pittsburgh +1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New York -118 | Pittsburgh -102
NFL Betting Total: O/U 36.5
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Buckle up, folks! We’ve got a classic AFC showdown for Sunday Night Football as the New York Jets (2-4) head to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers (4-2) under the lights at Acrisure Stadium. The Jets are in full desperation mode, riding a three-game skid, but don’t count them out just yet.
With Rodgers and Adams back in sync, New York has the firepower to snap their losing streak and flip the script on a season that hasn’t lived up to expectations. They’re just -1.5 favorites, and for good reason—the pressure is on, and this team knows it’s now or never.
The Jets and Steelers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Jets have a record of 2-1.
The Jets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 37 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
New York Jets
Heading into week 7, the Jets are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 23-20 home loss to the Bills in week 6. This dropped New York to 2-4, putting them 3rd in the AFC East. They are 1-1 in division games and 2-2 in conference play. Our power rankings have the Jets 11th, and they have a 46.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 12.6% chance of winning the division.
New York is 2-4 against the spread and has also lost three straight ATS. They were 1-point underdogs vs. Buffalo but couldn’t cover. The combined scoring in the game was 43 points, going over the 41.5-point line. The Jets’ O/U record is 2-3-1 this season.
New York Jets Stats
Heading into week 7, the Jets rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game (18.8) and 22nd in yards per game (304.3). New York has been pass-heavy, ranking 3rd in passing attempts, but they are 16th in passing yards per game, averaging 217.2. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing attempts and 30th in rushing yards per game (87.2). The Jets are 11th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and 10th in red zone conversion rate (41.2%).
Aaron Rodgers threw for 294 yards (23/35) and 2 touchdowns in week 6, with 1 interception. Allen Lazard led the team with 114 receiving yards on 6 catches, while Breece Hall rushed for 113 yards on 18 carries. The Jets scored 10 points in the 1st quarter but were shut out in the 4th. They converted 4 of 12 3rd-down attempts and went 1/4 in the red zone.
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In their 23-20 loss to the Bills, the Jets’ defense allowed Buffalo to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts. The Jets gave up 149 rushing yards on 33 attempts, with Buffalo finishing at 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground. Through the air, the Jets allowed 210 yards on 19 completions, with Buffalo finding the endzone twice. Additionally, the Jets allowed the Bills to complete 76% of their passes.
New York’s defense managed two sacks in the game but lost both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials, with -3 in each category. The Jets will look to improve defensively in their next game after allowing the Bills to finish with 359 total yards.
Pittsburgh Steelers
After two straight losses, the Steelers bounced back in week 6, defeating the Raiders 32-13 on the road. Pittsburgh entered the game as 3.5-point favorites and covered the spread with ease. The 45 combined points went over the 37-point line. This win puts the Steelers at 4-2, including a 3-1 record in conference play. They currently rank 2nd in the AFC North and 5th in the AFC.
Heading into week 7, our projections give Pittsburgh a 70.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 23.3% chance of winning the division. They rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. The Steelers have an average scoring margin of +6.3 points per game and are 4-2 against the spread. Their O/U record is 2-4, with their games averaging 35 points compared to an O/U line of 39.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
Heading into week 7, the Steelers are 18th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.7 points per game. They rank 26th in the NFL with 298.3 passing yards per game and 28th in passing yards, with 166.8 per game, on 26.8 attempts per game (27th). Pittsburgh leans on the run game, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game, with 131.5. They rank 17th in 3rd-down conversions and 12th in red zone efficiency, despite being 8th in red zone attempts.
In week 6, Justin Fields threw for 145 yards on 14/24 passing, after a 131-yard performance in week 5 and a 312-yard game in week 4. Najee Harris rushed for 106 yards on 14 carries, and George Pickens led the team with 53 receiving yards. The Steelers scored 10 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters against the Raiders.
In their 32-13 win over the Raiders, the Steelers’ defense was outstanding on third downs, allowing just an 18.2% conversion rate. They limited the Raiders to 57 rushing yards on only 19 attempts and gave up just 275 total yards. The Steelers also picked off one pass and held the Raiders to 5.4 yards per pass attempt.
Pittsburgh allowed 218 passing yards and one passing touchdown while the Raiders completed 67.5% of their passes. The Steelers’ defense managed one sack in the game.
New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Steelers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Jets are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Steelers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.
- The Steelers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. Steelers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | -115 | -118 | -1 | -1.5 |
| Steelers | -105 | -102 | +1 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: New York -1.5
Pittsburgh, however, is no pushover, especially at home. The Steelers lead the all-time series against the Jets 20-7, and you better believe they’ll be looking to add to that tally.
But here’s the kicker—Russell Wilson is set to take first-team reps for Pittsburgh, and frankly, I’m not sold on Russ at this stage in his career.
His best days are behind him, and the Steelers’ offense could stall with him under center.
For this week seven matchup between the Jets and Steelers, we have the Jets pulling off the win with a 26-14 beatdown on the Steelers. With the Jets being 1.5-point road favorites, they are our pick to not only win but also cover the spread.
Rodgers and Adams reunited again. The chemistry will be on full display and I’m expecting fireworks for the Jets offense.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at just 36.5 points, we like the OVER, projecting these teams to combine for 40 points.
With the spread set at a razor-thin -1.5 in favor of New York, and an over/under of just 36.5, this one could easily turn into a gritty, Jets defensive stalemate with them putting the clamps down on a Russell Wilson led offense.
Will the Jets finally turn things around? Or can Pittsburgh’s defense hold strong at home? Keep your eyes peeled and your bets sharp—this is going to be a wild ride!
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New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Russell Wilson and Justin Fields speak to the media on Thursday, Oct. 17 ahead of the Steelers game against the Jets: pic.twitter.com/PlT42ar6d6
— Steelers Live (@SteelersLive) October 17, 2024
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