Free NFL Week 18 Pick: Jets vs. Patriots Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. New England Patriots free NFL Week 18 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Patriots on Sunday, January 7th at the Gillette Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 18 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 18
(6-10) New York Jets vs. New England Patriots (4-12)
Date: Sunday, January 7th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA
NFL Week 18 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +2.5 | New England -2.5
Week 18 NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +118 | New England -142
NFL Betting Total: O/U 30.5
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The Patriots face uncertainty as their matchup against the Jets raises questions about Bill Belichick’s potential departure, marking the possible end of an era.
Meanwhile, the Jets’ recent performance against the Browns appeared lackluster and uninspired.
During their first meeting, Patriots secured a 15-10 win against Jets. Taking the point spread into account, Patriots were the favorites by -2.5 and they covered it with a 5 point victory.
The over/under line going into the game was 35.5 points, which the teams fell short of.
The Patriots and Jets have squared off 129 times, which includes three postseason matchups. The Pats have emerged victorious in 74 of these contests, while the Jets have secured 54 wins. Additionally, they’ve ended in a tie one time.
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New York Jets
As the Jets face off against their division rival, they are 6-10 overall and have gone 1-4 in their five division games.
Heading into week 18, the Jets are in 3rd place in the AFC-East. When looking at how they have played on the road, they are 2-5 so far this year. The Jets have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 5-10-1.
Defensively, the Jets gave up 428 yards of total offense to the Browns in a 37-20 loss.
The Browns ran the ball for 127 yards while throwing for 301. On offense, the Jets went 6/16 on 3rd down and finished with 360 yards of total offense. New York’s 17 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6.5 point underdogs.
Trevor Siemian threw for 261 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 261. Siemian threw for one touchdown.
New York Jets Stats
Against the Browns’ defense, Siemian led the way with 261 passing yards and a completion rate of 71%. On the ground, the Jets ran the ball 21 times for 107 yards. The team had 6 third-down conversions (37.5%).
Coming into week 18, the Jets offense is 26th in the league at 15.7 points per contest.
The Jets defense comes into the game with rankings of 3rd in tackles for loss and 10th in sacks.
Their opponents have been scoring 22 points per game and gaining 303.1 yards (per game).
New England Patriots
Heading into week 18,New England is in 4th place in the AFC-East, sitting with an overall record of 4-12. In the AFC, they find themsevles in 16th place.
The Patriots’ have a scoring margin of -7.2 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 5-10-1.
In the Patriots’ loss to the Bills, they finished with 294 yards of offense and only 16 first downs. The Bills’ offense threw for 154 against the Patriots’ secondary and ran for 127 yards.
Even though New England lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 14.5-point underdogs.
Even though Bailey Zappe did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 209 yards on 26 attempts.
New England Patriots Stats
New England’s offense produced a total of 294 yards against the Bills. When it came to third downs, the Patriots had a conversion rate of 40%.
The leading rusher for the Patriots was Ezekiel Elliott with 39 yards, and Zappe contributed 209 passing yards.
New England’s offense is 29th in the league, with an average of 14.6 points per contest.
In terms of defense, the Patriots hold the 14th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 15th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 21.8 points and gain 304.6 yards per game against them.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Patriots have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Patriots’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. Patriots Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jets | +105 | +118 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
Patriots | -125 | -142 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 18 NFL Betting Prediction: New England -2.5
Look for New England to get off a strong start on offense, as in their previous game they put up seven first quarter points.
The Jets have struggled recently, going 1-8 against the spread (ATS) and 2-7 in straight-up (SU) wins in their last 9 games.
Additionally, they are 0-6 ATS against New England and 2-10 SU in their last 12 road games. New England has been dominant at home, winning all 10 of their last 10 home games against the Jets. (Sure, a few of those were with Brady. LOL)
Coming into the game, the Patriots are favored by 2.5 on the road and we see them picking up the win and covering the spread.
My bet for this game is the over, with the current over/under line at 30.5.
So far this season, New England games have averaged a combined score of 36.4 points, and I foresee this game surpassing 30.5.
New England has seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 5 games and in 6 of their last 8 games against AFC conference opponents, as well as 5 of their last 7 games against AFC East rivals.
On the other side the Jets have witnessed the total go OVER in 4 of their last 6.
Jets Patriots NFL Handicapping
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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The potential plan for New England's offseason and discussing the playoff picture.@pfwpaul's Week 17 thoughts: https://t.co/jcS1Du4L43 pic.twitter.com/erlv4BFWDH
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) January 2, 2024
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