Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Jets vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, December 8th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
(3-9) New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins (5-7)
Date: Sunday, December 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +6.5 | Miami -6.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +241 | Miami -299
NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
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Week 14 brings us a classic AFC East rivalry as the Dolphins host the Jets at Hard Rock Stadium. With Miami leading the all-time series 60–56–1 and riding a three-game win streak over New York, the Dolphins are looking to continue their dominance.
The Dolphins have been nearly untouchable at home in this matchup, winning their last eight meetings against New York in Miami.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Dolphins have the leg up at 3-0. The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 31 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The Jets are reeling, going 1-7 straight up in their last eight games against the Dolphins and struggling mightily on the road.
New York Jets
Heading into week 14, the Jets are on a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-21 loss to the Seahawks in week 13. New York was a 1.5-point favorite at home but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 3-9. This puts them 3rd in the AFC East and 12th in the conference. According to our power rankings, the Jets are 20th in the league, and they have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs.
Against the spread, the Jets are 3-9 this season and have failed to cover in three straight games. They are 3-6 ATS as favorites and 0-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-5-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.
New York Jets Stats
Heading into week 14, the Jets rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They’re 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 30th in yards per game with 291.3. Despite ranking 6th in passing attempts, they are 23rd in passing yards per game, averaging 204. On the ground, they are 29th in both rushing attempts and yards per game, with 87.3.
Aaron Rodgers threw for 185 yards (21/39) with 2 touchdowns and an interception in week 13 against Seattle. The Jets scored 21 points, all in the first half. Breece Hall had 60 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Davante Adams caught 5 passes for 66 yards and a touchdown. New York converted 5 of 13 third downs and went 2/3 in the red zone.
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Despite their 26-21 loss to the Seahawks, the Jets’ defense held Seattle to just 84 yards rushing on 23 attempts. The Jets’ defensive line was able to get into the backfield, finishing with three sacks and three tackles for loss.
Seattle found more success through the air, with 175 passing yards and one touchdown. The Jets’ defense held the Seahawks to 30.8% on third down and limited them to 259 total yards.
Miami Dolphins
Heading into week 14, the Dolphins hold a 5-7 record, putting them 2nd in the AFC East. After winning three straight games, Miami couldn’t keep the streak going in week 13, losing 30-17 on the road to the Packers. Before that, they had picked up wins over the Patriots, Raiders, and Rams. In week 12, they beat New England 34-15, covering the 7.5-point spread.
According to our power rankings, Miami is 17th in the league, and we give them an 8.9% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, they are 5-7, with an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. Their O/U record is also 5-7, with their games averaging 41.5 points compared to an average line of 45.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Heading into week 14, the Dolphins rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.3, and 19th in yards per game, with 328.2. Miami ranks 18th in passing yards per game (217.8) and 22nd in rushing yards per game (110.3). They are 11th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate, converting 40.6% of their attempts.
Tua Tagovailoa has been playing well, throwing for 365 yards and 2 touchdowns on 37/46 passing in week 13 against the Packers. He had a passer rating of 114 in that game. Jonnu Smith led the team with 10 catches for 113 yards, while Raheem Mostert had 19 rushing yards on 5 carries.
In their 30-17 loss to the Packers, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 388 yards and 114 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Miami gave up 274 passing yards on 21 completions, with two touchdowns allowed through the air. Opposing quarterbacks completed 75% of their passes against Miami.
The Dolphins’ defense struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Additionally, opponents converted on 45.5% of their third down attempts against Miami.
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jets are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | +110 | +241 | +2 | +6.5 |
| Dolphins | -130 | -299 | -2 | -6.5 |
4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -6.5
The Dolphins, listed as 6.5-point favorites, have been solid against the spread, covering in four of their last five games. Meanwhile, New York’s road woes persist, as they’ve gone 1-5 against the spread in their last six away games.
Miami’s balanced offense and stingy defense make them tough to beat at home, especially against a Jets team that’s just 1-5 ATS versus AFC opponents.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Dolphins to cover as home favorites in this week 14 matchup. The point spread line has the Fins at -6.5, and we have them winning by a score of 28-20.
With a total set at 45.5, this game could hinge on whether the Jets can muster any offensive spark or if Miami continues to shut them down, as they did in last December’s 30–0 rout.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 45.5 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 48 points.
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New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Cleats with special causes for #WallpaperWednesday 📱🧡 pic.twitter.com/Mn3VW89cNj
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) December 4, 2024
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