Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Jets vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Jets taking on the Broncos on Sunday, October 8th at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(1-3) New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos (1-3)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +2 | Denver -2
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +111 | Denver -135
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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If you’ve ever tuned in to the classic TV series ‘Home Improvement’ starring Tim Allen, you may have pondered the mystery of why the Taylor family’s neighbor, Wilson, never revealed his face. In a similar vein, these two fanbases football fans have their own desires, as neither team’s supporters (Jets & Broncos) seem content with their current quarterbacks or their teams for that matter.
You’re starting to see paper bags on heads in the stadiums.
Sunday, we witness a showdown between two QB’s, both of whom their respective fan bases would likely replace given the opportunity. Both named “Wilson”.
Week 5 of the NFL season is about to bring us a matchup that’s got football fans buzzing with anticipation (tongue in cheek). On Sunday, October 8th, at 4:25 ET, the (1-3) Jets are packing their bags and heading to the high-altitude battleground of Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado, to face off against the (1-3) Broncos.
Both teams had their sights set higher for the 2023 season, and now they collide in a quest to turn their fortunes around.
Now, let’s talk numbers. The Jets have been a surprising 2-2 ATS this season, showing they might have a few tricks up their sleeves. On the other hand, the Broncos have struggled to cover the spread, coming in at a not-so-surprising 0-3-1 ATS.
The odds reflect this with New York getting +2 points, and Denver laying -2. The moneyline odds are set at New York +111 and Denver -135, making it a closely contested game. The over/under for total points in this matchup is set at 43.5, leaving us with some interesting choices on the table.
As we delve into the history between these two teams the Jets and Broncos have clashed 40 times, including one postseason game, with the Jets winning 17, the Broncos securing 22 wins, and one game ending in a tie. The Broncos currently hold the series lead at 22-17-1.
In Week 4, the Jets narrowly lost to the Kansas City Chiefs, while the Broncos emerged victorious against the Bears in a close battle. It felt like a contest for the top pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.
In their only head to head matchup last season, the Jets won by a score of 16-9. In last year’s matchup, the Jets covered the spread, while the team’s combined for 25 which was below the over/under line of 37 points.
In the win, the Jets racked up 260 yards of total offense compared to the Broncos at 324.
The Jets rushed for 155 yards and threw for 105 in the game.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for expert insights and analysis on this exciting Week 5 showdown!
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New York Jets
Entering week 5, New York is positioned 4th in the AFC-East with a 1-3 record. In the AFC, they are currently in 13th place. The Jets have a 2-2 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, their average scoring margin is -5.5.
In their loss to the Chiefs, New York didn’t put up any points in the first quarter. The Jets totaled 336 yards on offense while allowing 401 yards on defense. Even though New York lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 8-point underdogs.
Zach Wilson threw for 245 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 245.
Wilson threw for two touchdowns.
New York Jets Stats
Facing the Chiefs defense, New York’s offense amassed 336 yards in total. On third downs, the Jets converted at a rate of 41.7%. Breece Hall led the rushing game with 56 yards, while Zach Wilson threw for 245 yards.
On offense, the Jets are currently averaging 15.5 points per game, ranking them 24th in the NFL.
In terms of defense, the Jets hold the 6th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 10th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 21 points and gain 363.8 yards per game against them.
Denver Broncos
At home, the Broncos have a record of 0-2 this season and are 1-3 overall.
When looking at the standings, Denver is 16th in the AFC and 4th in the AFC-West. On the road, Denver has gone 1-1 thus far.
The current scoring margin for the Broncos’ is -12.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 0-3-1.
Even after falling behind by 14 at halftime, the Broncos still went on to beat the Bears. The Broncos’ offense finished the game with 311 yards of offense while allowing the Bears to finish with 471.
The Broncos went 6/11 compared to 6/12 for the Bears. Going into the game, Denver was favored by 3, resulting in an ATS push for both teams. Russell Wilson threw for 223 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 223.
Wilson threw for three touchdowns.
Denver Broncos Stats
Against the Bears, the Broncos ran the ball 19 times, with Jaleel McLaughlin as the primary rusher, accumulating 72 yards. Russell Wilson attempted 28 passes, amassing 223 yards and a passer rating of 133.
On offense, the Broncos are averaging 25 points per game, putting them 10th in the NFL.
The Broncos defense takes on the Jets having given up an average of 37.5 points per game. So far, they are 10th in quarterback hits and are giving up 461.5 yards per contest.
New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Jets are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Jets are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Jets’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Jets vs. Broncos Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets | +138 | +111 | +3 | +2 |
| Broncos | -164 | -135 | -3 | -2 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +2
My point spread pick for this game between the Jets and Broncos is in favor of the Jets covering as road underdogs. They are currently getting 2 points, and I expect them to cover this spread.
There’s not a lot of faith in Russell “Wilson” at this point of his career. He’s a frail shadow of his former self.
If the Broncos were able to allow Justin Fields to pass for 335 yards and score 4 touchdowns, they have the potential to replicate this performance against the Jets.
Denver are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games, and 0-4-1 ATS in their L5.
I’m taking the under for this game with the over/under line of 43.5. So far this season, New York has an average margin of -3.5 points against their over/under lines.
My model calls for a 41 point total game. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the Jets’ last 9 games, plus we’ve seen the UNDER hit in 8 of the Jets’ last 9 games when playing on the road against the Broncs.
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New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Possible reinforcements coming…
https://twitter.com/Broncos/status/1709309890827554863
https://twitter.com/Broncos/status/1709305326678192282
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