Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Giants vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, October 8th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(1-3) New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins (3-1)
Date: Sunday, October 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +10.5 | Miami -10.5
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +400 | Miami -534
NFL Betting Total: O/U 49.5
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Get ready for an exciting NFL showdown as the struggling New York Giants (1-3) take on the surging Miami Dolphins (3-1) at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, on Sunday, October 8th, at 1:00 ET. The Giants find themselves at 0-4 ATS, while the Dolphins have been a pleasant surprise at 3-1 ATS.
As for the betting odds, in Week 5, the Giants are the underdogs at +10.5, while the Dolphins are favored at -10.5. The moneyline odds stand at New York +400 and Miami -534, with the game’s total set at O/U 49.5.
In the history of their rivalry, the Giants and Dolphins have clashed ten times, with the Giants holding the upper hand, winning seven games to the Dolphins’ three. However, recent performances have been less than stellar for both teams.
The Giants suffered a 24-3 loss to the 3-1 Seattle Seahawks, marked by three turnovers, including a costly 97-yard interception return for a touchdown.
On the other hand, the Dolphins, despite accumulating 393 yards of offense, were dominated by division rival Buffalo, losing 48-20, exposing some weaknesses in their game.
The Giants and Dolphins did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Giants have a record of 2-1. The Giants also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for in-depth insights into this intriguing matchup!
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New York Giants
As they get ready to face the Dolphins, the Giants carry in a 1-3 record. Within the NFC-East, they are currently in 4th place and are positioned 13th in the NFC overall. The Giants hold a 0-4 record against the spread.
As we approach week 5, their scoring margin stands at -19 per game.
Defensively, the Giants gave up 281 yards of total offense to the Seahawks in a 24-3 loss. The Seahawks ran the ball for 121 yards while throwing for 160. On offense, the Giants went 6/16 on 3rd down and finished with 248 yards of total offense.
New York’s 21 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. Daniel Jones did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 27 of 34 passes for 203 yards.
Jones ended the game with a passer rating of 67, and the Giants gave up a whopping 11 sacks to the Seahawks defense.
New York Giants Stats
On offense, the Giants finished with 248 yards against the Seahawks. On third-down situations, the Giants had a 37.5% conversion rate. Notably, Daniel Jones led the rushing attack with 66 yards, while Daniel Jones passed for 203 yards.
The New York offense is currently ranked 27th in the league, averaging 11.5 points per contest.
On defense, the Giants come into the game ranked 6th in tackles for loss and 12th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 30.5 points per game vs. them along with an average of 341.5 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins
Over the course of four games, the Dolphins have put together a record of 3-1. This positions them 2nd in the AFC-East and 5th in the AFC. Against the spread, the Dolphins have a record of 3-1.
Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +7.8.
The Dolphins were unable to overcome a bad first half in which they trailed by 17 and ended up losing to the Bills. Overall, the Dolphins put up 393 yards of offense while allowing 414.
The Bills finished the game going 5/10 on 3rd down. Miami’s 28 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 282 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 282.
Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Against the Bills, the Dolphins ran the ball 19 times, with De’Von Achane as the top rusher, gaining 101 yards. Tua Tagovailoa attempted 35 passes, amassing 282 yards and a passer rating of 92.
On the offensive front, the Dolphins are currently averaging 37.5 points per game, positioning them 1st in the NFL.
Thus far, the Dolphins’ defense has given up an average of 374.5 yards per game and 29.8 points per contest (25th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 71.0% and have surrendered seven passing touchdowns.
When it comes to run defense, they rank 21st in the NFL.
New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Giants are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Giants are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Giants’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Giants vs. Dolphins Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | +330 | +400 | +8.5 | +10.5 |
| Dolphins | -420 | -534 | -8.5 | -10.5 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -10.5
As road underdogs, there is no way in hell I can with any brainpower put any faith in the Giants right now. Right now, they are at -10.5, and I’ll be locking them in at this number while I can. Miami are 6-1 ATS in their last 7, and they’re 13-2 in their L15 at home in Miami.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has New York and Miami finishing with a combined 45 points. With the over/under line sitting at 49.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.
It may be 45-0 by the end of it. (Barkley or no Barkley)
Don’t overthink this one folks!
There’s too many weapons for the underwhelming Giants defense to keep up with. Tua, Achane, Waddle, Hill, Mostert will run ragged on the Giants in this one.
The Giants are 0-5 ATS in their L5, are 6-13 in their L19 on the road, and are 2-4 ATS in their L6 in Miami.
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New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
#InsideTheNumbers of #MIAvsBUF
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 3, 2023
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