Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Giants vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Cowboys on Thursday, November 28th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Dallas Thanksgiving Day NFL matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
Thanksgiving Day NFL
(2-9) New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
Date: Thursday, November 28th
Time: 4:30 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +3.5 | Dallas -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +163 | Dallas -195
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37.5
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It’s Thanksgiving Day football, and what better way to kick off the holiday action than with one of the NFL’s most storied rivalries: Giants vs. Cowboys!
These two teams have clashed 125 times, with Dallas dominating the series at 76-47-2, including a nail-biting 20-15 win earlier this year.
This time around though we won’t see Prescott vs. Jones—both starting QBs are NOT playing in this one. (Jones is not even on the Giants any longer), making this the fourth Thanksgiving game in the Super Bowl Era featuring two quarterbacks with fewer than 10 career starts.
Talk about a wild card showdown!When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Cowboys have the leg up at 3-0. The Cowboys also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The betting landscape adds even more intrigue. The Cowboys come in at -3.5 favorites with a moneyline of -195, while the Giants sit at +3.5 and +163 to pull off the upset. The total is set at a modest 37.5, reflecting two struggling offenses trying to find their footing.
New York Giants
Heading into week 13, the Giants sit at 2-9 and are on a six-game losing streak. This includes a 30-7 home loss to the Buccaneers in week 12. New York was a 6-point underdog in that matchup and couldn’t cover the spread, putting their ATS record at 3-8 this season. They’ve also dropped six straight against the spread. The O/U line for the Bucs game was 40 points, and the teams combined for 37, marking the second consecutive game the under has hit in Giants games.
Our power rankings have the Giants 30th going into week 13, and they have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-6 at home this season but 2-3 on the road. In their five away games, they have a win over the Seahawks and a loss to the Panthers, plus a win over the Browns in week 3.
New York Giants Stats
Heading into week 13, the Giants rank 28th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 14.8 points per game, which is 30th in the NFL. They are 24th in the league in total yards, with 303.8 per game, and they rank 28th in passing yards, despite being 8th in attempts. On the ground, New York is 19th in rushing yards, with 115.9 per game, on 26.5 attempts per contest.
In week 12, the Giants struggled to get going early, failing to score until the 4th quarter in their 30-7 loss to the Buccaneers. Tommy Devito threw for 189 yards on 21/31 passing, but he was sacked 4 times. Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team with 42 rushing yards, while Malik Nabers had 6 catches for 64 yards.
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Despite allowing 157 rushing yards on 32 attempts, the Giants gave up 294 passing yards to the Buccaneers in their most recent game, resulting in a 30-7 loss. The Giants’ defense allowed 451 total yards in the game. Tampa Bay was highly efficient in the passing game, completing 80% of their passes and averaging 9.8 yards per attempt. New York struggled to get off the field, allowing the Buccaneers to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts.
The Giants also failed to record a sack in this game and lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -3. Although they gave up a significant amount of yards on the ground, the Giants didn’t allow any rushing touchdowns, with all of Tampa Bay’s points coming through the air.
Dallas Cowboys
Heading into week 13, the Cowboys have a 4-7 record, putting them 3rd in the NFC East. They snapped a four-game losing streak with a 34-26 win over the Commanders in week 12. Dallas was a 10.5-point underdog in that game, but they came away with the win, improving their road record to 4-2. However, they are 0-5 at home this season.
Our projections give the Cowboys a 0.6% chance of making the playoffs, and they rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings. Dallas has an average scoring margin of -8.9 points per game and is 3-8 against the spread. Their O/U record is 7-4, with the over hitting in each of their last two games.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Heading into week 13, the Cowboys rank 29th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.3) and are 8th in passing yards, averaging 240.6 per game. Cooper Rush threw for 247 yards (24/32) and 2 touchdowns in week 12, following his 354-yard performance in week 11. CeeDee Lamb had 10 catches for 67 yards in week 12, and Rico Dowdle rushed for 86 yards on 19 carries.
On the ground, Dallas ranks 31st in rushing yards per game (82.5) and 29th in attempts. They are 25th in the NFL on 3rd down, converting 34.3% of their attempts, and they scored just 2/11 in week 12. However, they are 2nd in the league in red zone conversion percentage.
In their 34-26 win over Washington, the Cowboys’ defense gave up 145 yards on the ground, with Washington averaging 5.8 yards per attempt on 25 rushes. Despite this, the Cowboys’ defense came up with two interceptions and four sacks. Washington finished with 412 total yards, but Dallas limited them to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. The Cowboys allowed 267 passing yards and two passing touchdowns while holding Washington to a 65.8% completion percentage.
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Giants are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Giants are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Giants’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Giants vs. Cowboys Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | +345 | +163 | +9.5 | +3.5 |
| Cowboys | -455 | -194 | -9.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: Dallas -3.5
Historically, Dallas has owned New York, covering the spread in 11 of their last 15 meetings and winning seven straight outright. On the flip side, the Giants are on a brutal ATS slide, failing to cover in six straight games—their worst streak since 2003-04.
This matchup has everything a gambler loves: history, drama, and uncertainty.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Cowboys to cover as home favorites in this week 13 matchup. The point spread line has the Boys at -3.5, and we have them covering & winning by a score of 21-14.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 35 points and the O/U line sitting at just 37.5 points.
Can the Cowboys’ defense take advantage of a shaky Giants offense? Or will New York defy the odds and end their Thanksgiving Day misery?
Whatever happens, this game is shaping up to be a low-scoring, high-stakes battle under the bright lights of AT&T Stadium.
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New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
let’s feast 🍽️ #NYGvsDAL | @MillerLite pic.twitter.com/uySgoiO6dx
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) November 28, 2024
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