
Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Giants vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Falcons on Sunday, December 22nd at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New York Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(2-12) New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons (7-7)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New York +9.5 | Atlanta -9.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New York +378 | Atlanta -512
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Week 16 NFL action heats up as the New York Giants (2-12) head to Atlanta to face the Falcons (7-7) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. While Atlanta leads the all-time series 14-12, including a narrow 17-14 victory in 2021, this matchup is all about current momentum—or lack thereof.
The Falcons, clinging to playoff hopes, come in as heavy favorites (-9.5), but their recent form raises questions. Atlanta is just 1-4 straight up in their last five games and has struggled against the spread, going 0-4-1 in their last five.
December hasn’t been kind to the Falcons either, with a dismal 5-14 straight-up record in their last 19 games during the month. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Falcons have the leg up at 3-0.
The Falcons also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 39 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
New York Giants
Heading into week 16, the Giants are on a nine-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-12. This includes a 35-14 loss to the Ravens in week 15, where they failed to cover the 16.5-point spread. After this loss, New York is ranked 31st in our power rankings and has a scoring margin of -8.6 points per game. Against the spread, they are 4-10, with all four of their ATS wins coming as underdogs.
The Giants have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs or winning the NFC East. They are 0-5 in division games and 1-9 in conference play. New York is 0-8 at home but 2-4 on the road, with both of their wins coming away from home.
New York Giants Stats
Heading into week 16, the Giants’ offense ranks 29th in our power rankings, averaging 14.9 points per game. They are 28th in the NFL in yards per game (296.4) and 30th in passing yards, despite being 6th in pass attempts. On the ground, New York averages 111.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 17th in the league. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 34.7% of their attempts, but have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in conversion percentage.
In week 15, the Giants scored 14 points in a loss to the Ravens, with 7 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters. Tim Boyle threw for 123 yards (12/24), with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Malik Nabers led the team with 10 catches for 82 yards, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 31 yards on 10 carries. New York converted just 2 of 12 3rd-down attempts but scored on 1 of 2 red zone trips.
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In their 35-14 loss to the Ravens, the Giants’ defense allowed five passing touchdowns and an 84% completion rate to Baltimore. The Giants gave up 275 yards through the air, with the Ravens averaging 11 yards per passing attempt. On the ground, the Ravens ran for 170 yards on 31 attempts, averaging 5.5 yards per attempt. New York’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Ravens to convert 81.8% of their third down opportunities. Despite these struggles, the Giants did manage to record three sacks.
Atlanta Falcons
After dropping four straight games, the Falcons got back to .500 with a 15-9 win over the Raiders in week 15. This puts Atlanta at 7-7, including a 4-1 record in the NFC South. They currently sit 2nd in the division and 9th in the NFC. Our projections give them a 28.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20.3% chance of winning the division.
Heading into week 16, the Falcons rank 19th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -3.5 points per game and are 5-8-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-9, with their games averaging 45.4 points compared to an average line of 46.3.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Heading into week 16, the Falcons rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.9, and 9th in yards per game with 363.1. Atlanta ranks 14th in passing attempts and 6th in passing yards per game, averaging 238.9. On the ground, they are 6th in rushing attempts and 11th in rushing yards per game, with 124.2. The Falcons are 21st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 36.8% of their attempts, and they are 10th in the league in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 15, Kirk Cousins threw for 112 yards, completing 11 of 17 passes with one touchdown and one interception. Bijan Robinson rushed for 125 yards on 22 carries, while Drake London led the team with 53 receiving yards on 3 catches. Atlanta scored 7 points in the first quarter against the Raiders but managed only 8 points the rest of the game.
Atlanta’s defense was strong in their most recent game, as they picked off two passes and held the Raiders to just 15.9 points in a 15-9 win. The Falcons’ defense also came up with four sacks and limited Las Vegas to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down. The Falcons gave up just 184 yards passing and held the Raiders to 65 yards rushing on 22 attempts.
Despite giving up one passing touchdown, the Falcons’ defense made things difficult for the Raiders throughout the game. Las Vegas managed only 249 total yards and completed just 59% of their passes.
New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Giants are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Giants are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 3-6-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Giants’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Giants vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants | +164 | +381 | +4.5 | +9.5 |
| Falcons | -198 | -522 | -4.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +9.5
The Giants are mired in a tough season but have quietly been solid against the spread in December, covering six of their last eight games during this time of year.
Whoever starts at QB this week obviously still has the Giants lacking firepower, but they’ve shown grit in late-season contests.
This game could bring surprises, making it one to watch as Week 16 unfolds!With the point spread sitting at 9.5 in favor of the Falcons, we really like the Giants to cover as road underdogs in this week 16 matchup vs. the Falcons.
Our projected final score has the Falcons winning 24-20, making them a nice play vs. the spread.
For the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 44 points and the O/U line at just 41.5 points.
For bettors, the spread and total (O/U 41.5) offer intriguing opportunities, especially given Atlanta’s inconsistency and New York’s knack for staying within striking distance in similar matchups.
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New York Giants vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The threads that keep on giving 🔥 pic.twitter.com/bXZxJWlXWW
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) December 19, 2024
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