Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Saints vs. Vikings Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings free NFL Week 10 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Vikings on Sunday, November 12th at the U.S. Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Minnesota matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(5-4) New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings (5-4)
Date: Sunday, November 12th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis MN
NFL Week 10 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans -2.5 | Minnesota +2.5
Week 10 NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans -145 | Minnesota +118
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41
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In the only head to head matchup between the teams last season, the Vikings won by a score of 28-25. The matchup took place over in London at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Justin Jefferson led the Vikings with 10 catches for 147 yds
Greg Joseph kicked himself a game winning 47-yard field goal with 24 seconds to play. In that matchup the Saints were missing Winston (then a starter), Kamara, Thomas and LG Peat.
The over/under line in last year’s matchup between the Saints and Vikings was 41.5, which they surpassed with 53 point combined.
The Saints finished with the ATS win in this game. Offensively, the Vikings finished with 263 passing yards and 81 rushing yards in their win over the Saints.
As for New Orleans, they ended the game with 338 yards of total offense.
The Vikings have a strong history against the Saints, holding a 24-13 edge in their all-time matchups, including a 4-1 advantage in postseason play. When playing at home against New Orleans, Minnesota boasts a 14-4 record, including 2-0 in the post-season.
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New Orleans Saints
This week will be the Saints’ 5th game against an NFC opponent. Their overall record is 5-4 while going 2-2 against other teams in the NFC. In the standings, New Orleans is 1st in the division and 4th in the NFC.
The Saints’ current scoring margin stands at +2.7, which has them coming in with a 2-6-1 ATS record.
On offense, the Saints racked up 301 yards in their 24-17 win over the Bears. For the game, the Saints ran for 87 yards on an average of 3.2 yards per attempt.
Defensively, they allowed 368 yards of total offense with 212 yards coming through the air and 156 on the ground.
Even though New Orleans won straight-up, they did not cover the spread as 8.5 point favorites. Derek Carr threw for 211 yards while completing 73% of his passes and throwing for 211. Carr threw for two touchdowns.
New Orleans Saints Stats
In terms of offensive production, Derek Carr finished with 211 passing yards with a completion rate of 73%. The Saints ran the ball 27 times for 87 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 7/14.
The New Orleans offense is currently ranked 15th in the league, averaging 21.7 points per contest.
New Orleans’ defense has come up with 18 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 1st in the NFL. Heading into week 10, they are allowing 19 points per game and 304.3 yards.
Minnesota Vikings
This season, the Vikings are 2nd in the NFC-North on an overall record of 5-4. In non-conference games, their record is 0-2 while going 5-2 in NFC action.
With a scoring margin of +1.8, the Vikings’ have achieved an ATS record of 5-3-1 so far.
In the Vikings’ win over the Falcons, the Vikings did a good job moving the ball against the Falcons defense, finishing with 23 first-downs and racking up 363 yards of offense.
Defensively, the Vikings allowed a total of 370 yards of offense to the Falcons. Minnesota went into the game as the underdog (+3.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Quarterback Joshua Dobbs led the Vikings in both rushing and passing, with 66 yards on the ground and 158 through air. Dobbs ran for one score and threw for two touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Offensively, Joshua Dobbs ended with 158 passing yards with a completion rate of 66%. The Vikings ran the ball 33 times, gaining 146 yards. The team converted 7 of 16 third-down opportunities.
Minnesota’s offense is 13th in the league, with an average of 22.9 points per contest.
Defensively, Minnesota is 15th in the NFL in points allowed. Their opponents have an average of 21.1 points per game while gaining 328.0 yards per contest.
New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Vikings are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Saints are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Vikings have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Vikings’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Vikings Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Saints | -116 | -145 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
Vikings | -102 | +119 | +1.5 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota +2.5
Minnesota come into this one winners of five of their last six, and they’re 5-1 ATS over that span. Plus they’re 5-0 in their last 5 against NFC conference teams.
In this game, I’m favoring Minnesota to cover the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. I’m a believer in Joshua Dobbs. I can’t explain it, I just am. Dude has “the right stuff!”
New Orleans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games, and they’re 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against the Vikings.
Minnesota showcased an effective ground game in their last matchup with Atlanta, and I anticipate a similar performance this week. I’m locking in my bet on Minnesota before the kickoff. The wrong team is favored.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 41 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 44 points.
Let’s get some side action down on the OVER in this one shall we?
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota’s last 14 games against New Orleans, plus we’ve seen the over HIT in 4 of the Vikings’ last 5 when playing at home against the Saints, so we’ve got some history on our side.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
I told you above. I’m a fan of this kid!
Still can't get over it.#Skol pic.twitter.com/0q6bchf36W
— Minnesota Vikings (@Vikings) November 7, 2023
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