Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Saints vs. Packers Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Packers on Monday, December 23rd at the Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Green Bay Monday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
Monday Night Football on ESPN
(5-9) New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers (10-4)
Date: Monday, December 23rd
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans +13.5 | Green Bay -13.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +577 | Green Bay -879
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers Week 16 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Saints Packers play? Check out our free NFL Week 16 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Get ready for some Monday Night Football fireworks as the Saints and Packers renew their rivalry at historic Lambeau Field! These two teams have clashed 28 times, with Green Bay holding the edge at 18-10, including a nail-biting 18-17 victory earlier this season.
Now, in Week 16, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
The Packers, at 10-4, are steamrolling toward the playoffs, while the 5-9 Saints are fighting to salvage some pride in a season gone awry.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Packers have a leg up at 2-1.
The Packers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 47 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The oddsmakers have set a steep line, with Green Bay as 13.5-point favorites, but don’t overlook New Orleans just yet.
New Orleans Saints
With a 5-9 record, the Saints are 3rd in the NFC South and rank 30th in our power rankings. They have a -0.2 scoring margin and are 6-8 against the spread, including a 5-5 mark as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-7, with the under hitting in three straight games.
New Orleans has a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs or winning the division. In week 15, they lost 20-19 to the Commanders, but they covered the 7.5-point spread. Before that, they beat the Giants in week 14 and lost to the Rams in week 13.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Heading into week 16, the Saints rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in both points per game (22.1) and yards per game (334.6). New Orleans ranks 20th in passing yards per game, with 210.2, on 31.6 attempts per game. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game (124.4) and 8th in rushing attempts. The Saints are 18th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 37.4% of their attempts.
In week 15, Spencer Rattler took over at quarterback, throwing for 135 yards and a touchdown on 10/21 passing. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 46 yards on 9 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 2 catches for 64 yards. The Saints scored 12 points in the 4th quarter but fell short in a 20-19 loss to Washington.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In their 20-19 loss to the Commanders, the Saints’ defense allowed 8 sacks but still came up short. They gave up 137 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 189 passing yards on 25 completions. The Commanders converted on 52.9% of their third down attempts and completed 80.6% of their passes.
Despite their struggles, the Saints’ defense managed to record 8 sacks in the game. They also held Washington to a 6.1 yards per attempt average in the passing game. New Orleans will be looking to improve on their 2nd down defense, as the Commanders were 8-15 on 2nd down in the game.
Green Bay Packers
Heading into week 16, the Packers sit 3rd in our power rankings and have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 10-4 this season, with a +6.6 scoring margin and a 7-6-1 record against the spread. Green Bay is 5-2 at home and on the road, but they are just 1-3 in division games, which gives them only a 0.6% chance of winning the NFC North.
In week 15, the Packers bounced back from a week 14 loss to the Lions with a 30-13 win over the Seahawks. They covered the 3-point spread in that game, but they couldn’t cover in their previous two games, despite winning both. They beat the Dolphins 30-17 in week 13 and the 49ers 38-10 in week 12.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Jordan Love has been on a roll, posting passer ratings of 123 in week 15, 111 in week 14, and 129 in week 13. Against the Seahawks, he threw for 229 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20/27 passing without an interception. Josh Jacobs led the ground game with 94 yards on 26 carries, while Christian Watson had 3 catches for 56 yards.
Green Bay ranks 7th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 27.1 points per game, which is also 7th in the league. They average 375.4 yards per game, ranking 4th, and are 11th in passing yards with 231.1 per game. On the ground, they average 144.4 rushing yards per game, ranking 4th in the NFL.
In their 30-13 win over the Seahawks, the Packers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 128 passing yards and coming up with two interceptions. Seattle managed only 80 yards rushing on 16 attempts. Green Bay’s defense also recorded seven sacks and held the Seahawks to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.
The Packers’ pass rush was especially effective, leading to a big advantage in QB hits, as they hit the quarterback six more times than Seattle did. Green Bay’s secondary limited the Seahawks to 20 completions on 33 attempts (60.6%).
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Packers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Packers have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Packers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Packers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +180 | +580 | +5 | +13.5 |
| Packers | -218 | -897 | -5 | -13.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: New Orleans +13.5
The Saints have been a scrappy underdog, going 6-3 ATS in their last nine matchups with the Packers. Green Bay, however, hasn’t been perfect against NFC South opponents, covering just three of their last nine in those meetings.
Lambeau in late December is no cakewalk, and the Packers’ dominance at home—especially in prime time—will test New Orleans’ resolve.
Our pick vs. the spread in this week 16 matchup between the Saints and Packers is to take the Saints to cover as 13.5-point road underdogs. Even though we have the Packers pulling off the win by a score of 26-13. Play a small play on the Saints ATS this week. (+13.5)
For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points and the O/U line sitting at just 42 points.
This matchup offers intriguing angles for both spread and total bettors.
Whether it’s a Packers blowout or a Saints cover, this game has all the makings of a thrilling Week 16 showdown under the lights!
Best Sportsbooks For New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
“Win and you’re in – that’s pretty much the mantra.”
Examining Week 16 ⤵️
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) December 20, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers Monday Night Football matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
