Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Saints vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Falcons on Sunday, September 29th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(2-1) New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans +1.5 | Atlanta -1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans +101 | Atlanta -123
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Week 4 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Saints Falcons play? Check out our free NFL Week 4 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Buckle up, football fans—Week 4 is bringing the heat, and this NFC South showdown between the Saints and Falcons is going to be a wild ride! The Falcons have struggled at home, going just 3-7 over their last ten games, but don’t count them out just yet.
They’re hungry for a bounce-back win after falling short against the reigning Super Bowl champs, Kansas City, in Week 3.
Meanwhile, the Saints also stumbled, losing a close one to the Eagles, but they’ve had Atlanta’s number, winning nine of the last 12 meetings.
Each team picked up a win on the road in the two-game series between the Saints and Falcons last year. The Falcons won the first game 24-15, and the Saints blew out the Falcons 48-17 in the second game.
The Saints were slight favorites in both games. The over/under line for the first game was 42 points, and the teams combined for 39 points. In the second game, the line was 41.5 points, and the teams combined for 65 points.
New Orleans Saints
Despite leading 3-0 after the 1st quarter, the Saints lost to the Eagles by a score of 15-12, dropping their record to 2-1 for the season. New Orleans didn’t score a touchdown until late in the 4th quarter when Derek Carr connected with Chris Olave for a touchdown, giving them a 12-7 lead. However, the Eagles responded with a touchdown from Saquon Barkley with just over a minute remaining, and the Saints couldn’t come back.
Heading into the game, the Saints were 2.5-point favorites with an over/under line set at 49, and the final combined score of 27 points was below the predicted total line. New Orleans’ defense allowed Saquon Barkley to break off a 65-yard touchdown run in the 3rd quarter, putting the Eagles ahead for good.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Alvin Kamara managed just 87 yards on 26 carries, as the Saints struggled to get their running game going in their 15-12 loss to the Eagles. New Orleans’ offense was limited to 130 yards passing, with Derek Carr completing 56% of his passes for 142 yards and one touchdown. The Saints managed only 12 first downs and 89 yards on the ground.
Chris Olave led the receiving corps with 86 yards and a touchdown. The offense couldn’t get much going through the air, as Carr was sacked once and threw one interception. Despite their struggles, the Saints did convert on 46.2% of their third down attempts.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In the Saints’ 15-12 loss to the Eagles, their defense did not allow a single completion, as Philadelphia went 0 for 0 passing. However, the Eagles found success on the ground, rushing for 172 yards on just 25 attempts. New Orleans’ defense recorded four sacks and one interception, while also holding the Eagles to a 42.9% third-down conversion rate. Overall, the Saints gave up 460 yards, including 288 yards through the air.
Atlanta Falcons
Despite leading 14-13 at halftime, the Falcons ended up losing 22-17 to the Chiefs, dropping their record to 1-2 for the season. Atlanta initially took the lead with a touchdown from Kirk Cousins to Drake London in the first quarter. However, the Chiefs tied it up in the 2nd quarter, and the Falcons retook the lead with a touchdown from Cousins to Kyle Pitts.
In the 3rd quarter, the Falcons fell behind for good after not scoring and allowing nine unanswered points to the Chiefs. Atlanta did add a field goal early in the 4th quarter, but they were unable to complete a comeback. The Falcons were +3 point underdogs heading into the game, and with the 5-point loss, they failed to cover the spread. The combined 39 points was lower than the over/under line of 46.5 points.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
The Falcons’ offense managed just 82 yards on 25 attempts in the running game, and they also struggled in the passing game, with Kirk Cousins throwing for 229 yards on 20 completions out of 29 attempts. Atlanta had 19 first downs but converted only 22.2% of their third down attempts in their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs. Cousins was sacked twice and threw one interception.
Drake London was the leading receiver with 67 yards and one touchdown. Atlanta didn’t complete a pass other than Cousins, who threw for 230 yards and one touchdown. Tyler Allgeier led the team with 32 rushing yards.
In their 22-17 loss to the Chiefs, the Falcons’ defense gave up 217 yards through the air. They didn’t manage to sack the quarterback and lost the tackles for loss differential by -6. Atlanta’s defense did not allow a single completion in the game. However, they still gave up two passing touchdowns.
On the ground, the Falcons allowed 128 rushing yards on 33 attempts. Despite their struggles against the run, their secondary did come up with one interception. Opposing offenses converted on 42.9% of their third down attempts against Atlanta.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Saints are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | +164 | +101 | +4.5 | +1.5 |
| Falcons | -198 | -123 | -4.5 | -1.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: New Orleans +1.5
With New Orleans coming in at +1.5 on the spread, this game is as tight as it gets! The moneyline has the Saints at +101 and Atlanta slightly favored at -123, setting the stage for a nail-biter. The over/under is sitting at 42, and you can bet both teams are ready to light up the scoreboard to prove Week 3 was just a hiccup.
This is the 110th regular-season clash between these two fierce rivals, and the all-time series is razor-close, with the Saints leading 55-54. It’s a matchup that’s always packed with drama, and this Week 4 battle is no different.
For this week four matchup between the Saints and Falcons, we have the Saints coming out on top by a score of 26-20. With the point spread sitting at -1.5 in favor of the Saints, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Saints to cover as road underdogs.
As for the over/under line, we like the over with a projected combined score of 46 points and the line currently sitting at 42 points.
Get ready to ride the line, because this game is primed for some betting fireworks!
Best Sportsbooks For New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Red sleeves
Red helmet @man_dammn pic.twitter.com/IkibOvnDDe
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 26, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
