Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Saints vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL Week 12 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Saints taking on the Falcons on Sunday, November 26th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New Orleans Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(5-5) New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-6)
Date: Sunday, November 26th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New Orleans -1 | Atlanta +1
Week 12 NFL Moneyline Odds: New Orleans -110 | Atlanta -111
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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In Week 12, it’s the New Orleans Saints (5-5) taking on the Atlanta Falcons (4-6). They’ll clash on Sunday, November 26th, at 1:00 ET in Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Georgia.
If you’re into NFL betting, the ATS Betting Lines are: New Orleans -1 | Atlanta +1, and the Moneyline Odds stand at New Orleans -110 | Atlanta -111.
The game’s total points are set at Over/Under 42.
Last season saw the Saints put together a 2-0 record in the two head to head matchups between the teams.
The two teams averaged a combined 46 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, the Falcons went 2-0.
On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Saints averaging 366.5 yards per game compared to the Falcons at 368.
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New Orleans Saints
Going into this week 12 NFC matchup, the Saints have an overall record of 5-5. In the NFC-South standings, the Saints are in 1st place and 4th in the NFC. So far, they have gone 2-3 against NFC opponents and 3-3 on the road.
The Saints’ scoring margin for the season is currently +1.6. This has contributed to their ATS record of 2-7-1.
In the Saints’ loss to the Vikings, they finished with 280 yards of offense and only 16 first downs. The Vikings’ offense threw for 263 against the Saints’ secondary and ran for 125 yards.
New Orleans also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 3 point favorites. Jameis Winston threw for 122 yards while completing 52% of his passes and throwing for 122.
Winston threw for two touchdowns.
New Orleans Saints Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Jameis Winston threw for 122 yards while completing 52% of his passes. On the ground, the Saints rushed the ball 15 times for 65 yards.
The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/14.
For this season, the New Orleans offense has an average of 21.4 points per game, placing them at 17th in the league.
With a matchup against the Falcons’ offense, the Saints defense has allowed an average of 19.8 points per game so far. They currently are 22nd in quarterback hits and are allowing 312.7 yards per contest.
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons’ week 12 matchup vs. New Orleans will be their 6th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 3-2 and are 4-6 overall.
In the NFC-South, Atlanta is 2nd and 10th in the NFC. Taking a look at the Falcons’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -2.8.
This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-8.
Despite slightly cutting into their two-point halftime deficit, the Falcons still lost to the Cardinals. On offense, the Falcons finished with 254 on 3 yards per play. On the other end, the Cardinals ran the ball 26 times for 122 yards.
The Cardinals finished with 352 yards of total offense.
Atlanta also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2 point favorites. Taylor Heinicke threw for 55 yards while completing 53% of his passes and throwing for 55. Heinicke threw for one touchdown.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
Offensively, Taylor Heinicke ended with 55 passing yards with a completion rate of 53%. The Falcons ran the ball 41 times, gaining 184 yards. The team converted 7 of 14 third-down opportunities.
In terms of offense, the Falcons are at 18.9 points per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.
Atlanta’s defense has come up with 10 turnovers so far this season.
This figure has them 9th in the NFL. Heading into week 12, they are allowing 21.7 points per game and 308.8 yards.
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Saints are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Saints are 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Saints’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Saints vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saints | -104 | -110 | +1.5 | -1 |
| Falcons | -112 | -111 | -1.5 | +1 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Atlanta +1
The Saints are back on the field following their bye week, taking on their NFC South foe. In their recent matchups, the Saints have come out on top in 8 out of 10, with a winning streak of 3.
Atlanta, on the other hand, has managed to cover the spread in 3 of their last 4 showdowns.
Last week, Atlanta took on the Cardinals and lost their third consecutive game with a final score of 25-23.
Even though the Falcons are the 1-point underdogs at home, I like them to cover the spread against the Saints. In their last game, the Saints defense struggled to get off the field, giving up 23 first-downs. Look for the Falcons offense to take advantage of facing a struggling defense. New Orleans has a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS). I’m only making the ML and ATS a small play in this one though!
I’m going large on the total in this matchup. For this one, I’m going to be hammering the under, as our model has New Orleans and Atlanta combining for 37 points. Right now the over/under line is sitting at 42, so I’d recommend getting some action on the under.
Here are some noteworthy NFL betting trends I’ve found. In the past five games, Atlanta, have seen the total score go UNDER in 11 out of their last 16 games. When Atlanta faces New Orleans, the total has gone UNDER in 8 out of their last 12 meetings. For New Orleans, the trend continues with the total going UNDER in 13 out of their last 16 games overall.
When they hit the road, the total has gone UNDER in 9 out of their last 11 away games.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Up to date… Falcons Daily!
After starting the first eight games, Desmond Ridder spent last few weeks watching from the sidelines.
Here’s what he learned ahead of this return as QB1 ⬇️https://t.co/PKz10FRPGB
— Amna (@amna__subhan) November 22, 2023
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