Free NFL Pre-Season Pick: Patriots vs. Commanders Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Washington Commanders free pre-season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Commanders on Sunday, August 25th at the Commanders Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Pre-Season games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England Washington matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) New England Patriots vs. Washington Commanders (1-1)
Date: Sunday, August 25th
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Commanders Field, Landover MD
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England -4.5 | Washington +4.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New England -247 | Washington +199
NFL Betting Total: O/U 33.5
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Patriots vs. Commanders Gameday
Get ready for some preseason fireworks as we head into Week 3 with a thrilling matchup between the New England Patriots and Washington Commanders. Both teams sit at 1-1, but don’t let the records fool you—there’s plenty on the line as these squads fine-tune their rosters ahead of the regular season.
Washington, as road underdogs, picked up a 20-17 win over the Patriots in their only meeting last year. The Commanders not only won the game, but they also covered the spread.
The Patriots were favored by -2.5 points and the combined score of 37 points was below the over/under line of 40.5 points.
New England Patriots
The Patriots’ most recent pre-season game ended in a 14-13 loss to the Eagles, dropping their record to 1-1. New England took a 10-3 lead into the 4th quarter after a touchdown by Drake Maye in the 2nd quarter, but the Eagles tied it in the 3rd and took the lead for good with 13:05 remaining in the 4th. The Patriots managed to tie the game at 13 with a field goal from Joey Slye with 10:13 left in the 4th.
The Patriots were favored by -3, and the over/under line was 33.5 points, with the Patriots’ defense holding the Eagles to 3 points in the 2nd quarter after falling behind 3-0 in the 1st. However, the Eagles outscored New England 14-3 in the 4th quarter.
New England Patriots Stats
In a 14-13 loss to the Eagles, the Patriots’ offense struggled to get much going, finishing with just 11 first downs and 90 yards passing. They were held to 69 yards on 23 attempts. The Patriots’ quarterbacks were sacked three times and limited to 3.1 yards per attempt.
Drake Maye led New England with 47 passing yards, while Rhamondre Stevenson had 18 yards rushing. The Patriots didn’t score through the air, but Maye did rush for one touchdown. JaMycal Hasty was the top receiver with 23 yards. Maye finished with a passer rating of 65.
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In their 14-13 loss to the Eagles, the Patriots’ defense allowed just 16 first downs, with Philadelphia going 4-13 on third down. Despite this, New England’s defense was unable to come up with a win. The Patriots’ defense also limited the Eagles to just 73 rushing yards on 25 attempts.
New England’s defense recorded five sacks and held the Eagles to 78.4% completion percentage. In the passing game, the Patriots allowed 210 yards and 29 completions. The Patriots’ defense played well on third downs, allowing the Eagles to convert just 31.2% of their third down attempts.
Washington Commanders
The Commanders are now 0-2 in the pre-season after their 13-6 loss to the Dolphins. Washington fell behind early, with Miami scoring a touchdown in the first quarter. Although Washington missed a field goal in the 1st, they did add a field goal in the 2nd to make the score 7-3 in favor of the Dolphins. Washington took the lead in the 2nd quarter with a 41-yard touchdown rush by Jeff Driskel, but Miami responded with a touchdown of their own to take a 13-10 lead going into the 2nd quarter, and Washington didn’t score again.
The over/under line for the game was 36.5 points, and the teams combined for just 19. Washington’s 2nd quarter touchdown was set up by a long run from Driskel, who was playing quarterback and not the running back. The Commanders missed a 43-yard field goal with 10:33 left in the 2nd quarter, and Miami took advantage, scoring a touchdown with 10:24 left in the 2nd.
Washington Commanders Stats
Washington’s offense struggled in their 13-6 loss to the Dolphins, managing only 6 points. They finished with 17 first downs and 111 yards on 22 rushing attempts. The passing game was inefficient, with 229 yards on 48 attempts, but no touchdowns. Trace McSorley was the top passer, going 11/21 for 93 yards and throwing one interception.
Jeff Driskel, playing at QB, was the team’s top rusher with 45 yards, 41 of which came on a single run. Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint led the team in receiving with 33 yards. The Commanders’ offense struggled on third down, converting just 27.8% of their chances and allowing four sacks.
In their most recent game, Washington’s defense allowed just 12 first downs to the Dolphins but still came out on the losing end of a 13-6 scoreline. They held Miami to just 3 first downs on the ground and 86 rushing yards on 18 attempts. Washington’s defense also recorded four sacks and limited the Dolphins to a 26.7% conversion rate on third downs.
In the passing game, Washington allowed 202 yards through the air on 24 completions. The Commanders defended 40 passing attempts and gave up one touchdown. Despite their efforts, the offense couldn’t get much going, as they only scored 6 points in the game.
New England Patriots vs. Washington Commanders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 1-4 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Commanders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Patriots are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Commanders have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Commanders’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Commanders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | +125 | -247 | +2.5 | -4.5 |
| Commanders | -150 | +199 | -2.5 | +4.5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: New England -4.5
The Patriots, slight favorites at -4.5, have the edge in past preseason meetings with a 15-8 record over Washington, but history means little when young talent is fighting for roster spots.
Expect a tight, defensive battle in this one, especially with Washington likely limiting Daniels’ snaps after his impressive early showings. On the Patriots’ side, head coach Jerod Mayo has hinted at giving Maye some action, but don’t expect him to see more than a couple of drives.
With both teams leaning on their defenses, the under 33.5 looks like a sharp play. The intensity is ramping up as we inch closer to the regular season—this is a game where smart money stays disciplined, looking for value on the under and watching those live odds closely. For this pre-season game, we have a point total of 31, making the UNDER a great pick with the O/U line at 33.5 points.
Our pick against the spread for this week three pre-season matchup between the Patriots and Commanders is to take the Patriots to cover as road favorites. Currently, the point spread is sitting at -4.5 in favor of the Patriots, and we have them winning by a score of 21-10.
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New England Patriots vs. Washington Commanders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
in the lab (weight room) 🧪@NWFCU | #RaiseHail pic.twitter.com/bncJT6YIdK
— Washington Commanders (@Commanders) August 22, 2024
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