Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Patriots vs. Titans Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Titans on Sunday, November 3rd at the Nissan Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England Tennessee matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(2-6) New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans (1-6)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville TN
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England +3.5 | Tennessee -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: New England +150 | Tennessee -179
NFL Betting Total: O/U 38
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Buckle up, football fans—Week 9 is here, and this Patriots-Titans matchup has all the intrigue we love! It’s a clash of struggling teams, with the Patriots limping in at 2-6 and the Titans just behind at 1-6, making this an intense battle for redemption. Let’s dig into the nitty-gritty and see why the Titans may have the edge.
New England is reeling, with an offense that’s seen better days and an O-line ranking among the league’s worst. This is trouble against a Titans squad that’s been everybody’s defensive darling.
Last season, the Patriots and Titans did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Titans have the leg up at 2-1.
The Titans also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
The last matchup was 2021. Back then, it was Mac Jones vs. Ryan Tannehill, and the Pats walked away with a convincing 36-13 victory. But this season, with both teams’ playoff hopes nearly extinguished, pride (and possibly draft positioning) is on the line.
New England Patriots
After six straight losses, the Patriots finally got back in the win column in week 8, defeating the Jets 25-22. New England entered the game as 7-point underdogs but managed to pull off the upset, bringing their record to 2-6. The over hit for the third straight game, with the teams combining for 47 points, surpassing the 41-point line.
Heading into week 9, the Patriots rank 31st in our power rankings and have just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-5-1 against the spread and have been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their average scoring margin is -9.1 points per game.
New England Patriots Stats
Heading into week 9, the Patriots are 26th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.5, and are 31st in passing yards per game with 149.9, despite being 18th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 23rd in rushing yards per game, averaging 111 on 25.6 attempts per game. New England is 22nd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage but ranks 5th in red zone conversions, despite being 14th in red zone attempts.
In week 8, the Patriots scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, helping them to a 25-22 win over the Jets. Jacoby Brissett threw for 132 yards on 15/24 passing, while Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing with 48 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 carries. Kayshon Boutte had 3 catches for 46 yards to lead the team in receiving.
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Despite allowing 224 passing yards, the Patriots’ defense gave up just 17 completions in their 25-22 win over the Jets. New York finished with 336 total yards, but New England defended the run well, allowing just 112 yards on 28 attempts (4.0 yards per attempt). The Patriots gave up two passing touchdowns and held the Jets to a 40% third-down conversion rate.
New England’s defense managed only one sack in the game and lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -3. The Patriots gave up a total of 18 first downs in the game.
Tennessee Titans
Heading into week 9, the Titans are on a three-game losing streak, including a 52-14 blowout loss to the Lions in week 8. This dropped their record to 1-6, with their only win coming in week 4 against the Dolphins. Tennessee ranks 30th in our power rankings and has just a 1.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-3 at home and 1-3 on the road.
Against the spread, the Titans are 1-6 and have failed to cover in three straight games. In week 8, they were 12.5-point underdogs vs the Lions and lost by 38. Their O/U record is 4-2-1, with the over hitting in two consecutive games.
Tennessee Titans Stats
Heading into week 9, the Titans rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.1, and 29th in yards per game with 281.6. Tennessee ranks 30th in passing yards per game (161.9) on 31.4 attempts per game. On the ground, they average 119.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 17th in the league, on 27 attempts per game.
Mason Rudolph threw for 266 yards (22/38) with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions in week 8. Calvin Ridley led the team with 10 catches for 143 yards, and Tony Pollard rushed for 94 yards on 20 carries. The Titans scored 14 points in the first half but were shut out in the second half against the Lions.
The Titans’ defense gave up 52 points in their most recent game, as the Lions had a field day through the air, throwing for 52 yards and four touchdowns. Despite coming up with four sacks, the Titans allowed a completion percentage of 78.9% to the Lions. On the ground, the Titans gave up 164 yards on just 24 attempts, with the Lions averaging 6.8 yards per attempt.
On the positive side, the Titans’ defense did well on third downs, allowing the Lions to convert just 33.3% of their third down attempts. However, the Titans’ inability to defend the pass and stop the run led to a tough outing for the defense in the 52-14 loss.
New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Patriots are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Titans have gone 2-8 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Titans’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Titans Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | +120 | +150 | +2.5 | +3.5 |
| Titans | -142 | -179 | -2.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Titans -3.5
If you’re playing fantasy, Tennessee’s defense is practically a must-start this week, given how New England’s offense has been underwhelming. The Patriots’ recent track record isn’t helping either—they’re 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 1-4 as underdogs, so it’s hard to see where they’ll find an advantage here.
For this week nine matchup between the Patriots and Titans, we have the Titans coming out on top by a score of 23-16. With the point spread sitting at -3.5 in favor of the Titans, we like them to cover as home favorites.
Titans are -3.5 favorites at home, with a moneyline at -179. That line shows just how shaky oddsmakers feel about New England right now, even as the underdog.
It’s been a few years since these two last met, and my, how things have changed!
As for the over/under line, we have a projected combined score of 39 points, making the over a decent pick with the line sitting at just 38 points.
Though, with only a little bit of wiggle room here we’d also be good with passing on the total.
So get ready for a gritty, smash-mouth game in Nashville, and if you’re looking for an edge, the Titans might just be your play this week.
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New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
On Sunday @CalvinRidley1 became just the second player in the NFL with 100+ receiving yards in the 1st quarter this season and the first Titans player to reach the mark since Drew Bennett pic.twitter.com/U8Ghiri760
— Tennessee Titans (@Titans) October 30, 2024
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