Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Patriots vs. Jets Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. New York Jets free NFL Week 3 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Jets on Sunday, September 24th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(0-2) New England Patriots vs. New York Jets (1-1)
Date: Sunday, September 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium
NFL Week 3 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England -3 | New York +3
Week 3 NFL Moneyline Odds: New England -157 | New York +128
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37
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This Sunday, 1 PM ET, it’s a showdown at MetLife Stadium as the struggling New England Patriots (0-2) face the New York Jets (1-1).
Our offshore bookies have the odds ready: Spread – Patriots (-3), Moneyline – Patriots (-155), Jets (+130), Over/under – 37 (indicating a low-scoring game).
ATS stats reveal the Pats at 0-2 and the Jets at 1-1 in 2023. Keep following our NFL handicapping blog for insights into this exciting matchup!
In their two head to head matchups last season, the Patriots went 2-0. The over/under under mark in these matchups was 0-2, with the team’s combining to average 26 points per contest.
When looking at the spread, the Patriots went 2-0 in their head-to-head matchups. In these head-to-head matchups, the Patriots’ offense averaged 292.5 yards per game compared to the Jets at 245.
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New England Patriots
As they take on the Jets, the Patriots will be looking to build on their 0-2 record. This currently places them at 4th in the AFC-East and 12th in the AFC. Despite playing all of their games at home, New England has been the underdog in every game.
The Patriots’ average scoring margin this season is currently -6 points per game.
Even though the Patriots’ did a good job moving the ball on offense, racking up 23 first-downs, they still lost the Dolphins 24-17. Overall, the Patriots finished with 288 yards of offense.
On the other side, the Dolphins rushed for 145 and threw for 244 yards.
New England’s 7 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2 point underdogs. Mac Jones threw for 231 yards while completing 73% of his passes and throwing for 231. Jones threw for one touchdown.
New England Patriots Stats
New England’s offense generated 288 total yards against the Dolphins. On third downs, the Patriots managed a conversion rate of 46.7%. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing with 50 yards, while Mac Jones passed for 231 yards.
Defensively, the Patriots are currently ranked 10th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks.
Their opponents have been putting up an average of 24.5 points per game against them and accumulating 320.0 yards per contest.
New York Jets
In the AFC-East standings, the Jets find themselves in 2nd place with a record of 1-1. In the AFC, New York is in 6th place as week 3 approaches. So far, the Jets’ are 1-0 vs. the spread at home and 0-1 ATS on the road.
Overall, New York has an average scoring differential of -7 points per game and have been the underdog in every game.
In the Jets’ 30-10 loss to the Cowboys, they finished with 215 yards of offense and only 12 first downs. The Cowboys’ offense threw for 248 against the Jets’ secondary and ran for 134 yards.
New York’s 20 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 8.5 point underdogs.
Quarterback Zach Wilson led the Jets in both rushing and passing, with 36 yards on the ground and 170 through air. Wilson ended the game with one passing touchdown.
New York Jets Stats
Offensively, Wilson totaled 170 passing yards with a completion rate of 44%. On the rushing front, the Jets had 16 attempts, gaining 64 yards. The team converted 1 of 10 third-down attempts.
With a matchup against the Patriots’ offense, the Jets defense has allowed an average of 23 points per game so far.
They currently are 6th in quarterback hits and are allowing 348.0 yards per contest.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jets are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Patriots are 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Jets Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | -108 | -150 | +1.5 | -3 |
| Jets | -108 | +126 | -1.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +3
For the point spread, I’m backing New York at +3.
Fun fact: Bill Belichick hasn’t been 0-2 since 2001. But that’s exactly where he is right now, and I’m betting he goes to 1-2, but 0-3 ATS after this week.
The Jets/Pats games are always pretty darn entertaining to watch for neutral observers and gamblers, and I’m not expecting anything less than a typical AFC East slugfest in this one.
I believe the New York rushing game will take full advantage of the issues in New England’s defense, which had trouble defending the run in their last game.
So far in ’23, Mac Jones hasn’t had much time to operate, and his offensive line has been below par. Do you reckon the Jets’ defense is going to grant him time on Sunday? I doubt it. They’ll be after him all day.
Whoever has the ball last likely wins, and just another thought here… the turnover battle will be key.
Make your bet now on New York with +3.
So far, all of New England’s games have had over/under lines higher than this week’s line of 37. For this matchup, I’m taking the over as we have this game projected to finish with 40 points.
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New England Patriots vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s Patriots week. pic.twitter.com/MXbRZG62T0
— New York Jets (@nyjets) September 20, 2023
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