Free NFL Week 8 Pick: Patriots vs. Dolphins Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 8 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Dolphins on Sunday, October 29th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England Miami matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(2-5) New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (5-2)
Date: Sunday, October 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England +9.5 | Miami -9.5
Week 8 NFL Moneyline Odds: New England +351 | Miami -465
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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Get ready for an exciting NFL Week 8 showdown this Sunday at 1:00 ET as the New England Patriots (2-5) take on the Miami Dolphins (5-2) at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. You can catch all the action on CBS.
Here are the Week 8 NFL Odds: Miami is favored at -9.5 ATS, with the Moneyline odds showing New England at +351 and Miami at -465. The NFL Betting Total stands at O/U 47.
In recent games, the Dolphins suffered a 31-17 loss against the Eagles, while the Patriots secured a 29-25 victory against the Bills in Week 7.
These two teams have a long history, having faced each other 116 times, including 3 postseason games. The New England Patriots have won 55 times, while the Miami Dolphins have secured 61 victories. The Dolphins have dominated lately, winning 4 out of their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
During their first meeting, Dolphins secured a 24-17 win against Patriots. Taking the point spread into account, Dolphins were the favorites by -2 and they covered it with a 7 point W.
Before the game, the over/under line was set at 46.5 points, resulting an under for the over/under result.
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New England Patriots
With an overall record of 2-5, the Patriots are 4th in the AFC-East.
This record also has them 15th in the AFC. On the road, New England is 1-2 compared to a record of 1-3 at home. This season, the Patriots find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 2-5. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at -10.9.
The Patriots had a strong offensive start, scoring 10 points in the first quarter.
They ended the game with a total of 364 yards, while the Bills managed 339 yards. New England went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Mac Jones threw for 272 yards while completing 83% of his passes and throwing for 272.
Jones threw for two touchdowns.
New England Patriots Stats
Offensively, Mac Jones totaled 272 passing yards with a completion rate of 83%. On the rushing front, the Patriots had 24 attempts, gaining 96 yards. The team converted 4 of 9 third-down attempts.
The New England offense is currently positioned 28th in the league, scoring an average of 14.4 points per contest.
The Patriots defense takes on the Dolphins having given up an average of 25.3 points per game. So far, they are 16th in quarterback hits and are giving up 311.3 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins
At home, the Dolphins have a record of 3-0 this season and are 5-2 overall.
When looking at the standings, Miami is 2nd in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-East. On the road, Miami has gone 2-2 thus far. Against the spread, the Dolphins have a record of 5-2.
Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +7.6.
In the Dolphins’ loss to the Eagles, the Dolphins finished with 244 yards of offense compared to the Eagles’ 355.
The Eagles ran the ball 34 times for 99 yards and averaged 8.3 yards per passing attempt for 256 yards.
Miami’s 14 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 216 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 216. Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
In terms of offensive production, Tua Tagovailoa finished with 216 passing yards with a completion rate of 71%. The Dolphins ran the ball 12 times for 45 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 4/11.
As they enter week 8, the Dolphins offense ranks 1st in the league, averaging 34.3 points per contest.
On defense, the Dolphins come into the game ranked 4th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks. Opponents are scoring 26.7 points per game vs. them along with an average of 345.3 yards per contest.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Patriots are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Patriots | +420 | +348 | +10.5 | +9.5 |
Dolphins | -560 | -461 | -10.5 | -9.5 |
4* Free Week 8 NFL Betting Prediction: New England +9.5
The side I’m playing on the spread, is to take the Patriots on the road. With the line, sitting at +9.5, I’d be looking to act now on getting some action on New England. Mac Jones has me believing he’s actually an NFL QB.
I don’t love this pick, but I’m riding with it.
The play I really love this weekend is the OVER 47. My model has this one coming in NORTH of 50. Way north.
The Fins have scored 36, 24, 70, 20, 31, 42, and 17 points this season. I’m not going to average that out for you, but it’s a damn good offense.
The Pats have allowed 24, 10, 38, 34, 21, and 25 this year. Are you seeing any trends?
Given the over/under of 47, we expect this game to exceed expectations, resulting in a combined total of 63 points.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC East.
We had 41 in the first game, but Miami’s offense is a lot better since that one! OVER!
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New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
I accidently went to the wrong Twitter account. My Bad.
Cheering on the @miamidolphins as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles this Sunday!🐬 pic.twitter.com/871IjGsugR
— Miami Dolphins Cheer (@dolphinscheer) October 20, 2023
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