Free Week 4 Prediction: Patriots vs. Chiefs NFL Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 4 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, October 4th at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri . Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping: Week 4
(2-1) New England Patriots vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)
Date: Sunday, October 4th
Time: 4:25 PM
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Lines: Chiefs -7
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Odds: Chiefs -315, Patriots +260
NFL Week 4 NFL Betting Total: 54
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This is an obvious letdown spot for the Chiefs. They have a shorter week to prepare and are coming home off a big win in a marquee matchup.
New England is probably the worst team you want to take on if you are totally focused. They are different this year but still one of the better teams in the league.
This is going to be a well-coached game, classic offense (Andy Reid) vs. defense (Bill Belichick).
New England Patriots
New England pulled away from Las Vegas last week, winning rather easily. Now depending on how you look at it they are just a yard away from a perfect start to the season. I don’t see it that way because I think they were outplayed by Seattle.
Nevertheless the post Brady era seems off to a solid start. Cam Newton has looked pretty sharp even if they might be running him a little too much early in the season. He has a lot of zip on his passes though not the kind of deep threats he had in Carolina.
The key to the offense is going to be the running game and Sony Michel. He had his best game of the season by far against Vegas but I think they need to feed him regardless because he can be a home run hitter.
For New England to have a chance against Kansas City they have to have their best defensive game of the season. They were shredded in the passing game against Seattle and that has me nervous for them here.
You can bet that New England will scheme up for this one, but will it work. The Chiefs shredded the Ravens last week.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Monday Night Football game was supposed to be an epic battle but Kansas City was in control basically from start to finish. It was impressive.
You have to love that Kansas City offense. Patrick Mahomes might be good enough to elevate any offense but surrounded by elite talent the Chiefs look unstoppable at times.
The drafting of Clyde Edwards-Helaire was a brilliant stroke by KC. He has proven to be as good as advertised and then some both running and catching the ball. He runs hard too and gives them an awesome finisher when they need it.
Kansas City’s defense did not get enough credit on the way to a Super Bowl win last season. They were really good in corraling Lamar Jackson last week and that has to help against Cam, even though he is a different kind of running quarterback than Jackson.
There has to be some letdown for the Chiefs here but they are so good about scoring 21 points in a quarter so even if they are flat early I wouldn’t worry about it.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Over is 7-2 in NE last 9 games as an underdog.
- NE are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.
- Under is 20-8 in NE last 28 games on grass.
- KC are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- KC are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- KC are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
4* Free NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City -7
This is going to be a weird season for New England and part of that is seeing them in underdog roles. This will be the second time in four games that the Pats have been an underdog. That role is well justified though, I am just not confident that they can score enough to keep up with KC. Even if they slow them down to 28 points they will not keep this one close enough.
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