Free NFL Week 10 Pick: Patriots vs. Bears Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Bears on Sunday, November 10th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 10 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 10
(2-7) New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears (4-4)
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England +6 | Chicago -6
NFL Moneyline Odds: New England +232 | Chicago -282
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39
- Live Betting Odds for the upcoming New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears Week 10 game!
- Want more NFL football regular season predictions like this Patriots Bears play? Check out our free NFL Week 10 AI Picks for today!
- View our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
Get ready for a fierce Week 10 matchup between the struggling Patriots and the Bears, who have a prime shot to dominate at home! New England might own a 10-4 regular season edge over Chicago historically, but this isn’t the same Patriots squad of old.
Chicago’s last five games as a favorite have been all wins against the spread (ATS), and they’re looking solid to keep that streak alive.
The Patriots and Bears did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Patriots have a record of 2-1.
The Patriots also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 63 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
New England Patriots
Heading into week 10, the Patriots sit at the bottom of our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. New England is 2-7 this season, including a 1-4 record on the road.
In week 9, they couldn’t build on their week 8 win over the Jets, falling to the Titans 20-17. However, they did manage to cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs.
New England is 3-5-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -8.4 points per game.
They have been the underdog in all of their games so far. In terms of the over/under, the Patriots have a 5-4 record, with their games averaging 39.8 points per contest.
New England Patriots Stats
Heading into week 10, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game (15.7) and 31st in yards per game (264.8). Despite being 16th in passing attempts, they are last in the league in passing yards per game, with 153.8. On the ground, they rank 23rd in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards per game (111).
New England is 23rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 34.4%, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 50% conversion rate.
Drake Maye threw for 206 yards (29/41) in week 9, with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, while also leading the team in rushing with 95 yards on 8 carries. Hunter Henry had 7 catches for 56 yards.
New England scored 7 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters against the Titans but struggled on 3rd down, converting only 3 of 11 attempts.
Expert NFL Betting Picks
Looking for more NFL betting picks? Check out today’s featured premium plays from CappersPicks handicappers, including sides, totals, and weekly NFL betting packages.
In their 20-17 overtime loss to the Titans, the Patriots’ defense allowed 233 passing yards and 167 rushing yards on 39 attempts (4.3 per attempt). They gave up 400 total yards and allowed Tennessee to convert on 43.8% of their third down attempts.
New England also gave up two passing touchdowns and managed just one sack, while the Titans had five more QB hits than the Patriots.
Despite forcing one interception, the Patriots allowed the Titans to complete 60.6% of their passes. New England’s offense had a tough time sustaining drives, holding the ball for just 24:42 compared to Tennessee’s 35:18.
Chicago Bears
After three straight wins, the Bears have now dropped two in a row, including a 29-9 loss to the Cardinals in week 9. This leaves Chicago at 4-4 on the season, with all four of their wins coming at home. They are 0-4 on the road.
The Bears currently sit 4th in the NFC North and 8th in the conference standings.
Our projections give Chicago a 13.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 1% chance of winning the division. They rank 19th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 10. The Bears are 5-3 against the spread, but they have failed to cover in two straight games.
Their O/U record is 3-5, with the under hitting in their last two games.
Chicago Bears Stats
Heading into week 10, the Bears are 24th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in the NFL with 21.5 points per game, and they are 27th in total yards, averaging 294.6 per game. Chicago ranks 12th in passing attempts but sits 29th in passing yards, with 182.1 per game.
On the ground, they are 14th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards, averaging 112.5 per game. The Bears have struggled on third down, converting just 31.5% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league.
However, they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 6th with a 50% conversion rate.
In week 9, Caleb Williams threw for 217 yards, completing 22 of 41 passes, but he didn’t throw a touchdown and was sacked six times. D’Andre Swift had 51 rushing yards on 16 carries, and Rome Odunze led the team with 5 catches for 104 yards. The Bears scored just 9 points, all in the second quarter, and converted only 3 of 14 third-down attempts, while failing to score on their lone red zone trip.
In their 29-9 loss to the Cardinals, the Bears’ defense allowed just 137 passing yards on 13 completions.
Despite their strong play against the pass, the Bears struggled to stop the run, giving up 213 yards on just 34 attempts, with Arizona finishing the game averaging 6.3 yards per attempt on the ground. Chicago’s defense also recorded three sacks in the game.
The Bears’ defense held the Cardinals to a 38.5% conversion rate on third down but still allowed 350 total yards, with Arizona taking advantage of Chicago’s weakness against the run to control the game.
Chicago’s offense struggled to move the ball, managing only 9 points in the game.
New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Patriots are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | +164 | +233 | +4.5 | +6 |
| Bears | -198 | -283 | -4.5 | -6 |
4* Free Week 10 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago -6
Our point-spread pick for this Patriots vs. Bears matchup is to take the Bears to cover as home favorites. Right now, the line is sitting at -6 in favor of the Bears, and our score prediction has them winning 28-17.
The Bears are undefeated in their last seven home games—a stat that bodes well with the Patriots only managing one win since their Week 1 upset over Cincinnati. New England, now 2-7, has been on a slide, especially against top-10 defenses, going just 3-6 in their last ten matchups. Chicago’s defense, physical and ready to pounce, is built to pressure the Pats where it hurts.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the UNDER, with a projected combined score of 45.
This game marks New England’s first return to Soldier Field since their 38-31 victory back in 2018, but don’t expect a similar outcome this Sunday.
With the Bears’ rock-solid ATS track record and the Patriots’ struggles on the road, all signs point to Chicago making the most of their home-field advantage in a game that promises excitement and plenty of betting action!
Best Sportsbooks For New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears NFL Gambling Today!
- 50% Reload Bonuses
- Daily Player Promos
- Live Dealer Casino
- Crypto Deposits
- Same-Game Parlays
- Casino + Poker
- Same-Game Parlays
- Overnight Lines
- Progressive Jackpots
- Reduced-Juice Lines
- 7% Racebook Rebate
- 100% Crypto Bonus
- VIP Cash Rewards
- Live Betting & Props
- High Betting Limits
In Canada? Try Bodog!
New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@CALEBcsw is at the podium https://t.co/5L3MXxm0Ry
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 6, 2024
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special NFL Regular Season Offers!
