Free NFL Week 5 Pick: Packers vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders free NFL Week 5 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Packers taking on the Raiders on Monday, October 9th at the Allegiant Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 5 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Green Bay Las Vegas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 5
(2-2) Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders (1-3)
Monday Night Football on ESPN
Date: Monday, October 9th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Green Bay -2 | Las Vegas +2
Week 5 NFL Moneyline Odds: Green Bay -132 | Las Vegas +109
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44.5
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In Week 5, NFL fans are in for a treat as two storied franchises collide in Sin City under the bright lights of Monday Night Football. On October 9th at 8:15 ET, the (2-2) Green Bay Packers will face off against the struggling (1-3) Las Vegas Raiders at the magnificent Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.
As a bettor keeping a close eye on the action, you’ll want to take note of the betting odds for this clash. The NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Lines currently favor the Packers at -2, while the Raiders are at +2. In terms of the Moneyline Odds, Green Bay stands at -132, and Las Vegas offers enticing odds at +109. The Over/Under is set at 44.5.
As we dive into the matchup, it’s worth mentioning that the Green Bay Packers hold a historical edge, leading the series against the Raiders with a record of 9-5-0.
This rivalry, which has seen 14 encounters, including one postseason game, has the Las Vegas Raiders victorious in 5 games, while the Green Bay Packers have emerged victorious in 9.
Week 4 showcased some interesting developments for both teams. The Green Bay Packers stumbled against the Lions, falling 34-20 at Lambeau Field. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Raiders couldn’t secure a divisional win as the Chargers prevailed 24-17.
Aidan O’Connell’s performance for the Raida’s left room for improvement, going 24/39 with 238 yards, 1 INT, and a QB Rating of 68.1. It could have been a lot worse, but it’s a new week with new opportunities.
The Packers and Raiders did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Packers have a record of 3-0.
The Packers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 59 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Stay tuned to our NFL football handicapping blog for insights on this exciting matchup!
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Green Bay Packers
At 2-2, the Packers are 10th in the NFC and 2nd in the NFC-North. This will be Green Bay’s 3rd road game this season, where they have gone 1-1. So far, the Packers’ are 1-1 vs. the spread at home and 2-0 ATS on the road.
Overall, Green Bay has an average scoring differential of 1 point per game and have been the underdog in every game.
The Packers were unable to overcome a bad first half in which they trailed by 24 and ended up losing to the Lions. Overall, the Packers put up 230 yards of offense while allowing 401.
The Lions finished the game going 7/17 on 3rd down. Green Bay’s 14 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 2 point underdogs. Quarterback Jordan Love threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Love completed 63% of his passes for 246 yards.
Green Bay Packers Stats
Against the Lions, the Packers ran the ball 12 times, with Aaron Jones as the top rusher, gaining 18 yards. Jordan Love attempted 36 passes, amassing 246 yards and a passer rating of 69.
Offensively, the Packers have an average of 25 points per game, which positions them 10th in the NFL.
On defense, the Packers come into the game ranked 7th in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 24 points per game vs. them along with an average of 352.5 yards per contest.
Las Vegas Raiders
In week 5, Las Vegas is in 3rd place in the AFC-West with a 1-3 record. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 14th place.
Against the spread, the Raiders have a record of 1-3. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -9.8.
Defensively, the Raiders gave up 305 yards of total offense to the Chargers in a 24-17 loss. The Chargers ran the ball for 155 yards while throwing for 150. On offense, the Raiders went 1/11 on 3rd down and finished with 264 yards of total offense.
Las Vegas’ 7 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 6.5 point underdogs. Even though Aidan O’Connell did not throw for a touchdown, he ran for one score and threw for 238 yards on 39 attempts in relief of Jimmy Garropolo.
Las Vegas Raiders Stats
In terms of offensive production, O’Connell finished with 238 passing yards with a completion rate of 61%. The Raiders ran the ball 23 times for 76 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 1/11.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Raiders currently hold an average of 15.5 points per game, which places them at 24th in the NFL.
FACT: Las Vegas’ defense has only come up with one turnover so far this season.
This figure has them 11th in the NFL. Heading into week 5, they are allowing 25.2 points per game and 337.0 yards.
Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Packers are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Raiders are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Packers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Raiders have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Packers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Raiders’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Packers vs. Raiders Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | -116 | -132 | -1 | -2 |
| Raiders | -102 | +109 | +1 | +2 |
4* Free Week 5 NFL Betting Prediction: Las Vegas +2
The Raiders get up for Monday Night Football as evidenced by their 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Monday.
We’re getting great value to as the betting line changed, going from Las Vegas -1.5 to Green Bay now at -2 points as the favored team on the road.
I believe Jimmy G will play, which will make a big difference for the Raiders. It’s just a feeling I have. He has until Thursday to pass the protocols.
Even though the Packers are favored by 2 vs. the Raiders, I don’t like how they got off to a slow start in the first half of their previous game. Look for the Raiders to cover (+2).
The Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC.
My favorite play for MNF however is on the UNDER 44.5.
If you’re looking for a pick on the over/under, the data we have suggests this game finishing below 44.5 points. I trust my model. Plus, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas’ last 5 games.
I’m putting a nice big fat bet down on the UNDER for MNF.
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Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
There’s a little bit of history between these two clubs…hey?
A star-studded cast welcomes back #RaiderNation on this episode of Raiders: Talk of the Nation.@Sib_Vicious | #RaiderNation
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) October 4, 2023
https://twitter.com/packers/status/1709622374432202829
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