Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Vikings vs. Seahawks Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Seahawks on Sunday, December 22nd at the Lumen Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Seattle matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(12-2) Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks (8-6)
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle WA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -3.5 | Seattle +3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -174 | Seattle +146
NFL Betting Total: O/U 44
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Week 16 brings us a heavyweight clash between two playoff-hungry teams as the 12-2 Vikings travel to Lumen Field to face the 8-6 Seahawks.
This matchup brims with history and high stakes. The Seahawks lead the all-time series 13-6, including a dominant seven-game winning streak over the Vikings from 2012 to 2020.
However, Minnesota turned the tide in their last meeting in 2021, delivering a 30-17 win in a game featuring Russell Wilson and Kirk Cousins under center.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Seahawks have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Vikings went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 55 points per game.
This time, it’s Sam Darnold versus Geno Smith in a battle of quarterbacks with plenty to prove.
Minnesota Vikings
With a 12-2 record, the Vikings have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and a 22.2% chance of winning the NFC North. They are currently on a 7-game winning streak, which includes a 30-12 win over the Bears in week 15. Minnesota was favored by 7 points in this game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 9-4-1.
Heading into week 16, the Vikings rank 6th in our NFL power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of +8.4 points per game and an O/U record of 5-9. Their games have averaged 44.4 points per game, compared to an average line of 44.5.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into week 16, the Vikings rank 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.4, and 12th in yards per game with 349.8. Despite ranking 21st in passing attempts, they are 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 236.6. On the ground, they are 11th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards per game, with 113.2. Minnesota ranks 11th in 3rd-down conversions and 23rd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 7th in red zone attempts. They have been strong early in games, ranking 2nd in 1st-quarter scoring.
Sam Darnold threw for 231 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception in week 15, completing 24 of 40 passes. Aaron Jones led the rushing attack with 86 yards on 18 carries, while Justin Jefferson had 7 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown. Minnesota scored 10 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against the Bears, converting 7 of 14 3rd downs and going 3/4 in the red zone.
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Minnesota’s defense was dominant on third downs in their 30-12 win over the Bears, allowing just an 8.3% conversion rate. They held Chicago to 113 yards rushing on 29 attempts and limited them to 171 yards passing. The Vikings’ defense also had two sacks and held the Bears to 59.4% completions.
Despite losing the tackles for loss battle, the Vikings’ defense didn’t allow the Bears to sustain drives, and they gave up just one touchdown in the game. Overall, the Vikings’ defense allowed only 284 total yards in the game.
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle heads into week 16 with an 8-6 record, giving them a 36.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 34.8% chance of winning the NFC West. They rank 20th in our NFL power rankings. The Seahawks are 3-5 at home and 5-1 on the road, including a 30-18 win over the Cardinals in week 14. However, they couldn’t follow that up with a win in week 15, losing 30-13 to the Packers.
Seattle has a +0.1 scoring margin and is 6-7-1 against the spread. They are 5-5 as underdogs and 1-2-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-7, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to an average line of 45.5.
Seattle Seahawks Stats
Seattle’s offense struggled in week 15, scoring just 13 points and failing to find the end zone until the 4th quarter. Geno Smith threw for 149 yards, completing 15 of 19 passes with one interception. Zach Charbonnet led the rushing attack with 54 yards on 8 carries, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 10 receptions for 83 yards. Seattle converted only 4 of 13 third downs and missed their lone red zone opportunity.
Heading into week 16, the Seahawks rank 21st in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 22.5 points per game, and 15th in total yards with 334.6 per game. Seattle ranks 6th in passing attempts and 5th in passing yards per game, but they are 26th in rushing yards, averaging 94.3 per game.
In their 30-13 loss to the Packers, the Seahawks’ defense allowed 8.5 yards per attempt in the passing game. Green Bay finished with 229 passing yards on just 20 completions. Overall, the Seahawks gave up 369 total yards, with 140 coming on 34 rushing attempts.
Seattle struggled to pressure the quarterback, failing to record a sack and losing the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials. The Packers also converted on 41.7% of their third down attempts.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 3-1-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Vikings are 4-3-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Seahawks have gone 6-2-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Seahawks’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Seahawks Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | +105 | -176 | +2 | -3.5 |
| Seahawks | -125 | +145 | -2 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Seattle +3.5
Seattle has been lights out at home against Minnesota, winning their last five games at Lumen Field, and they’ve been on a roll lately, going 4-1 both straight up and against the spread in their last five.
The Vikings, despite their stellar record, have struggled mightily in Seattle and need to rewrite their December narrative to secure a road win.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Seahawks to cover as home underdogs. They are currently sitting at +3.5, and we have them winning this week 21-20 over the Vikings.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 44 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 41.
With Seattle’s strong late-season form and the Vikings’ balanced attack led by Darnold, this game promises a fascinating chess match on both sides of the ball.
Keep your eyes on the spread and the total—this one’s shaping up to be a thriller!
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Doug Baldwin in Minnesota was COLD. 🥶#GoHawks x @lumentechco pic.twitter.com/95Ai70J0KG
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) December 19, 2024
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