Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Vikings vs. Giants Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Giants on Sunday, September 8th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -1.5 | New York +1.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -122 | New York +102
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Vikings vs. Giants Gameday
Week 1 is here, and we’re kicking things off with a barnburner: Minnesota vs. New York at MetLife Stadium! The Vikings are rolling into town as slim 1.5-point favorites, but don’t sleep on the Giants as home underdogs. With the line sitting at +1.5 for New York and a moneyline of +102, this game is practically begging for action. The total is set at 41.5, and while both teams come in fresh at 0-0, all signs point to a low-scoring grind.
The Vikings and Giants did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Giants went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 47 points per game.
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings were 3rd in the NFC North with a 2-4 division record, and they finished the 2023 season with a 7-10 record. Minnesota struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4, but they were 5-4 on the road compared to 2-6 at home. Against teams within their division, the Vikings went 3-7 against above .500 teams and 4-3 against below .500 teams.
At home, the Vikings were 0-3 as home favorites and 2-3 as home underdogs. Their over/under record for the season was 7-10, and their games averaged a combined 41.5 points. Minnesota’s record vs. the spread was 7-7-3, with a better performance on the road (5-1-3) compared to at home (2-6).
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Minnesota’s offense was 18th in the league last season, averaging 20.2 points per game, which placed them 22nd. They were 11th in yards per game and 10th in yards per play, averaging 347.8 yards per contest. The Vikings heavily favored the passing game, ranking 6th in passing attempts per game and 5th in passing yards per game, while finishing near the bottom in rushing attempts and yards.
Minnesota’s rushing attack was one of the least productive in the NFL, ranking 28th in attempts and 29th in yards. Although they were 16th in third down conversion percentage, the Vikings struggled to run the ball, finishing 32nd in the percentage of first downs coming from rushing plays.
The Vikings’ receiving group is led by Justin Jefferson, who is heading into his 5th season in the league. Last year, Jefferson played in 10 games and finished with 1,074 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Behind him, Jordan Addison, in his 2nd season, had 911 yards and 10 touchdowns. Brandon Powell, entering his 7th season, had 324 yards on 29 catches last year.
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Minnesota’s defense was tough on the road last season, giving up just 19.6 points per game, the 4th best figure in the NFL. Overall, they allowed 21.3 points per game, ranking 12th in the league. The Vikings’ defense forced 22 takeaways, which was 9th in the league, and they finished the season with a turnover differential that was right in the middle of the pack.
Against the pass, the Vikings gave up 234.5 yards per game, ranking 24th in the league. They also allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 70.3% of their passes, which was the 3rd highest rate in the NFL. Minnesota’s run defense was solid, giving up just 3.8 yards per attempt, the 4th best figure in the league.
New York Giants
The Giants were 3-2-1 against below .500 teams last season, but just 2-9 against teams with above .500 records. Their 6-11 record placed them 3rd in the NFC East and 13th in the NFC overall. Within the division, they went 3-3. New York struggled in non-conference games, going only 1-4. When favored, the Giants were 1-0, and as underdogs, they went 5-11.
At home, the Giants were 5-2-1 vs. the spread, while on the road, they were 3-6. Their overall record vs. the spread was 8-8-1. The Giants’ over/under record was 6-11, with their games averaging 39.6 combined points. Their games ranked 25th in the league in average combined scoring.
New York Giants Stats
The Giants’ offense was 25th in the league last season, averaging 39.6 points per game. Despite this, they struggled against above .500 teams, going only 2-9, but performed better against below .500 teams with a 4-2 record. Overall, the Giants finished the 2023 season with a 6-11 record, placing them 3rd in the NFC East and 13th in the NFC. They went 3-3 within their division and had a 5-7 record in non-conference games.
Against the spread, the Giants were 8-8-1, with a 5-2-1 record at home and a 3-6 record on the road. When favored, which only happened once, they went 0-1 ATS, and as underdogs, they went 8-7-1 ATS.
Entering his 6th season, Darius Slayton finished last year with 770 receiving yards on 50 catches and is part of a Giants’ receiving group that also includes Wan’Dale Robinson, who is heading into his 3rd season. Robinson played in 15 games and had 525 receiving yards and one touchdown. The Giants are also welcoming rookie Malik Nabers to the group.
The Giants’ defense was 18th in the NFL last season, but they did lead the league in turnover differential. They forced 31 takeaways, despite struggling to pressure the quarterback, finishing with below-average sack and quarterback hit numbers. New York allowed 23.9 points per game, ranking 26th in the league, and on the road, they gave up 28.7 points per game, which was 27th.
Opposing offenses had success running the ball against the Giants, as they allowed 4.7 rushing yards per attempt, ranking 12th-worst in the league. However, in the secondary, the Giants were tough to score on, giving up the 5th fewest passing touchdowns. They also held quarterbacks to the 9th-lowest passer rating in the league.
Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 2-2-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Vikings are 6-1-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | -109 | -122 | +1 | -1.5 |
| Giants | -112 | +102 | -1 | +1.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +1.5
Here’s where the edge comes in: Take the Giants +1.5 to cover. At home, with Daboll’s squad hungry after last season’s setbacks, they’ve got the fight to keep this tight. We’re forecasting a nail-biter, with Minnesota squeezing out a 17-16 win, but New York gets the cover.
Keep your eyes on live lines, and remember, Week 1 is all about capitalizing on value before the market adjusts.
As for an over/under pick, with the line at 41.5 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 33 points.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Players to watch on Sunday 👀
📰: https://t.co/PnZoflAWMI pic.twitter.com/ezXwRBhfhx
— New York Giants (@Giants) September 5, 2024
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