Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Vikings vs. Packers Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Packers on Sunday, September 29th at the Lambeau Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Green Bay matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(3-0) Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota +2.5 | Green Bay -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +116 | Green Bay -140
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Get ready for some Week 4 fireworks, folks, as the undefeated Minnesota Vikings (3-0) march into Lambeau Field to face their bitter NFC North rivals, the Green Bay Packers (2-1), in what promises to be an absolute thriller!
This divisional clash is packed with drama and betting intrigue, and if you’re looking to make some smart picks, let’s dive in.
Each team picked up a win on the road in last year’s series between the Vikings and Packers. The Vikings won the first game 24-10, and the Packers took the second game 33-10. Each team’s win came when they were the slight favorites.
The over/under line for game one was 41.5 points, and the teams combined for 34 points.
In the second game, the line was 42.5 points, and the teams combined for 43 points.
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings may have a perfect start to the season, but they’ve struggled against their divisional foes, going 1-4 straight up in their last five matchups. Meanwhile, the Packers have been lights out at home, covering the spread in five of their last six games at Lambeau.
Minnesota is now 3-0 after a 34-7 win over the Texans. The Vikings jumped out to a 14-0 lead after the 1st quarter and never looked back. Entering the game as +1.5 point underdogs, they easily covered the spread with their 27-point victory.
Sam Darnold had a big game, throwing three touchdown passes, two to Justin Jefferson and one to Aaron Jones. Minnesota added another touchdown in the 3rd quarter and finished off the game with 13 points in the 4th quarter. The Vikings’ defense was also strong, holding the Texans to just seven points until a late touchdown with 4:39 left in the 4th quarter.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
The Vikings’ offense put up 34 points in their most recent game, a 34-7 win over the Texans. Despite being sacked four times, Sam Darnold threw for 181 yards and four touchdowns. Darnold completed 60% of his passes and found Justin Jefferson for one of his four scores. Minnesota’s offense generated 19 first downs and 118 rushing yards.
Minnesota’s running game was led by Aaron Jones, who rushed for 102 yards on 19 carries, including a 39-yard run. Jefferson finished with 81 yards receiving and a touchdown. The Vikings’ passing attack accumulated 156 yards and Darnold had a passer rating of 119.
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The Vikings’ defense was dominant in their 34-7 win over the Texans, not allowing a single completion in the passing game. They did give up one passing touchdown but held Houston to 0 completions on the day. Minnesota’s defense forced two interceptions and limited the Texans to 38 rushing yards on just 14 attempts.
Despite allowing 258 passing yards, the Vikings made it tough for Houston to move the ball effectively through the air. They recorded five sacks and held the Texans to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down.
Green Bay Packers
Historically, Green Bay has also dominated this rivalry, winning six of the last 10 head-to-head meetings and putting up 30+ points in five of their last eight battles with Minnesota.
Green Bay’s 30-14 win over the Titans improved their record to 2-1. They were on the road for this one, and their win was by a margin of 16 points. The Packers were actually underdogs in this game, with the over/under line set at 37 points. After the Packers jumped out to a 17-7 lead in the 1st quarter, they added a field goal in the 2nd quarter to lead 20-7 at halftime.
The Packers added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter and went up 27-14 before adding a field goal in the 4th. The Titans also added a touchdown in the 3rd quarter. Green Bay’s Malik Willis and Emanuel Wilson connected for a 30-yard touchdown in the 3rd quarter. Despite the Packers’ early deficit, they dominated the rest of the way, outscoring the Titans 30-7 after falling behind 7-0 to start the game.
Green Bay Packers Stats
The Packers’ offense had a good game on the ground in their 30-14 win over the Titans, rushing for 188 yards on 37 attempts. However, they struggled in the passing game, with quarterback Malik Willis going 0/0 passing. Willis did have a good game running the ball, with 73 yards on six attempts, including a 29-yard touchdown run.
Willis led the team in rushing and also threw for 202 yards and one touchdown. Christian Watson was the leading receiver with two catches for 67 yards. The Packers’ offense picked up 16 first downs and managed to convert 35.7% of their third down attempts. Willis was sacked three times in the game.
In their 30-14 win over the Titans, the Packers’ defense didn’t allow a single completion, but did give up two passing touchdowns. They were dominant in the pass rush, sacking the quarterback eight times and forcing two interceptions. The Titans didn’t even attempt a rush, as they finished with just 33 yards on 11 attempts.
Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the Packers’ pass defense allowed just 204 yards and was aided by a strong pass rush that resulted in 8 sacks. The Packers’ defense also forced the Titans into an 0% completion percentage and held them to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 2-2-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Packers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Vikings are 6-1-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Packers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Packers’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Packers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | +170 | +116 | +4.5 | +2.5 |
| Packers | -205 | -139 | -4.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Green Bay -2.5
The betting line has Green Bay favored by 2.5 points, but don’t count out Minnesota to keep it close. With the total set at 43.5, we’re expecting a hard-fought, high-energy game with plenty of offensive action.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Packers to cover as home favorites in this week four matchup between the Packers and Vikings. Currently, the point spread lines have the Packers at -2.5, and we have them winning 27-20.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 47 points, and the O/U line sitting at 43.5 points.
Whether you’re taking the spread, moneyline, or over/under, this is the kind of matchup you can’t afford to miss. Buckle up for what could be the game of the week, and don’t forget to cash in on those free NFL picks!
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Revisiting the Packers dominating the Vikings in 2010
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 27, 2024
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