Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Vikings vs. Broncos Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Broncos on Sunday, November 19th at the Empower Field at Mile High. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Denver matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(6-4) Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos (4-5)
Sunday Night Football on NBC
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota +2.5 | Denver -2.5
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +118 | Denver -141
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43.5
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Last season, the Vikings and Broncos did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Broncos have the leg up at 2-1.
The Broncos also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 53 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-0-1.
They play in different conferences to obviously they won’t be that familiar with each other. Minnesota and Denver have faced off 15 times in their history, and the Vikings are slightly ahead with 8 wins compared to Denver’s 7.
Big news ahead of Sunday night’s game! Minnesota is on a hot streak since Dobbs joined the team, and he’s about to play his third game as a Vikings starter, boasting a 2-0 record. The Vikings are also hopeful about the return of several injured players, including star wide receiver Justin Jefferson.
On the flip side, Denver is on a winning spree, with three consecutive victories against strong opponents like the Packers, Chiefs, and Bills.
Their latest triumph was a 24-22 road win against the Bills on Monday, bringing them closer to a .500 record.
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Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings’ week 11 matchup vs. Denver will be their 6th road game of the season.
On the road, they have gone 4-1 and are 6-4 overall. In the NFC-North, Minnesota is 2nd and 7th in the NFC. The Vikings have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 6-3-1. Their average scoring margin for this season is +2.4.
In the Vikings’ win over the Saints, the Vikings did a good job moving the ball against the Saints defense, finishing with 23 first-downs and racking up 388 yards of offense.
Defensively, the Vikings allowed a total of 280 yards of offense to the Saints. Minnesota went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Joshua Dobbs threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score.
Dobbs completed 67% of his passes for 268 yards.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Joshua Dobbs threw for 268 yards while completing 67% of his passes.
On the ground, the Vikings rushed the ball 33 times for 125 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 6/15.
Minnesota’s offense comes in with an average of 23.3 points per game, which is currently 11th in the league.
Going up against the Broncos’ offense, the Vikings defense has allowed an average of 20.9 points per game. So far this season, they are 10th in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 323.2 yards per contest.
Denver Broncos
As they prepare to face the Vikings, the Broncos hold a 4-5 record. Within the AFC-West, they currently sit in 4th place and are 14th place in the AFC.
The Broncos’ current scoring margin for the season stands at -5.8, contributing to their ATS record of 3-5-1.
After taking an early three-point first quarter lead, the Broncos went on to pick up the win. For the game, they averaged 4 yards per play leading to a total of 300 yards of offense.
Defensively, they allowed 192 yards rushing and 11.8 yards per completion. Denver went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Russell Wilson threw for 193 yards while completing 82% of his passes and throwing for 193. Wilson threw for two touchdowns.
Denver Broncos Stats
Against the Bills, the Broncos ran the ball 38 times, with Javonte Williams as the top rusher, gaining 79 yards. Russell Wilson attempted 29 passes, amassing 193 yards and a passer rating of 117.
On offense, the Broncos are averaging 21.8 points per game, putting them 14th in the NFL.
On defense, the Broncos come into the game ranked 14th in tackles for loss and 15th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 27.6 points per game vs. them along with an average of 401.8 yards per contest.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Vikings are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Broncos have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Broncos’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Broncos Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | +124 | +113 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| Broncos | -146 | -138 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota +2.5
Some trends really point to the Vikings being able to get this done this week. Minnesota are 5-0 ATS in their last 5, are 5-0 SU in their last 5, and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road.
Minnesota displayed a strong defensive performance in their recent game against New Orleans. I’m placing my bet on them to cover the spread, with the current line at +2.5. Denver are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 at home, and while some think they’ve turned a corner I’m still skeptical.
The analysis we’ve been running for this game has the Vikings and Broncos finishing with a combined 39 points. With the over/under line sitting at 43.5, I’m getting a bet down on the OVER in this one.
I’m expecting both offenses to move the ball up and down the field. Total has gone OVER in 4 of the last 5 for Denver vs. NFC teams.
In summary, Minnesota is banking on Dobbs’ success and the return of key players, while Denver is riding high with a three-game winning streak, making this Sunday night showdown one to watch. Who you got?
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
SNF on tap!
Sights set on SNF. 👀#MINvsDEN 📸 » https://t.co/1K4mcjU6Xu pic.twitter.com/gIbwUZdGqm
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) November 17, 2023
What does Russ have in store for this week’s prime-time game?
Big @SNFonNBC matchup coming to @EmpowerField this weekend. 🍿@philmilani & @AricDiLalla get you ready for #MINvsDEN with an all-new episode of #TheNeutralZone » https://t.co/fyCLq6MbZo pic.twitter.com/Rsox1cnoS7
— Broncos Studio (@BroncosStudio) November 17, 2023
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