Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Vikings vs. Falcons Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons free NFL Week 9 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Falcons on Sunday, November 5th at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Atlanta matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(4-4) Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-4)
Date: Sunday, November 5th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
NFL Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota +4.5 | Atlanta -4.5
Week 9 NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota +177 | Atlanta -220
NFL Betting Total: O/U 37.5
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Battle of the 4-4s: Vikings vs. Falcons (Week 9 Preview)
Week 9 promises another thrilling gambling showdown for Cappers Picks readers. NFL football action heats up as the Minnesota Vikings (4-4) take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-4) this Sunday. Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the battlefield, and kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET, with the game airing on FOX.
In Week 8, the Vikings secured a crucial 24-10 victory against the Packers, but it came at a high cost as QB Kirk Cousins tore his Achilles, sidelining him for the remainder of the season. On the flip side, the Falcons endured a 28-23 loss to the Titans.
The Moneyline offers the Vikings at +180 and the Falcons at -225, with ATS odds favoring the Falcons by -4.5. The Over/Under total line is set at 37.5.
These two teams have a storied history dating back to 1966, with the Vikings leading the all-time series 19-11.
The Vikings and Falcons did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Vikings have a record of 2-1.
The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
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Minnesota Vikings
Coming into their game against Falcons, the Vikings are trying to improve on a 4-4 record. This mark has them at 2nd in the NFC-North and 7th in the NFC.
The Vikings’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +1.6, putting their ATS record at 4-3-1.
The Vikings’ 14-point win over the Packers was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Vikings averaged 5 yards per play for a total of 346 yards. On the other end, the Packers went 5/14 on 3rd down and finished with 270 yards.
Going into the game, Minnesota was favored by 1 and went on to cover the spread. Kirk Cousins threw for 274 yards while completing 74% of his passes and throwing for 274. Cousins threw for two touchdowns.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
On offense, Kirk Cousins ended with 274 passing yards on a completion rate of 74%. On the ground, the Vikings ran the ball 31 times, amassing 62 yards. The team converted 10 third-downs at a rate of 55.6%.
With an average of 21.9 points per contest, the Minnesota offense currently ranks 14th in the league.
The Vikings currently rank 15th in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks on the defensive side. Their opponents are averaging 20.2 points per game and 322.8 yards per contest against them.
Atlanta Falcons
As they get ready to face the Vikings, the Falcons carry in a 4-4 record. Within the NFC-South, they are currently in 1st place and are positioned 4th in the NFC overall. Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -2.9.
The team comes in with an ATS mark of 2-6.
Defensively, the Falcons gave up 375 yards of total offense to the Titans in a 28-23 loss. The Titans ran the ball for 149 yards while throwing for 226. On offense, the Falcons went 4/15 on 3rd down and finished with 342 yards of total offense.
Atlanta also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 2 point favorites. Taylor Heinicke threw for 175 yards while completing 57% of his passes and throwing for 175. Heinicke threw for one touchdown.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
On offense, Taylor Heinicke ended with 175 passing yards on a completion rate of 57%. On the ground, the Falcons ran the ball 26 times, amassing 140 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 26.7%.
This season, the Atlanta offense has an average of 17.2 points, placing them 25th in the league.
The Falcons defense takes on the Vikings having given up an average of 20.1 points per game. So far, they are 4th in quarterback hits and are giving up 296.6 yards per contest.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 1-3-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Vikings are 6-2-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Falcons have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Falcons’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Falcons Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | -104 | +177 | +1.5 | +4.5 |
| Falcons | -112 | -220 | -1.5 | -4.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Minnesota +4.5
Last season, teams that were favored against the spread, went on to cover at a rate of just 44.6%. I like the value in grabbing the Vikings at +4.5 in their matchup vs. the Falcons.
Coming in with an over/under line of 37.5, I’m going with the under as my pick. Minnesota has an -4.8 margin against their over/under lines so far this season.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
The first of many no doubt!
https://twitter.com/AtlantaFalcons/status/1719138302421287017
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