Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Dolphins vs. Seahawks Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Seahawks on Sunday, September 22nd at the Lumen Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami Seattle matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(1-1) Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks (2-0)
Date: Sunday, September 22nd
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle WA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Miami +5 | Seattle -5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Miami +184 | Seattle -223
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Buckle up, folks, because Week 3 is about to bring some serious fireworks, and we’ve got a sizzling matchup between the Dolphins and Seahawks! Let’s cut to the chase—Miami’s in trouble here. The Dolphins are 0-5 as underdogs in their last five outings, and this week, they’re making that grueling cross-country trek to face a red-hot Seattle squad.
The Seahawks’ defense was a wall last week, holding the Patriots to just 125 passing yards, and we’re expecting them to keep that intensity high, especially at home.
Last season, the Dolphins and Seahawks did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Seahawks have the leg up at 2-1.
However, against the spread the Dolphins went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 1-2 on an average of 40 points per game.
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins are now 1-1 after losing to the Bills by a score of 31-10. Miami was favored by -2.5 at home, and the 21-point loss was well below expectations. Buffalo led 24-10 at halftime, and the Dolphins didn’t score at all in the second half.
Heading into the 4th quarter, Miami was down 31-10 and couldn’t mount any comeback. The game was tied 7-7 after the 1st quarter, but Buffalo dominated the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Dolphins 17-3.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Miami’s offense struggled in their 31-10 loss to the Bills, as they turned the ball over three times and were inefficient in the passing game. The Dolphins had 20 first downs and 139 yards on 34 rushing attempts, but they managed only 212 yards through the air on 39 attempts. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 145 yards (17/25) and had one touchdown pass, finishing with a passer rating of 56.
De’Von Achane was the leading rusher and receiver for Miami in this game. He ran for 96 yards and added 69 receiving yards on seven catches, including a receiving touchdown. The Dolphins’ offense as a whole struggled to move the ball consistently and paid the price with three interceptions and only one touchdown.
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In their 31-10 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 139 passing yards on just 13 completions. However, they struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks and losing the quarterback hit differential by -5. Buffalo found success on the ground, rushing for 108 yards on 26 attempts.
Miami’s defense also allowed a completion percentage of 68.4% and gave up one passing touchdown. Despite this, they did well on third downs, allowing the Bills to convert just 33.3% of their third down attempts.
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is now 2-0 after their 23-20 overtime win over the Patriots. The Seahawks were on the road for this one and came out on top by a field goal. The game was tied 20-20 at the end of regulation, but Seattle outscored New England 3-0 in overtime. The Seahawks were -3 point favorites going in, resulting in a push vs. the spread. The combined 43 points went over the total line of 39 points.
Geno Smith found DK Metcalf for a touchdown to tie the game at 7 in the first quarter. After that, Seattle added 10 points in the 2nd quarter, with a touchdown from Zach Charbonnet and a field goal from Jason Myers. In the 3rd quarter, the Seahawks took a 20-17 lead with a touchdown from Jaxon Smith-Njigba, but the Patriots tied it with a Rhamondre Stevenson touchdown. The Seahawks defense held tough in overtime, and Myers’ 31-yard field goal sealed the win.
Seattle Seahawks Stats
Geno Smith had a strong game for Seattle in their 23-20 overtime win over the Patriots, throwing for 327 yards and completing 75% of his passes. He found DK Metcalf 10 times for 129 yards and a touchdown. The Seahawks managed only 46 yards on the ground, with Zach Charbonnet leading the team with 38 rushing yards and one touchdown.
Smith was sacked three times and threw one touchdown. The offense picked up 18 first downs and finished with 312 passing yards. Despite their struggles running the ball, they still managed to pull out the win.
In their most recent game, the Seahawks’ defense allowed just 125 passing yards on 15 completions to the Patriots. Despite giving up 185 rushing yards on 36 attempts, they still came out with a 23-20 overtime victory. The Patriots managed to convert 37.5% of their third down attempts and scored one rushing touchdown.
Seattle’s defense also recorded three sacks and held New England to a 4.6 yards per attempt in the passing game. The Seahawks’ offense put up 310 yards in the win.
Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 0-5 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Seahawks are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Dolphins are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Seahawks have gone 5-3-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Dolphins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Seahawks’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Dolphins vs. Seahawks Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -130 | +183 | -2 | +5 |
| Seahawks | +110 | -222 | +2 | -5 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Seahawks -5
The Dolphins haven’t played in Seattle in eight years, and trust me, that 12th man is going to feel like 13 or 14 when Miami’s offense tries to get rolling. Throw in a stingy Seahawks defense and Miami’s travel woes, and you’ve got the makings of a one-sided affair.
With Seattle -5 on the spread and a moneyline of -223, all signs point to a big win for the Seahawks. If you’re looking to cash in on the total, the O/U is set at 41.5, and we wouldn’t be surprised if this stays under with Seattle’s lockdown defense.
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Seahawks to cover as home favorites in this week three matchup versus the Dolphins. We have the Dolphins laying an egg in this one, and have the Seahawks winning big 27-13. Watch the Seahawks defense dominate this game.
For an over/under pick, we really like taking the UNDER, as we have this game finishing with 40 combined points. The current O/U line is just 41.5 points, making the UNDER a great value pick in this one.
We’ve got Seattle taking this one comfortably, 27-13, as the Dolphins struggle to keep up. The Seahawks have won their last two meetings against Miami, including a 31-23 victory in 2020, and we expect more of the same. Get ready for more NFL picks and expert predictions all season long—this Week 3 clash is just the start!
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Miami Dolphins vs. Seattle Seahawks NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Jake Bobo’s response to DK’s touchdown celebration is comedy 🍿#GoHawks x @ticketmaster pic.twitter.com/CupIU42Uib
— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) September 20, 2024
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