Free NFL Week 2 Pick: Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots free NFL Week 2 regular season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Patriots on Sunday, September 17th at the Gillette Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 2 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 2
Sunday Night Football
(1-0) Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots (0-1)
Date: Sunday, September 17th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
NFL Week 2 ATS Betting Lines: Miami -2 | New England +2.5
Week 2 NFL Moneyline Odds: Miami -137 | New England +113
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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This Sunday, brace yourself for a classic AFC East showdown as the Miami Dolphins (1-0) ride the momentum of an electrifying season opener to face off against the New England Patriots (0-1) under the primetime spotlight.
The stage is set for a battle of titans, with Tua Tagovailoa taking on Bill Belichick’s Patriots. It’s a clash reminiscent of Luke Skywalker confronting the Evil Emperor.
The odds are in favor of the Dolphins in this matchup (-2.5). The moneyline shows the Dolphins as favorites at (-140), while the Patriots are the underdogs at (+115).
The over/under is set at 46.5 points.
Last year, the Patriots and Dolphins split their head-to-head matchups, with each team going 1-1. Against the spread, the Dolphins went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 35.5 points per game.
In these head-to-head matchups, the Dolphins’ offense averaged 320 yards per game compared to the Patriots at 260.
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Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins’ season got underway with the Dolphins on the road, taking on the Chargers and winning 36-34.
Miami Dolphins Stats
The Dolphins’ offense produced a total of 536 yards against the Chargers. On third downs, the Dolphins achieved a conversion rate of 44.4%. Notably, Raheem Mostert led the rushing attack with 37 yards, while Tua Tagovailoa passed for 466 yards.
When it came to defense, the Dolphins’ recorded three sacks and one interception.
Additionally, the team’s secondary allowed 199 passing yards, while the rush defense gave up 234 rushing yards.
New England Patriots
To open the season, the Patriots commenced by having the Eagles as their guests. Unfortunately, they began with a 0-1 record following a 25-20 loss.
New England Patriots Stats
Offensively, Mac Jones ended with 316 passing yards with a completion rate of 64%. The Patriots ran the ball 22 times, gaining 76 yards. The team converted 5 of 15 third-down opportunities.
On defense, the Patriots conceded 251 yards of total offense to Philadelphia. 97 of these yards were obtained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 154 yards on 33 pass attempts.
Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Dolphins are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Patriots have gone 4-5-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Dolphins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 3-0.
- The Patriots’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Dolphins vs. Patriots Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | -130 | -139 | -2 | -2.5 |
| Patriots | +108 | +115 | +2 | +2.5 |
4* Free Week 2 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami -2
The Patriots’ success hinges on reducing their errors. If they can achieve this, they stand a good chance of covering the spread, and perhaps even securing a home victory. The problem is I don’t think they’ll do it.
With the Dolphins coming in as 2.5-point road favorites, look for them to take advantage of a Patriots team that is coming off both a straight-up and ATS loss.
The Patriots are facing a daunting challenge as they lack the defensive prowess to contain Tua and Hill.
In Week 1, Miami showcased their offensive firepower in a road victory over the Chargers, with Tua amassing an impressive 466 yards and 3 TDs, while Hill had 11 grabs for 215 yards and 2 TDs.
While replicating such a performance may be unlikely, Miami will undoubtedly make another determined attempt.
Our analysis points to taking the Dolphins against the spread.
Miami comes into this week’s game with an average margin of 20 against their over/under lines. With an over/under of 47, our prediction is that this game will go over, resulting in a combined total of 48 points.
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Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
In the lab 🧪 pic.twitter.com/dU3CQMIGBk
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 13, 2023
Refreshing your phone 📲 #WallpaperWednesday pic.twitter.com/Aj9t20iUAp
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) September 13, 2023
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