Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Dolphins vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 9 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, November 5th at the Deutsche Bank Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(6-2) Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs (6-2)
NFL Europe Series: Frankfurt, Germany
Date: Sunday, November 5th
Time: 9:30 ET
Venue: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, GER
NFL Week 9 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Miami +2.5 | Kansas City -2.5
Week 9 NFL Moneyline Odds: Miami +116 | Kansas City -140
NFL Betting Total: O/U 50.5
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Week 9 offers yet another thrilling gambling opportunity for Cappers Picks readers. NFL football action goes international as the Miami Dolphins (6-2) go head-to-head with the Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) in Europe. The action unfolds on Sunday at Frankfurt Stadium in Germany, with kickoff set for 9:30 a.m. ET, airing on NFL Network.
Kansas City is coming off a tough 24-9 road loss against the Broncos, with Mahomes playing at less than 100%. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are riding high after a 31-17 victory over the Patriots, covering as 7.5-point home favorites.
The Moneyline presents the Dolphins at +115 and the Chiefs at -140, with ATS odds favoring the Chiefs by -2.5. The Over/Under total line is set at 50.5.
These two teams have faced off just six times since 2006, with a 3-3 record and the Dolphins leading 4-2 ATS.
Last season, the Dolphins and Chiefs did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 3-0. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 50 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
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Miami Dolphins
On the road, the Dolphins have a record of 2-2 this season and are 6-2 overall. When looking at the standings, Miami is 2nd in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-East. On the road, Miami has gone 2-2 thus far.
The Dolphins hold a 6-2 record against the spread. As we approach week 9, their scoring margin stands at +8.4 per game.
In the Dolphins’ win over the Patriots, the Dolphins’ offense finished with 390 yards of offense compared to the Patriots’ 218. The Dolphins went 5/14 on 3rd down, while the Patriots converted on 35.7% of their 3rd down attempts. Going into the game, Miami was favored by 7.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa had a big game, throwing for 324 yards on a passer rating of 100. Tagovailoa completed 66% of 45 attempts in the game.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Tua Tagovailoa threw for 324 yards while completing 66% of his passes. On the ground, the Dolphins rushed the ball 26 times for 78 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 5/14.
On offense, the Dolphins are currently averaging 33.9 points per game, ranking them 1st in the NFL.
On the defensive side of the ball, Miami currently ranks 23rd in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 25.5 points per game while gaining 329.4 yards per contest.
Kansas City Chiefs
Going into this week 9 AFC matchup, the Chiefs have an overall record of 6-2. In the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are in 1st place and 1st in the AFC. So far, they have gone 4-1 against AFC opponents and 3-1 at home.
When it comes to the spread, the Chiefs have a 5-3 record. Heading into week 9, their scoring margin is at +7.2 (per game).
Defensively, the Chiefs gave up 240 yards of total offense to the Broncos in a 24-9 loss.
The Broncos ran the ball for 153 yards while throwing for 87. On offense, the Chiefs went 3/10 on 3rd down and finished with 275 yards of total offense.
Kansas City also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 7 point favorites. Patrick Mahomes did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 24 of 38 passes for 241 yards. Mahomes ended the game with a passer rating of 59.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Facing the Broncos defense, Kansas City’s offense amassed 275 yards in total. On third downs, the Chiefs converted at a rate of 30%. Isiah Pacheco led the rushing game with 40 yards, while Patrick Mahomes threw for 241 yards.
Kansas City’s offense is 12th in the league, with an average of 23.4 points per contest.
Kansas City is 2nd in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 16.1 points per game, accumulating 287.8 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Dolphins are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Dolphins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Dolphins vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | +186 | +116 | +5.5 | +2.5 |
| Chiefs | -220 | -140 | -5.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami +2.5
For this matchup between the Dolphins and Chiefs, my point spread prediction is in favor of the Dolphins covering on the road. They are currently receiving 2.5 points, and I expect them to cover this spread.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 50.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 54 points.
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Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Sichere Reisen! (Safe Travels!)
https://twitter.com/Chiefs/status/1719425504195871119
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