Free NFL Week 15 Pick: Rams vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Rams taking on the 49ers on Thursday, December 12th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 15 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles San Francisco Thursday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 15
Thursday Night Football on Amazon Prime
(7-6) Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-7)
Date: Thursday, December 12th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +2.5 | San Francisco -2.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +123 | San Francisco -144
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48.5
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Thursday Night Football is bringing the heat in Week 15 as NFC West rivals clash under the lights at Levi’s Stadium. The 49ers and Rams, two teams in the thick of playoff contention, reignite their storied rivalry with plenty on the line.
Historically, San Francisco has owned this matchup, leading the all-time series 78-70-3 and boasting a strong 39-35-2 home record against LA.
The Rams, however, claimed the last meeting with a thrilling 27-24 victory in Inglewood back in September, setting the stage for another electric matchup.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Rams have a record of 2-1. The Rams also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 47 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
The betting lines have San Francisco favored by 2.5, and for good reason. The Rams are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 against the Niners and 3-9 straight up in their last 12.
Los Angeles Rams
Following a week 12 loss to the Eagles, the Rams have bounced back with two straight wins, including a 44-42 victory over the Bills in week 14. As 3.5-point underdogs, the Rams covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 6-7. Their O/U record is 7-6, with their games averaging 48.5 points per game.
Heading into week 15, the Rams have a 7-6 record and sit 2nd in the NFC West. They rank 14th in our power rankings and have a 34.5% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division are 32.3%.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Heading into week 15, the Rams are 14th in the NFL in points per game (22.9) and 15th in yards per game (340.7). They rank 9th in passing yards per game (237.7) and 12th in passing attempts per game (33.8). On the ground, they are 25th in rushing yards per game, with 103, on 26 attempts per game, which ranks 21st. The Rams are 20th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (36.7%) and 23rd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts. They have struggled to score early in games, ranking 24th in 1st-quarter points.
Matthew Stafford has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 132 in week 14, going 23/30 for 320 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Puka Nacua had 12 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown in week 14, while Kyren Williams rushed for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns on 29 carries. The Rams converted 11 of 15 3rd-down attempts and scored on 5 of 6 red zone trips in their week 14 win over the Bills.
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In their 44-42 win over the Bills, the Rams’ defense gave up 342 passing yards, with Buffalo averaging 9.2 yards per attempt through the air. They also allowed three passing touchdowns and struggled to generate pressure, finishing with no sacks. Despite their defensive efforts, the Rams came out on top in a high-scoring affair.
On the ground, the Rams allowed 103 rushing yards on just 17 attempts, with Buffalo averaging 6.1 yards per attempt. Los Angeles also struggled on third downs, allowing the Bills to convert 55.6% of their third down attempts.
San Francisco 49ers
After three straight losses, the 49ers bounced back in week 14 with a 38-13 win over the Bears, improving their record to 6-7. San Francisco was favored by 3 points and easily covered, with the teams combining for 51 points to hit the over. The 49ers are now 5-8 against the spread this season, and their O/U record is 7-6.
Heading into week 15, the 49ers rank 8th in our power rankings and have a 10.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-3 at home and 2-4 on the road, and their division record is 1-3. San Francisco is currently 4th in the NFC West and 11th in the conference standings.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
After struggling in weeks 12 and 13, the 49ers’ offense bounced back in week 14, scoring 38 points in a win over the Bears. Brock Purdy threw for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 20 of 25 passes without an interception. San Francisco also converted 6 of 12 third downs and 5 of 6 red zone attempts. Isaac Guerendo led the team in rushing with 78 yards and 2 touchdowns, while George Kittle had 151 receiving yards on 6 catches.
Heading into week 15, the 49ers rank 12th in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.7 points per game, and 4th in total yards with 378.5 per game. Despite ranking 27th in passing attempts, they are 7th in passing yards per game. San Francisco is 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 43.7%.
The 49ers’ defense was dominant in their 38-13 win over the Bears, recording seven sacks and holding Chicago to just 94 yards passing. Despite giving up two passing touchdowns, the 49ers limited the Bears to 18 completions on 24 attempts. San Francisco’s run defense also played well, allowing only 68 yards on 21 attempts.
On the day, the Bears managed just 162 total yards. San Francisco’s defense was effective on third downs, allowing the Bears to convert only 40% of their third down attempts. The 49ers also had seven quarterback hits in the game.
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Rams are 2-3 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Rams are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rams’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Rams vs. 49ers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | +225 | +122 | +6.5 | +2.5 |
| 49ers | -278 | -144 | -6.5 | -2.5 |
4* Free Week 15 NFL Betting Prediction: San Francisco -2.5
LA have struggled in Santa Clara, going 1-4 in their last five road games in this series. San Francisco’s physicality, combined with home-field advantage, will prove too much for a Rams squad still searching for consistency.
For this week 15 matchup between the Rams and 49ers, our pick is to take the 49ers to cover the spread. Currently, the point spread lines have the 49ers at -2.5, making them our pick to cover at home.
We have the 49ers winning by a score of 23-17.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 48.5 points, we have a lean towards the UNDER with a projected combined score of 40 points.
With a tight spread and an enticing over/under of 48.5, this matchup has the makings of a nail-biter. Both teams are fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive, making this must-see action for fans and bettors alike!
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Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Divisional matchup on deck. #BeatLA pic.twitter.com/c0e6wNyGYM
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) December 12, 2024
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