Free NFL Week 1 Pick: Rams vs. Lions Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Rams taking on the Lions on Sunday, September 8th at the Ford Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 1 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Detroit matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 1
(0-0) Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions (0-0)
Date: Sunday, September 8th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Ford Field, Detroit MI
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +3.5 | Detroit -3.5
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +152 | Detroit -182
NFL Betting Total: O/U 51
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Rams vs. Lions Gameday
Get ready for some Week 1 fireworks, football fans! As the NFL season kicks off, we’re diving headfirst into the Rams vs. Lions showdown—a Sunday night matchup that’s got serious potential to shake things up.
The Lions, fresh off their best postseason in franchise history, are -3.5 point favorites at home in what should be an electric atmosphere at Ford Field.
The Rams, on the other hand, are looking to bounce back from a rough 2023 and reclaim their place as contenders.
Even though the Rams lost their only game against the Lions last year, they did manage to cover the spread. The Lions picked up a 24-23 win at home. The Lions were favored by -3.5 points, and the game finished with 47 total points, which was below the over/under line of 53 points.
Los Angeles Rams
The Rams finished last season with a 10-7 record, placing 2nd in the NFC West and earning a playoff spot as the 6th seed in the NFC. Within their division, they excelled with a 5-1 record. However, they struggled in non-conference games, going only 2-3. Their season ended with a disappointing 24-23 loss to the Lions in the NFC Wild Card round.
As favorites, the Rams went 8-1 but struggled as underdogs, going 2-7. They were 11-6-1 against the spread and had a 9-9 over/under record. On the road, they were 7-3 ATS, and at home, they were 4-3-1. Their games averaged 46 points per game.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
Finishing the season 5th in our power rankings, the Rams’ offense was one of the better units in the league last season. They averaged 23.7 points per game, ranking 9th in the league. Their passing game was a big reason for their success, averaging 245.6 yards per game, which was 7th best in the NFL. Los Angeles also averaged 362.9 yards per game, ranking 7th in the league.
The Rams were also 8th in the league in third down conversion percentage, converting 42% of their third down attempts. They also had the 6th best passing yards per attempt figure in the league.
Cooper Kupp, entering his 8th season, played in 12 games for the Rams last year and finished with 737 receiving yards and five touchdowns. Puka Nacua, who had 1486 receiving yards and six touchdowns, is coming into his 2nd season. Tutu Atwell, heading into his 4th season, had 483 receiving yards on 39 catches. Nacua averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game, while Kupp averaged 8.8 and Atwell 4.6.
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The Rams’ defense was middle of the pack in terms of takeaways last season, forcing 15 turnovers, which was 15th in the league. In terms of yards allowed, they were 18th in the NFL, giving up 337.7 yards per game. They allowed 22.3 points per game, ranking 18th in the league, with road games being a bit tougher, giving up 23.8 points per game.
Despite finishing 14th in sacks, the Rams were 8th in passing touchdowns allowed and 6th in rushing touchdowns allowed. They also held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 86.16, ranking 13th in the league.
Detroit Lions
The Lions’ 12-5 record last season was good enough for 3rd in the NFC and a 1st place finish in the NFC North. They excelled against below .500 teams, going 8-1, and also performed well at home with an 8-2 record. Their playoff run ended in the NFC Conference Championship with a 34-31 loss to the 49ers. Detroit was also strong on the road, going 6-4.
As favorites, the Lions went 13-3 in the 2023 season, but they struggled as underdogs, going 1-3. Against the spread, they held a 14-6 record, going 11-5 as favorites and 3-1 as underdogs. Their games averaged 51.1 points, the 2nd highest in the league, leading to a 13-7 over/under record.
Detroit Lions Stats
The Lions’ offense was one of the best in the league last year, as they were the 2nd highest-scoring team in the NFL, averaging 30.1 points per game. They were also the top-scoring team in the NFC and finished the season with a 12-5 record. Detroit’s offense was particularly dominant at home, where they went 8-2. The Lions’ playoff run ended in the NFC Conference Championship with a 34-31 loss to the 49ers. They were also strong on the road, going 6-4.
Against the spread, the Lions were 14-6, with an 11-5 record as the favorite and 3-1 as the underdog. Their games had an average over/under line of 47.8, with an average of 51.1 points per game. The Lions were 13-7 against the over/under.
Heading into his 4th season, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the most experienced wide receiver in the Lions’ room. St. Brown had 1,515 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns last year. Behind him, Kalif Raymond, who is in his 8th season, had 489 receiving yards and one touchdown. Jameson Williams, entering his 3rd season, played in 12 games and had 354 yards and two touchdowns last year.
The Lions’ defense allowed 23.8 points per game last season, ranking 25th in the league. They struggled against the pass, giving up 257 passing yards per game, which was 31st in the NFL. However, they were tough against the run, ranking 3rd in rushing yards per attempt.
Despite allowing a lot of passing yards, the Lions’ defense forced the 5th most quarterback hits last season. They also finished with 23 takeaways, giving them the 8th best turnover differential in the league. In terms of yards allowed, the Lions were 23rd in the NFL, giving up an average of 348 yards per game.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Rams are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Lions have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rams’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Lions’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Rams vs. Lions Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | +158 | +152 | +3.5 | +3.5 |
| Lions | -194 | -182 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 1 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -3.5
Now, let’s talk numbers: The over/under is set at a hefty 51, and for good reason—both teams are capable of putting points on the board. But the real edge comes with the Lions at -182 on the moneyline. Detroit’s dynamic playmakers and home-field advantage make them a solid bet to cover the 3.5-point spread.
Our expert take? The Lions are poised to make a statement with a 31-24 win.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 51 points, we are leaning towards taking the OVER, with a projected combined score of 55 points.
Stay tuned all season long for more sharp picks and NFL handicapping insight, as we ride the wave of Week 1 excitement! Let’s cash some tickets, folks!
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
👀👀👀 pic.twitter.com/HbH54kBAhS
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) September 5, 2024
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