Free NFL Week 4 Pick: Rams vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Rams taking on the Bears on Sunday, September 29th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 4 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 4
(1-2) Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears (1-2)
Date: Sunday, September 29th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +3 | Chicago -3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +126 | Chicago -150
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41
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Buckle up, football fans—Week 4 is bringing the heat with the Los Angeles Rams squaring off against the Chicago Bears in a matchup loaded with intrigue and betting potential. The Rams have been sneaky good as underdogs, going 4-1 in their last five games when the odds are against them. And while they’re missing star receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, don’t count them out just yet.
On the flip side, Chicago’s defense is no joke, forcing six turnovers in just three weeks and ranking third in the league.
The Bears might have a slight edge on paper, holding the all-time series lead and coming in as 3-point favorites, but recent history favors the Rams, who have taken the last three meetings between these two teams.
The Rams and Bears did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Rams have a record of 3-0. The Rams also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 35 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
Los Angeles Rams
Despite falling behind 14-0 in the first quarter, the Rams came back to win 27-24 over the 49ers in their most recent game, bringing their record to 1-2. Los Angeles was down 21-14 heading into the 4th quarter, but they outscored the 49ers 13-3 in the final quarter. The Rams’ victory was capped off by a 37-yard field goal from Joshua Karty with just five seconds remaining.
Heading into the game, the Rams were +6 point underdogs, giving them an against-the-spread win as well. The combined 51 points exceeded the over/under line of 44.5 points.
Los Angeles Rams Stats
The Rams’ offense put up 198 yards through the air in their 27-24 win over the 49ers, with Matthew Stafford going 16/25 for 221 yards and one touchdown. The Rams managed 19 first downs and 98 yards on the ground. Stafford was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 105.
On the ground, Kyren Williams led the team with 89 yards rushing on 24 attempts, including two rushing touchdowns and one receiving touchdown. Tutu Atwell was the top receiver with 93 yards on four catches, including a 50-yard reception.
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The Rams’ defense didn’t allow a single completion in their most recent game, but they did give up 288 yards through the air and allowed the 49ers to convert 54.5% of their third down attempts. Despite this, the Rams still came out on top with a 27-24 win. The Rams’ defense struggled against the run, allowing 137 yards on 34 attempts. They also gave up three passing touchdowns.
Los Angeles’ defense managed just one sack in the game and lost the tackles for loss battle. The Rams’ defense will be looking to improve in their next game, as they allowed the 49ers to put up 425 yards of total offense against them.
Chicago Bears
The Bears’ record is now 1-2 after their 21-16 loss to the Colts. Chicago was on the road in this one, and they were also 2-point underdogs, failing to cover the spread with the 5-point defeat. The game had a combined total of 37 points, falling short of the over/under line of 43.5 points.
Chicago didn’t score until late in the 2nd quarter, with Cairo Santos hitting a 53-yard field goal to make it 14-10 in favor of the Colts. In the 4th quarter, the Bears found the endzone three times but couldn’t complete the comeback, as the Colts also added a touchdown in the final period.
Chicago Bears Stats
Chicago’s offense had 26 first downs and 332 yards passing in their 21-16 loss to the Colts. Despite not attempting a single rush, the Bears managed only 63 yards on the ground. They also had a 42.9% conversion rate on third down and allowed four sacks. Quarterback Caleb Williams went 33/52 for 363 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions.
Roschon Johnson led the team with 30 rushing yards, while Rome Odunze was the top receiver with 112 yards and one touchdown. Williams had a passer rating of 80 in the game.
In the Bears’ 21-16 loss to the Colts, their defense played well against the pass, not allowing a single completion. However, they did give up 150 rushing yards on 33 attempts, with the Colts rushing for 4.5 yards per attempt. Chicago’s defense held the Colts to 156 yards, but they still came out on the losing end.
Chicago’s defense also forced two interceptions and held the Colts to a 25% third-down conversion rate. They managed one sack in the game but lost the tackle for loss and QB hit differentials.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Rams are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Rams are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Rams’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Rams vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | +102 | +125 | +1.5 | +3 |
| Bears | -122 | -150 | -1.5 | -3 |
4* Free Week 4 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +3
With the moneyline sitting at Rams +126 and Bears -150, there’s plenty of value to be had. If you like betting on defense, Chicago could be your play, but the Rams thrive in the underdog role, and that makes this game a tough call.
This looks like a great matchup, and I think there could be some fireworks here.
Our pick vs. the spread for this week four matchup between the Bears and Rams is to take the Rams to cover as road underdogs. The point spread lines have the Bears at -3, and although we have the Rams losing 24-23, we like them to cover at +3.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 41 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points.
This one’s shaping up to be a hard-fought, down-to-the-wire battle, so don’t miss out on the action. Stay tuned for more free NFL picks and predictions all season long!
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Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Sights set on Sunday pic.twitter.com/iD8KIDeEn5
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) September 27, 2024
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