Free NFL Week 3 Pick: Chargers vs. Steelers Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Steelers on Sunday, September 22nd at the Acrisure Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 3 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Pittsburgh matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 3
(2-0) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0)
Date: Sunday, September 22nd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh PA
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +2 | Pittsburgh -2
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +105 | Pittsburgh -126
NFL Betting Total: O/U 35.5
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Buckle up for Week 3, football fans, because we’ve got a heavyweight clash on our hands between the undefeated Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers! This showdown at Acrisure Stadium promises to be one of the tightest matchups of the week, and I’m ready to break it down from a betting angle.
Let’s talk numbers: Pittsburgh is a slight -2 favorite, but the Chargers are no strangers to keeping games tight. They’ve not only covered the spread in both wins this season but also kept things under the total. With an over/under sitting at just 35.5, the lowest total of the week, we’re looking at a defensive battle.
The Chargers and Steelers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Chargers have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Steelers went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 60 points per game.
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles improved to 2-0 with a 26-3 win over the Panthers, covering the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The Chargers dominated from the start, leading 20-0 at halftime. The game finished with a combined 29 points, falling short of the over/under line of 38.5 points.
Justin Herbert’s two touchdown passes to Quentin Johnston and a 43-yard touchdown run by J.K. Dobbins powered the Chargers in the first half. Although the Panthers kicked a field goal in the 3rd, the Chargers responded with a field goal and another touchdown pass from Herbert to Ladd McConkey in the 4th quarter.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
The Chargers’ offense put up 26 points in their 26-3 win over the Panthers, with 21 first downs and 219 rushing yards on 44 attempts. Despite throwing for only 130 yards, Justin Herbert completed 70% of his passes and threw two touchdowns. He was also intercepted once and took one sack.
J.K. Dobbins led the ground attack with 131 yards, averaging 7.7 yards per attempt and scoring one touchdown, including a 43-yard run. Quentin Johnston caught two touchdown passes and led the team with 51 receiving yards.
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In their most recent game, the Chargers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 69 passing yards and holding the Panthers to 3 points in a 26-3 win. They defended the run well, giving up just 90 yards on 18 attempts (5.0 per attempt) and limited Carolina to 159 total yards. The Chargers’ defense also picked off a pass and held the Panthers to an 8.3% conversion rate on third down.
The Chargers’ pass rush was effective, with two sacks and a positive differential in tackles for loss. Their secondary limited big plays and kept the Panthers out of the end zone, while the defense as a whole allowed just 18 completions on 26 attempts (69.2% completion percentage).
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers are now 2-0 after their 13-6 win over the Broncos. Pittsburgh’s defense was strong in this one, holding Denver to just six points. Heading into the game, the Steelers were -2.5 point favorites, and with the 7-point win, they covered the spread. The combined 19 points was well below the over/under line of 36.5 points.
Pittsburgh got off to a good start, leading 10-0 at halftime. The Broncos didn’t score until late in the 3rd quarter, and they added a field goal in the 4th. The Steelers’ defense didn’t allow any points in the 4th quarter.
Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
The Steelers’ offense struggled in the passing game in their 13-6 win over the Broncos, managing just 110 yards through the air. Pittsburgh’s running game was more effective, with 141 yards on 36 attempts. Justin Fields, who completed 65% of his passes, finished with 117 yards passing and one touchdown. He was not helped much by the offensive line, as he was sacked twice.
Najee Harris rushed for 69 yards to lead the team, while tight end Pat Freiermuth was the leading receiver with 39 yards on four catches. The Steelers finished with 16 first downs and a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.
In their 13-6 win over the Broncos, the Steelers’ defense was tough to move the ball against, allowing just 231 passing yards on 20 completions. Denver really struggled on third down, converting only 16.7% of their chances. The Steelers’ defense also came up with two interceptions and didn’t allow a passing touchdown.
On the ground, the Broncos managed just 64 yards on 19 attempts. Pittsburgh’s defense also recorded two sacks and limited Denver to a 57.1% completion percentage. The Steelers’ defense was also active in the backfield, winning the tackles for loss differential and the quarterback hit differential.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Steelers are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Chargers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Steelers have gone 6-4 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Steelers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Steelers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +105 | +106 | +2 | +2 |
| Steelers | -125 | -126 | -2 | -2 |
4* Free Week 3 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +2
The big question is whether the Steelers’ rock-solid rush defense (allowing just 76.5 yards per game) can contain J.K. Dobbins, who’s bulldozed his way to 266 rushing yards in just two weeks.
Even if the Chargers don’t come away with the win, they’ll be in it until the final whistle. This is going to be a nail-biter for bettors, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this one comes down to a late field goal or even some overtime magic.
Our pick vs. the spread for this week three matchup between the Chargers and Steelers is to take the Chargers to cover as road underdogs. The point spread lines have the Chargers at +2, and with the Chargers covering as our pick vs. the spread, we have the Steelers winning by a score of 17-16.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 33 points, and the line currently sitting at 35.5 points.
Keep an eye on those live odds, because this game could turn into a gambler’s dream. Stay sharp, stay tuned, and get ready to cash in!
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
.@robkinger91, @dlolley_pgh, and @WilliamsonNFL preview the Week 3 matchup between the Steelers and Chargers, including what matchups might decide the game. @Shell pic.twitter.com/Ekj0OKwPEt
— Steelers Live (@SteelersLive) September 20, 2024
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