Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Chargers vs. Patriots Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots free NFL Week 13 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Patriots on Sunday, December 3rd at the Gillette Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(4-7) Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots (2-9)
Date: Sunday, December 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles -6 | New England +6
Week 13 NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles -258 | New England +206
NFL Betting Total: O/U 40.5
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Last season, the Chargers and Patriots did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Patriots have the leg up at 3-0.
The Patriots also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 54 points per game leading to an over/under record of 2-1.
I have a fond memory of the clashes between Rivers and Brady. It was particularly exciting when I had Brady on my fantasy football squads in the past! Their encounters were always high-scoring affairs.
The rivalry between the Patriots and Chargers has seen 44 contests, including four postseason games. New England emerged victorious in 27 of those matches, while the (San Diego) now LA Chargers secured 15 wins, with two games ending in a tie.
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Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers currently hold the 4th spot in the AFC-West this season, with an overall record of 4-7.
In games outside their conference, they have a 2-3 record, and in AFC games, they have a AFC record. This season, the Chargers boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 4-7.
In the Chargers’ loss to the Ravens, the Chargers finished with 279 yards of offense compared to the Ravens’ 361. The Ravens ran the ball 35 times for 197 yards and averaged 5.1 yards per passing attempt for 164 yards.
Los Angeles’ 10 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3.5 point underdogs. Quarterback Justin Herbert led the Chargers in both rushing and passing, with 47 yards on the ground and 217 through air.
Herbert ended the game with one passing touchdown.
Herbert was briefly knocked out of the game by Clowney in the 4th, but he was eventually cleared. I’d think Herbert avoided injury, and will be good to go on Sunday vs. the Patriots.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
On offense the Ravens finished with 19 rushing attempts, and Justin Herbert was the leading rusher with 47 yards. In the passing game, Justin Herbert threw the ball 44 times, accumulating 217 yards and a passer rating of 75.
For this season, the Los Angeles offense has an average of 24.5 points per game, placing them at 7th in the league.
In terms of defense, the Chargers hold the 7th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 5th in sacks.
Opponents are managing to score an average of 23.5 points and gain 390.6 yards per game against them.
New England Patriots
The Patriots’ week 13 matchup vs. Los Angeles will be their 7th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-5 and are 2-9 overall. In the AFC-East, New England is 4th and 16th in the AFC.
The Patriots’ scoring margin for the season is currently -9.1. This has contributed to their ATS record of 2-9.
Defensively, the Patriots gave up 220 yards of total offense to the Giants in a 10-7 loss.
The Giants ran the ball for 58 yards while throwing for 162. On offense, the Patriots went 4/14 on 3rd down and finished with 283 yards of total offense. New England also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 4 point favorites.
Mac Jones did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 12 of 21 passes for 89 yards. Jones ended the game with a passer rating of 27.
New England Patriots Stats
Facing the Giants, the Patriots rushed the ball 31 times, with Rhamondre Stevenson leading the team with 98 yards. Jones attempted 21 passes, accumulating 89 yards and a passer rating of 27.
New England’s offense comes in with an average of 13.5 points per game, which is currently 27th in the league.
Going up against the Chargers’ offense, the Patriots defense has allowed an average of 22.5 points per game.
So far this season, they are 23rd in quarterback hits and have yielded an average of 316.8 yards per contest.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chargers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Patriots have gone 3-7 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-2-1.
- The Patriots’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Patriots Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | -168 | -258 | -3.5 | -6 |
| Patriots | +142 | +206 | +3.5 | +6 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: LAC -6
For the point spread, I’m backing the Chargers at -6. I believe the New England is going to throw in the towel on this season, if they haven’t already. This game could be ugly folks. Sure Los Angeles’ defense, has had trouble defending the run in their last game, but they’ll get their issues fixed in time for this week.
The Bolts have the same number of losses as they had last year, and it’s only December. They’re not this bad. All things will be fixed this Sunday.
Make your bet now on Los Angeles -6.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game staying UNDER 40.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 39 points.
I’ve identified some key NFL trends that boost my confidence in my NFL picks for this matchup.
The Chargers have an impressive 8-3 SU record in their last 11 December games, while New England’s performance raises concerns, with a 1-7 ATS and SU record in their last 8 games, coupled with a 1-8 ATS record in their last 9 home games.
Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of the Chargers’ last 9 games and in 8 of New England’s last 10 games, including 6 of their last 9 against LAC.
These statistics provide promising indicators for the Chargers. Fingers crossed, my play pays off.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Resiliency, passion and some great football food.
Tales from the Tailgate takes a look at how a local restauranteur prepares for a Patriots game day.@budlight | #EasyToSunday pic.twitter.com/D3oGh5mUVi
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 28, 2023
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