Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, December 8th at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Kansas City Sunday Night Football matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14
Sunday Night Football on NBC
(8-4) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11-1)
Date: Sunday, December 8th
Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +4 | Kansas City -4
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +170 | Kansas City -204
NFL Betting Total: O/U 43
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Get ready for Sunday Night Football under the lights at Arrowhead Stadium as the Chiefs and Chargers square off in a high-stakes AFC West battle! Kansas City has owned this rivalry, boasting 18 wins in the last 21 meetings and an astounding 11 straight victories in San Diego and Los Angeles.
The overall series tilts heavily in the Chiefs’ favor, 70–58–1, and they’ve been nearly unbeatable at home, winning their last nine games at Arrowhead.
When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chiefs have the leg up at 3-0. The Chiefs also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-0-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 33 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-2-1.
Los Angeles Chargers
With a 17-13 win over the Falcons in week 13, the Chargers improved to 8-4 on the season. This puts them 2nd in the AFC West and 5th in the conference standings. Our projections give them a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have just a 3.3% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 14, we have the Chargers 14th in our NFL power rankings.
Against the spread, the Chargers are 8-3-1, including an 8-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 37.3 points compared to an average line of 42.2.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Heading into week 14, the Chargers are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.7, and are 24th in passing yards per game with 198.4, despite being 30th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 18th in rushing yards per game, with 112.9, on 27.3 attempts per game. Los Angeles has been strong in the red zone, converting 53.3% of their trips, which ranks 5th in the league.
Justin Herbert threw for 147 yards on 16/23 passing in week 13, after a 218-yard performance in week 12 and a 297-yard game in week 11. He has not thrown an interception in his last three games. Ladd McConkey had 9 catches for 117 yards in week 13, and Gus Edwards led the team in rushing with 32 yards on 6 carries.
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The Chargers’ defense came up with four interceptions in their 17-13 win over the Falcons, despite allowing 350 yards of total offense. They were tough on Atlanta’s running game, giving up just 116 yards on 37 attempts. Los Angeles limited the Falcons to a 21.4% conversion rate on third down and kept them out of the endzone through the air, although they did allow 234 passing yards.
Even though they allowed 24 completions, the Chargers kept the Falcons to 6 yards per attempt. Their only sack came from the defensive line.
Kansas City Chiefs
With an 11-1 record, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC and have a 96.3% chance of winning the AFC West. After losing to the Bills in week 11, they bounced back with wins over the Panthers and Raiders. In week 13, they narrowly defeated Las Vegas 19-17, but failed to cover the 13.5-point spread.
Kansas City ranks 6th in our power rankings and has a +4.5 scoring margin this season. Against the spread, they are 4-7-1 and have lost six straight ATS. Their O/U record is 6-6, with their games averaging 43.7 points.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
Heading into week 14, the Chiefs are 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.1 points per game, and they lead the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 51.8% success rate. Kansas City ranks 6th in passing attempts, with 35.6 per game, and 12th in passing yards, averaging 229.8 per game. However, they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts.
In week 13, Patrick Mahomes threw for 306 yards and a touchdown, completing 26 of 46 passes against the Raiders. He was sacked 5 times. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 90 receiving yards on 4 catches, while Isiah Pacheco had 44 rushing yards on 7 carries. Kansas City scored 3 points in the 4th quarter and converted 7 of 16 3rd-down attempts, but only 1 of 5 red zone opportunities.
In their 19-17 win over the Raiders, the Chiefs’ defense gave up 434 yards, including 318 yards passing on 23 completions. Despite allowing 116 rushing yards on 25 attempts, they limited Las Vegas to a 25% third-down conversion rate. The Chiefs also recorded three sacks and won the tackles for loss battle.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 1-3-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Chargers are 5-5 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-3-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 0-3.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Chiefs Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +215 | +170 | +6.5 | +4 |
| Chiefs | -265 | -206 | -6.5 | -4 |
4* Free Week 14 SNF Betting Prediction: Kansas City -4
The Chargers are desperate to flip the script, but history isn’t on their side—they’re winless in their last six matchups against the Chiefs and have struggled on the road, losing seven of their last 10 trips to Kansas City.
For this week 14 SNF matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers, we are picking the Chiefs to come out on top by a score of 27-20. With the point spread sitting at -4 in favor of the Chargers, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as home favorites.
At 11-1, Kansas City enters this Week 14 showdown firing on all cylinders.
Their home-field dominance and league-best record make them a tough out for any opponent. Los Angeles, sitting at 8-4, has shown flashes of brilliance but will need a near-perfect performance to hang with a Chiefs squad that’s been nothing short of elite.
As for an over/under pick, with the line at 43 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 47 points.
With live odds holding Kansas City as a 4-point favorite and a total set at 43, this matchup promises drama, intensity, and plenty of betting intrigue for football fans and gamblers alike.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Gettin’ set for Sunday night 🤝 pic.twitter.com/0qGmadOHaf
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) December 5, 2024
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