Free NFL Week 7 Pick: Chargers vs. Chiefs Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs free NFL Week 7 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Chiefs on Sunday, October 22nd at the Arrowhead Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 7 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Kansas City matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 7
(2-3) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (5-1)
Date: Sunday, October 22nd
Time: 4:25 ET
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO
NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles +5.5 | Kansas City -5.5
Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles +194 | Kansas City -243
NFL Betting Total: O/U 48
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This week, we’ve got an NFL matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers (2-3, 2-3 ATS) and the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1, 4-2 ATS). It’s happening on Sunday, October 22nd, at 4:25 ET, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.
The current NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Lines favor the Chiefs at -5.5, with the Week 7 NFL Moneyline Odds showing the Chargers at +194 and the Chiefs at -243. The NFL Betting Total is set at O/U 48.
In recent action, the reigning Super Bowl champs, the KC Chiefs, secured a 19-8 victory over the Broncos on Thursday night. Meanwhile, the Chargers suffered a narrow 20-17 loss to the Cowboys on Monday Night Football in NFL Week 6, letting the win slip away.
The Chargers and Chiefs have faced off 126 times, with the Chargers winning 58, the Chiefs winning 67, and one tie game. The Chiefs are ranked 9th in the league, averaging 24 points per game, while the Chargers are right behind at 25 PPG.
When looking back at the head to head matchups last season, the Chiefs and Chargers faced off two times, with the Chiefs going 2-0. Against the spread, the Chargers went 2-0 while the over/under record in these games was 1-1 on an average of 54 points per game.
On offense, the two teams finished with similar production in yardage, with the Chargers averaging 383 yards per game compared to the Chiefs at 402.
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Los Angeles Chargers
Over the course of five games, the Chargers have put together a record of 2-3.
This positions them 3rd in the AFC-West and 13th in the AFC. The Chargers’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at +0.6, putting their ATS record at 2-3.
In the Chargers’ loss to the Cowboys, the Chargers finished with 272 yards of offense comapred to the Cowboys’ 342. The Cowboys ran the ball 26 times for 96 yards and averaged 8.2 yards per passing attempt for 246 yards.
Los Angeles’ 3 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 1.5 point underdogs. Justin Herbert threw for 227 yards while completing 59% of his passes and throwing for 227. Herbert threw for two touchdowns.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Facing the Cowboys, the Chargers rushed the ball 23 times, with Austin Ekeler leading the team with 27 yards. Justin Herbert attempted 37 passes, accumulating 227 yards and a passer rating of 83.
Regarding their offense, the Chargers have an average 25.4 points per game, which places them 7th in the NFL.
When it comes to turnovers, the Los Angeles defense has forced eight takeaways, putting them 7th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 24.8 points per game and yielding 391.6 yards.
Kansas City Chiefs
In the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are placed 1st with a record of 5-1. Within the AFC, Kansas City holds the 1st spot as they approach week 7. The Chiefs’ current scoring margin stands at +9.8, which has them coming in with a 4-2 ATS record.
The Chiefs’ 11-point win over the Broncos was one of their largest margins of victory in recent history. Offensively, the Chiefs averaged 5 yards per play for a total of 389 yards.
On the other end, the Broncos went 4/10 on 3rd down and finished with 197 yards. Going into the game, Kansas City was favored by 10.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes had a big game, throwing for 306 yards on a passer rating of 94. Mahomes completed 75% of 40 attempts in the game.
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
On offense, Patrick Mahomes ended with 306 passing yards on a completion rate of 75%. On the ground, the Chiefs ran the ball 27 times, amassing 96 yards. The team converted 4 third-downs at a rate of 30.8%.
As they enter week 7, the Chiefs offense ranks 9th in the league, averaging 24.5 points per contest.
Looking at Kansas City’s defense, they currently stand 2nd in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 14.7 points per game and 284.0 yards per contest against them.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Chargers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chiefs have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Chiefs’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Chiefs Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Chargers | +194 | +194 | +5.5 | +5.5 |
Chiefs | -235 | -243 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
4* Free Week 7 NFL Betting Prediction: Los Angeles +5.5
My point-spread pick for this Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup is to take the Chargers to cover on the road. As of now, they are 5.5-point underdogs and I expect them to cover at this number.
I expect a bounce back game after a tough loss by the Chargers on MNF. The Chargers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games on the road, and they’re 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against KC.
Kansas City are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LAC. They didn’t look or play great in their most recent game, and something just feels off here. Expect LAC to keep it tight.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 48. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 52 points.
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Are they?
"Best defense in the National Football League." – Willie Gay Jr. pic.twitter.com/AaRXYka0XK
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) October 17, 2023
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