Free NFL Week 9 Pick: Chargers vs. Browns Odds
Looking for Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Chargers taking on the Browns on Sunday, November 3rd at the Huntington Bank Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 9 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Los Angeles Cleveland matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 9
(4-3) Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns (2-6)
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland OH
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Los Angeles -2 | Cleveland +2
NFL Moneyline Odds: Los Angeles -126 | Cleveland +106
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42
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Week 9 is here, and we’re diving deep into this Chargers-Browns showdown in Cleveland, where the Chargers have historically dominated this rivalry, holding a 19-9-1 record.
Last time these two met, the Chargers squeaked out a 30-28 win, but that was Herbert vs. Brissett—this time, it’s Jameis Winston under center for the Browns.
The Chargers and Browns did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Chargers have a record of 3-0.
The Chargers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0.
These games averaged a combined total of 66 points per game leading to an over/under record of 3-0.
Los Angeles Chargers
After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, the Chargers bounced back with a 26-8 win over the Saints, bringing their record to 4-3. They were favored by 7.5 points and covered the spread, but the 34 combined points fell short of the 41.5-point line. L.A. is 4-2-1 against the spread this season, including 4-1 as the favorite.
Heading into week 9, the Chargers have a 60.4% chance of making the playoffs and rank 20th in our NFL power rankings. They are 3rd in the AFC West with a 2-1 division record and are 2-2 on the road and 2-1 at home.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Justin Herbert has been on a roll, posting passer ratings of 92, 97, and 111 over his last three games. In week 8, he threw for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. J.K. Dobbins led the rushing attack with 57 yards on 17 carries, while Ladd McConkey had 6 receptions for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Heading into week 9, the Chargers rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.9) and 22nd in total yards per game (311.1). They have been strong in the red zone, converting 93.8% of their opportunities, which ranks 2nd in the league.
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The Chargers’ defense was dominant on third downs in their 26-8 win over the Saints, allowing just a 12.5% conversion rate. They also came up with five sacks and limited the Saints to 52.4% completions. Overall, the Chargers allowed just 249 yards passing and no touchdowns through the air.
Despite struggling against the run, giving up 117 yards on 21 attempts (5.6 yards per attempt), the Chargers were able to keep the Saints out of the endzone, allowing just 8 points.
Cleveland Browns
After six straight losses, the Browns finally got back in the win column with a 29-24 victory over the Ravens in week 8. Cleveland was a 7-point underdog at home, but they pulled off the upset to improve to 2-6. The combined 53 points in the game went over the 44.5-point line.
Heading into week 9, the Browns rank 17th in our power rankings and have an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, they are 3-5, with all three of their wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-5, with their games averaging 40.5 points this season.
Cleveland Browns Stats
Heading into week 9, the Browns rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 27th in the NFL in points per game (17.2) and 30th in yards per game (272.2). Despite ranking 3rd in passing attempts, they are 28th in passing yards per game, averaging 179.8. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 22nd in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards per game, with 92.5. They are 29th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate, at 27.7%.
Jameis Winston took over at quarterback in week 8, throwing for 334 yards and 3 touchdowns (27/41) without an interception. Cedric Tillman led the team with 7 catches for 99 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 carries. The Browns scored 9 points in the 4th quarter against Baltimore but failed to convert on both of their red zone opportunities.
The Browns’ defense, despite giving up 124 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, held the Ravens to a 20% third-down conversion rate in their 29-24 win over Baltimore. Cleveland allowed 263 passing yards on 23 completions, with two passing touchdowns. They also recorded three sacks and limited the Ravens to a 60.5% completion percentage.
Even though they allowed 387 total yards, the Browns’ defense made key plays to help secure the victory. They also won the tackles for loss battle, with a +1 differential, and their secondary limited big plays in the passing game.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Chargers are 4-1 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Browns are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Chargers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Browns have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Chargers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Browns’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Chargers vs. Browns Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers | +142 | -126 | +3 | -2 |
| Browns | -170 | +106 | -3 | +2 |
4* Free Week 9 NFL Betting Prediction: LA -2
The Chargers come in hot, favored by 2 points, with betting lines at -126 on the moneyline, and the Browns sitting as underdogs at +106. With LA’s offense gearing up and getting key players back, they’ll be looking to keep the momentum from their 4-1 record as favorites.
Our pick against the spread in this week nine matchup between the Chargers and Browns is to take the Chargers to cover as road favorites. The point spread currently has the Chargers at -2, and we have them winning by a score of 24-21.
And while Winston’s recent upset of the Ravens is worth noting, Cleveland’s inconsistency, especially at home, keeps the edge with LA.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42 points, we have a predicted score of 45 points, making the over a great pick in this one.
Cleveland is just 3-7 against the spread over their last ten and has struggled against AFC West teams, winning only one of their last ten matchups. Look for the Chargers to lean on their high-volume passing attack and recent form, which should by all accounts spell another win on the road.
Get ready to see these odds in action!
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Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Have a happy Halloween! 🎃👻 pic.twitter.com/0WnmOCDFUq
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) October 31, 2024
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